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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 31, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nets31%9175
11Pistons69%9883
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
40.2
36.8
19
52%
1
9
2
2
0
4
1
0
7-10
70%
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
37.3
27.8
23
72%
12
3
0
1
2
3
6
6
7-7
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
48%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
33.2
18.3
12
40%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
42%
1-5
20%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
23.9
25.8
3
38%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
14.6
38.1
4
25%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
6-12
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
36.5
28.4
10
37%
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
45%
1-3
33%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
14.8
2.7
2
41%
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
13.8
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
11.8
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
10.7
18.9
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
3.3
2.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
11.4
0
1-2
45%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
43.8
35.4
19
49%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
7-14
6-11
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.8
43.5
40.0
16
61%
7
5
0
1
0
1
2
5
6-7
86%
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
40.5
36.0
11
41%
5
4
1
2
1
5
0
5
1-3
33%
5-11
6-12
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
25.8
19.5
8
67%
5
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
9.9
33.8
7
58%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
29.9
20.8
10
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
2-5
40%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
24.8
12.7
5
34%
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
7
1-3
33%
2-6
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.8
21.5
3.1
7
74%
6
2
1
0
0
5
2
4
1-4
25%
3-3
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
0.3
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
0.0
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.3
22.3
1
3-6
52%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
2.4
0
0-1
49%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.