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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards15%8785
7Hornets85%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
42.5
36.9
22
41%
12
1
0
1
0
0
1
11
2-4
50%
10-22
6-13
45%
47%
0-3
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
29.3
30.5
4
45%
8
0
1
1
0
2
1
7
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.5
29.1
32.4
16
58%
1
7
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
6-10
3-8
60%
41%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
23.8
32.9
11
65%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
21.1
19.7
7
39%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.7
24.2
24.6
6
77%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.2
23.9
11.5
4
25%
1
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
42%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.9
19.6
17.6
7
54%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
15.9
12.6
7
102%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.0
5.5
2.9
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.9
5.2
4.4
1
17%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.8
18.6
1
3-6
47%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.1
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.1
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
40.3
37.9
20
58%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
8-15
8-15
53%
52%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
36.1
30.9
21
95%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
44%
5-8
63%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
36.0
35.7
15
54%
10
16
1
2
0
2
1
9
7-9
78%
4-8
6-11
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
35.6
29.7
11
59%
11
1
0
0
1
1
3
8
1-3
33%
5-8
4-6
63%
61%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.6
30.8
33.2
9
32%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
1-9
11%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.0
25.7
25.9
14
97%
3
0
1
1
2
1
0
3
5-5
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
3-4
75%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.8
12.0
11.9
5
51%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
11.6
13.5
2
53%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
7.3
9.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-2
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
4.5
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
16.7
1
2-4
46%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
7.0
0
1-2
47%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.1
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.