Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	51%	101	114	123.9	92	94.6
	15	Raptors	49%	100	107	116.3	92	89.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 26	39.0	21	75%	7	3	1	1	1	3	2	5	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	37.9	15	75%	7	3	3	1	0	4	2	5	1-3	33%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	36.0	18	69%	3	7	1	0	3	3	1	2	7-7	100%	1-6	17%	3-4	75%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 25	35.7	20	43%	5	3	2	0	3	2	0	5	4-6	67%	8-17	47%	0-3	0%
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	16.4	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	31.6	16	57%	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30	16.5	10	63%	10	0	0	0	0	4	4	6	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	14.9	10	71%	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	4-4	100%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 34	12.0	0	0%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sonny Weems #13 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Cheikh Samb #35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	60%	41	23	8	3	10	0	11	30	22-28	79%	34-64	53%	8-18	44%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 26	39.0	21	75%	7	3	1	1	1	3	2	5	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	37.9	15	75%	7	3	3	1	0	4	2	5	1-3	33%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	36.0	18	69%	3	7	1	0	3	3	1	2	7-7	100%	1-6	17%	3-4	75%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 25	35.7	20	43%	5	3	2	0	3	2	0	5	4-6	67%	8-17	47%	0-3	0%
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	16.4	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	31.6	16	57%	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30	16.5	10	63%	10	0	0	0	0	4	4	6	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	14.9	10	71%	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	4-4	100%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 34	12.0	0	0%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sonny Weems #13 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Cheikh Samb #35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	60%	41	23	8	3	10	0	11	30	22-28	79%	34-64	53%	8-18	44%

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15 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Parker G · 6'6" 210 · 34	42.9	12	60%	4	6	3	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Andrea Bargnani C · 7'0" 245 · 23	41.3	26	62%	6	1	2	5	2	3	2	4	5-5	100%	6-13	46%	3-6	50%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 25	39.6	24	50%	11	1	1	1	1	0	4	7	10-13	77%	7-15	47%	0-3	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.2	18	100%	5	11	0	0	5	4	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	4-4	100%
Jamario Moon F · 6'8" 205 · 29	33.7	10	45%	7	3	2	1	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%

Joey Graham F · 6'7" 230 · 27	17.5	6	50%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Will Solomon G · 6'1" 185 · 30	15.7	11	69%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Jake Voskuhl C · 6'11" 255 · 31	11.1	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 24	4.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 28	\| DND - Right Quad Contusion
Hassan Adams F · 6'4" 220 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Roko Ukic G · 6'5" 190 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jermaine O'Neal #6 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nathan Jawai #21 · F · 6'10" 280 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	42	24	8	7	12	0	10	32	21-24	88%	28-57	49%	10-24	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 60.0%

TOR

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

21

33

64%

TOR

13

20

65%

Midrange

DEN

13

31

42%

TOR

15

37

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

18

44%

67%

TOR

10

15.0

24

42%

63%

Free Throws

DEN

22

28

79%

TOR

21

24

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Nene	21	75%	10.5 / 14
C. Anthony	20	43%	10.0 / 23
C. Billups	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Smith	16	57%	8.0 / 14
K. Martin	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Andersen	10	63%	5.0 / 8
L. Kleiza	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Jones	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani	26	62%	13.0 / 21
C. Bosh	24	50%	12.0 / 24
J. Calderon	18	100%	9.0 / 9
A. Parker	12	60%	6.0 / 10
W. Solomon	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Moon	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Graham	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Voskuhl	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 110.2 23 106.3	DEN 123.9 +7.6 TOR 116.3
Pace	6 94.5 12 92.6	DEN 94.6 +5.1 TOR 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.7 20 15.4	DEN 15.2 −0.9 TOR 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 51.2% 20 49.4%	DEN 56.1% +3.0% TOR 53.1%
TO %	26 15.8% 9 13.8%	DEN 9.6% −2.0% TOR 11.6%
ORB %	15 27.5% 28 24.0%	DEN 25.6% +0.6% TOR 25.0%
FTrt	1 38.2 25 27.9	DEN 34.1 +4.5 TOR 29.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 59.5% 4 60.1%	DEN 54.8% TOR 63.2% +8.4%
STL %	3 9.1% 27 6.8%	DEN 8.7% TOR 8.7%
BLK %	1 9.7% 18 7.6%	DEN 5.3% TOR 10.9% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.8% 18 52.7%	DEN 60.0% +3.1% TOR 56.9%
Rim FG%	6 60.5% 15 57.9%	DEN 63.6% TOR 65.0% +1.4%
Mid FG%	27 38.7% 6 42.3%	DEN 41.9% +1.4% TOR 40.5%
3P %	13 37.1% 12 37.2%	DEN 44.4% +2.7% TOR 41.7%
FT %	20 76.0% 1 82.4%	DEN 78.6% TOR 87.5% +8.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 39.7% 30 28.4%	DEN 40.2% +15.6% TOR 24.7%
Mid Att. %	3 37.6% 29 52.3%	DEN 37.8% −7.9% TOR 45.7%
3P Att. %	15 22.7% 23 19.3%	DEN 22.0% TOR 29.6% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Game Totals	DEN	TOR
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.6
Points	114	107
Rebounds	41	42
Assists	23	24
Steals	8	8
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	32 (0)
Field Goals	42-82	38-81
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	13-20
Midrange FG	13-31	15-37
2-Point FG	34-64	28-57
3-Point FG	8-18	10-24
Free Throws	22-28	21-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg