for complete access.
All Games Friday, January 2, 2009
Final Win Prob. pScore
16
Heat
30%91
76
9
Magic
70%98
86
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
90.58481.5
ORL logo Magic
102.48486.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL76
86
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
86
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
86
Q4 - 0:36.0MIABeasley 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)76
86
Q4 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Beasley FOR Chalmers74
86
Q4 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Wade74
86
Q4 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Diawara FOR Haslem74
86
Q4 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Marion74
86
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)74
86
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)74
86
Q4 - 1:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)74
84
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
84
Q4 - 1:22ORLLewis 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)74
84
Q4 - 1:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)74
82
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
82
Q4 - 1:48ORLLewis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)74
82
Q4 - 2:03MIAWade Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T12)74
82
Q4 - 2:07ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)74
82
Q4 - 2:35MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)74
82
Q4 - 2:51ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
82
Q4 - 2:51ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
81
Q4 - 2:51ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)72
80
Q4 - 2:51MIAMarion P.FOUL (P4.PN)72
80
Q4 - 2:51ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
80
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot72
80
Q4 - 3:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
80
Q4 - 3:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)72
80
Q4 - 3:11ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot72
80
Q4 - 3:12ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Reverse Layup72
80
Q4 - 3:22ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)72
80
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot72
80
Q4 - 3:40ORLLee Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)72
80
Q4 - 3:51ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
80
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot72
80
Q4 - 4:05ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T12)72
80
Q4 - 4:05ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P3)72
80
Q4 - 4:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
80
Q4 - 4:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 172
80
Q4 - 4:18MIAMarion S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
80
Q4 - 4:18ORLHoward Layup (13 PTS)72
80
Q4 - 4:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)72
78
Q4 - 4:20ORLMISS Lewis Driving Layup72
78
Q4 - 4:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)72
78
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot72
78
Q4 - 4:56ORLLee 8' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)72
78
Q4 - 5:07ORLMAGIC Rebound72
76
Q4 - 5:08ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 5:30MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)72
76
Q4 - 5:40ORLLewis P.FOUL (P4.T2)69
76
Q4 - 5:53MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
76
Q4 - 5:54ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 269
76
Q4 - 5:54ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
76
Q4 - 5:5469
75
Q4 - 5:54MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P5.PN)69
75
Q4 - 6:01ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
75
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
75
Q4 - 6:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
75
Q4 - 6:14ORLMISS Lee Layup69
75
Q4 - 6:20MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
75
Q4 - 6:20MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
75
Q4 - 6:20ORLLewis S.FOUL (P3.T1)67
75
Q4 - 6:34ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
75
Q4 - 6:34ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
74
Q4 - 6:34MIAMarion S.FOUL (P2.PN)67
73
Q4 - 6:42ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)67
73
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot67
73
Q4 - 6:56MIAHeat Rebound67
73
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot67
73
Q4 - 7:11ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Johnson67
73
Q4 - 7:11ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Battie67
73
Q4 - 7:11ORLLee Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)67
73
Q4 - 7:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)67
73
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot67
73
Q4 - 7:29MIAHeat Rebound67
73
Q4 - 7:31MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)67
73
Q4 - 7:38ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)67
73
Q4 - 7:52MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T11)67
73
Q4 - 7:52MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P3)67
73
Q4 - 8:04MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
73
Q4 - 8:06ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 267
73
Q4 - 8:06ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)67
73
Q4 - 8:06MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T4)67
72
Q4 - 8:09MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)67
72
Q4 - 8:27MIASUB: Wade FOR Banks67
72
Q4 - 8:27MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Beasley67
72
Q4 - 8:27MIASUB: Haslem FOR Magloire67
72
Q4 - 8:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)67
72
Q4 - 8:30ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)67
72
Q4 - 8:39MIABattie STEAL (1 STL)67
70
Q4 - 8:56ORLLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
70
Q4 - 9:10MIABanks L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)67
70
Q4 - 9:10MIABanks Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)67
70
Q4 - 9:32MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
70
Q4 - 9:33ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 267
70
Q4 - 9:33ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
70
Q4 - 9:33MIAMarion S.FOUL (P1.T2)67
69
Q4 - 9:40MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P3.T1)67
69
Q4 - 9:57MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
69
Q4 - 10:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
69
Q4 - 10:15ORLMISS Johnson 11' Running Jump Shot65
69
Q4 - 10:36MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)65
69
Q4 - 11:00ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)65
69
Q4 - 11:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
67
Q4 - 11:15MIALee BLOCK (1 BLK)65
67
Q4 - 11:29MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
67
Q4 - 11:30ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
67
Q4 - 11:41ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
67
Q4 - 11:42ORLMISS Lee 17' Jump Shot65
67
Q4 - 12:0065
67
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL65
67
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL65
67
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLLee 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)65
67
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
65
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
65
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot65
65
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot65
65
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)65
65
Q3 - 0:47.0MIACook 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)65
65
Q3 - 1:07ORLLee 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)63
65
Q3 - 1:33MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)63
62
Q3 - 1:42ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)60
62
Q3 - 1:49ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)60
62
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 1:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
62
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Banks 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 2:17MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
