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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hawks48%98110
18Pacers52%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
42.5
39.5
27
55%
7
5
1
1
0
1
1
6
7-8
88%
7-15
7-14
47%
48%
2-6
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.6
41.2
33.8
15
48%
5
6
1
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.1
40.9
35.0
24
63%
6
3
1
1
1
5
3
3
10-14
71%
7-11
5-10
64%
47%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
35.9
36.0
12
56%
14
2
0
1
2
1
3
11
4-6
67%
4-8
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.5
30.4
35.0
9
41%
6
0
2
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.1
20.2
15.2
6
60%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.9
14.5
18.5
9
71%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
1-3
33%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
14.4
17.9
8
67%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.9
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
2.6
0
0-0
49%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.0
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.6
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.9
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.7
39.9
32.7
25
50%
7
5
0
1
2
2
0
7
12-16
75%
5-13
6-11
38%
50%
1-5
20%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.0
33.0
30.7
11
53%
3
0
2
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.7
32.5
30.3
10
63%
14
2
2
1
0
2
2
12
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
31.4
31.8
22
64%
0
4
1
1
1
2
0
0
5-7
71%
7-12
3-7
58%
47%
1-2
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.1
13.0
14.6
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
27.5
21.1
12
76%
12
3
1
1
0
1
5
7
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
27.5
29.2
3
17%
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.8
13.5
15.0
8
80%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
2-4
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.8
11.1
22.6
5
30%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.6
10.7
20.7
8
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.8
6.7
0
1-2
51%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
5.9
0
1-2
48%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.3
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.8
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.