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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls39%99100
17Nets61%10287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
42.9
36.7
24
78%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
47%
5-8
63%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.2
42.5
35.0
21
66%
4
13
2
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
49%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
20.5
24.3
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
20.3
25.7
7
35%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-9
3-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
15.6
22.3
4
45%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-1
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
31.9
12.8
8
58%
7
1
1
1
4
1
4
3
0-2
0%
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
31.9
25.6
17
51%
7
5
1
1
0
0
0
7
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
43%
3-7
43%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.1
24.3
26.4
17
70%
8
1
0
0
1
1
0
8
5-5
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.1
10.1
4.1
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
18.9
1
3-6
49%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.9
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.3
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
41.8
36.9
31
69%
2
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
7-8
88%
9-14
6-12
64%
49%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
41.1
35.5
26
50%
3
5
3
2
0
4
1
2
10-14
71%
8-17
6-12
47%
51%
0-3
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
40.0
18.9
3
25%
10
5
1
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.7
26.9
28.9
9
48%
8
0
0
1
2
0
3
5
1-1
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
51%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
16.0
19.9
2
17%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
30.0
28.2
4
22%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-5
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
21.1
17.8
6
68%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
13.4
5.0
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
9.7
12.4
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
24.3
1
2-5
47%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
15.4
0
1-2
48%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
3.5
0
0-0
52%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.