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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards17%8989
4Rockets83%10187
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
36.8
37.5
30
57%
12
3
0
1
2
0
3
9
8-8
100%
11-20
6-13
55%
47%
0-3
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
36.2
27.4
0
0%
8
6
2
1
4
3
0
8
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
35.4
31.8
16
51%
8
5
0
1
0
2
2
6
4-4
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.5
33.9
32.5
12
39%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
6-12
3-8
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
23.1
17.5
14
59%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
43%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.7
22.8
25.8
3
39%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.9
19.5
16.0
7
44%
4
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
15.9
9.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.2
10.1
11.5
5
125%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.0
3.5
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.9
2.9
5.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.8
25.3
1
4-8
47%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.1
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
34.8
32.3
16
90%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
7-8
5-10
88%
52%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
32.0
32.0
15
42%
6
7
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
5-15
4-9
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.4
31.8
30.9
9
41%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-6
40%
43%
1-5
20%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
29.4
33.9
12
38%
8
0
0
0
3
2
3
5
4-4
100%
4-14
7-14
29%
54%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
25.4
32.0
5
83%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
26.2
30.1
20
55%
4
2
2
2
0
6
1
3
5-7
71%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
21.1
17.9
6
43%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
59%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
16.2
21.7
1
10%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
15.9
14.1
3
75%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
7.1
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
12.3
0
1-2
49%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.4
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.