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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 31, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors59%105100
30Thunder41%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.7
41.1
38.2
17
44%
7
9
5
1
0
4
0
7
6-8
75%
4-12
5-10
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.8
35.6
29.6
11
56%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
35.6
27.8
15
51%
13
1
2
1
1
2
6
7
3-4
75%
6-13
5-9
46%
59%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
30.3
33.4
2
13%
2
5
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
49%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
20.0
17.5
13
74%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
30.9
26.5
24
87%
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
0
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
4-6
67%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.7
29.9
27.8
16
74%
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
4-8
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.0
14.5
20.0
2
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
2.1
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.5
7.4
0
2-3
48%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.8
6.6
0
1-1
48%
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
5.8
0
1-2
47%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.3
45.2
39.0
25
59%
10
6
0
1
2
4
1
9
6-7
86%
8-16
7-15
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
43.8
39.5
26
61%
8
1
2
1
1
1
5
3
5-5
100%
9-17
5-11
53%
49%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
31.3
33.1
11
50%
6
2
5
2
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
5-12
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.2
19.1
33.4
4
29%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
4-9
17%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.1
12.0
13.8
5
64%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
36.0
21.1
23
59%
9
2
4
1
2
3
4
5
5-8
63%
9-16
4-8
56%
54%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.6
34.5
19.7
11
59%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.0
18.1
5.3
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
17.6
0
2-4
53%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.9
12.8
0
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.9
5.4
0
1-2
47%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.6
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
0.5
0
0-0
54%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.4
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.