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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1876ers33%9395
13Jazz67%99112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
39.2
40.7
17
56%
6
4
2
2
0
3
1
5
5-7
71%
6-9
6-12
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
32.6
30.1
17
61%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
52%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
30.3
37.6
13
47%
0
8
1
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
5-12
6-12
42%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
29.2
18.3
9
42%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-4
25%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
22.3
27.3
7
55%
10
0
0
0
0
2
5
5
3-3
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
31.0
14.0
6
75%
12
2
2
1
0
3
2
10
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
27.7
27.7
14
49%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
5-11
4-10
45%
45%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
17.6
20.7
10
63%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
10.0
6.5
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
7.0
0
0-1
42%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
36.4
35.9
16
58%
13
3
3
1
3
1
3
10
4-4
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
52%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
35.3
36.7
19
59%
10
3
2
1
1
2
4
6
4-5
80%
6-12
5-11
50%
50%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
34.7
24.3
14
62%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
33.3
37.8
27
73%
2
6
1
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
4-6
67%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.8
27.6
34.8
8
67%
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
6-11
80%
55%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
25.9
23.8
12
68%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.8
16.6
17.9
9
51%
6
0
1
0
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.1
14.7
8.6
0
0%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.6
6.0
13.6
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
5.4
5.3
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.5
2.4
4.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.0
1.8
16.1
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.1
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.9
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.