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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 31, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic65%100113
21Bulls35%9594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
31.0
34.1
21
59%
7
4
1
1
0
4
3
4
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
3-9
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.8
30.4
38.2
18
53%
9
4
1
1
1
1
1
8
2-2
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
29.1
37.6
15
71%
14
2
0
1
2
2
5
9
5-8
63%
5-7
7-13
71%
58%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.6
28.2
24.2
3
21%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.9
20.6
29.7
11
79%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
4-8
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.2
27.4
17.2
10
56%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
2-3
67%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
26.6
20.9
12
72%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
19.7
3.8
7
58%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.9
18.9
9.3
14
65%
7
0
0
0
2
0
4
3
2-4
50%
6-9
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.1
5.2
5.4
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
2.9
11.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.8
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
32.4
38.6
18
48%
3
2
0
1
1
4
1
2
4-4
100%
4-13
5-10
31%
46%
2-4
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
30.8
22.5
6
30%
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.2
27.4
37.2
11
41%
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
5-12
6-13
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
20.5
23.4
9
77%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-5
3-7
80%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
15.2
19.3
0
0%
6
1
2
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
30.8
20.3
19
81%
11
3
1
1
1
0
4
7
11-13
85%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.1
29.6
25.4
10
51%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
25.5
27.6
15
58%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.1
22.6
6.3
6
43%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
38%
2-3
67%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
5.2
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.3
21.1
1
4-8
47%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.0
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.9
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.