62
Q3 - 2:18ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 260
62
Q3 - 2:18ORLMAGIC Rebound60
62
Q3 - 2:18ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 260
62
Q3 - 2:18MIASUB: Cook FOR Marion60
62
Q3 - 2:18ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)60
62
Q3 - 2:18MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
62
Q3 - 2:18ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)60
62
Q3 - 2:19ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 2:33ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
62
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Haslem 7' Running Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 2:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
62
Q3 - 2:56ORLMISS Nelson Driving Reverse Layup60
62
Q3 - 3:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
62
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper60
62
Q3 - 3:36ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 3:36ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard60
61
Q3 - 3:36MIASUB: Banks FOR Chalmers60
61
Q3 - 3:36ORLSUB: Lee FOR Bogans60
61
Q3 - 3:36ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
61
Q3 - 3:36MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T4)60
60
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (33 PTS)60
60
Q3 - 4:06ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
60
Q3 - 4:06ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
59
Q3 - 4:06MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony58
58
Q3 - 4:06ORLSUB: Battie FOR Turkoglu58
58
Q3 - 4:06MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T3)58
58
Q3 - 4:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)58
58
Q3 - 4:06ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Reverse Layup58
58
Q3 - 4:21MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)58
58
Q3 - 4:44ORLNelson Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS)56
58
Q3 - 5:00MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)56
56
Q3 - 5:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
56
Q3 - 5:22ORLHoward Putback Dunk (9 PTS)54
56
Q3 - 5:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
54
Q3 - 5:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
54
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS Marion 9' Running Jump Shot54
54
Q3 - 5:52ORLBogans P.FOUL (P2.T2)54
54
Q3 - 6:07ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T6)54
54
Q3 - 6:07ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P2)54
54
Q3 - 6:15MIAWade 8' Running Bank Shot (27 PTS)54
54
Q3 - 6:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
54
Q3 - 6:24ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot52
54
Q3 - 6:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
54
Q3 - 6:36ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
54
Q3 - 6:57MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T2)52
54
Q3 - 6:57ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
54
Q3 - 6:58MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)52
54
Q3 - 7:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
54
Q3 - 7:18MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
54
Q3 - 7:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
54
Q3 - 7:34ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
54
Q3 - 7:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
54
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
54
Q3 - 8:00MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
54
Q3 - 8:02ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup52
54
Q3 - 8:19MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
54
Q3 - 8:40MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)50
54
Q3 - 8:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
54
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade Layup50
54
Q3 - 9:08ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)50
54
Q3 - 9:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
51
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot50
51
Q3 - 9:32ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)50
51
Q3 - 9:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
48
Q3 - 9:50ORLNelson Violation:Lane49
48
Q3 - 9:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
48
Q3 - 9:50ORLLewis S.FOUL (P2.T1)48
48
Q3 - 10:05ORLBogans Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)48
48
Q3 - 10:17ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
46
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot48
46
Q3 - 10:28ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)48
46
Q3 - 10:44MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)48
46
Q3 - 10:55ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
46
Q3 - 10:55ORLMAGIC Rebound48
45
Q3 - 10:55ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 248
45
Q3 - 10:55MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)48
45
Q3 - 11:12MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)48
45
Q3 - 11:26ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
45
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)46
45
Q3 - 12:0044
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
45
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)44
45
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
45
Q2 - 0:34.0MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers42
45
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)42
45
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)42
45
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)42
42
Q2 - 1:08ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)42
42
Q2 - 1:28MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
39
Q2 - 1:28MIASUB: Anthony FOR Magloire41
39
Q2 - 1:28MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
39
Q2 - 1:28ORLSUB: Johnson FOR Nelson40
39
Q2 - 1:28ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.T3)40
39
Q2 - 1:36MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
39
Q2 - 1:37ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
39
Q2 - 1:52MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
39
Q2 - 2:13MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
39
Q2 - 2:13ORLMISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 238
39
Q2 - 2:13ORLLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
39
Q2 - 2:13MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.T3)38
38
Q2 - 2:22ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
38
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 2:40ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)38
38
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)38
36
Q2 - 2:57ORLSUB: Lee FOR Bogans37
36
Q2 - 2:57MIASUB: Marion FOR Cook37
36
Q2 - 2:57MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony37
36
Q2 - 2:5737
36
Q2 - 2:57ORLBogans S.FOUL (P1.T2)37
36
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)37
36
Q2 - 3:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
36
Q2 - 3:07ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot35
36
Q2 - 3:20MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)35
36
Q2 - 3:32ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
36
Q2 - 3:32ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
35
Q2 - 3:32MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T2)33
34
Q2 - 3:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
34
Q2 - 3:50ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup33
34
Q2 - 3:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
34
Q2 - 4:00ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
34
Q2 - 4:11ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
34
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
34
Q2 - 4:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
34
Q2 - 4:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 233
34
Q2 - 4:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
34
Q2 - 4:32MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T1)33
33
Q2 - 4:47MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley33
33
Q2 - 4:47ORLSUB: Howard FOR Gortat33
33
Q2 - 4:47ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Battie33
33
Q2 - 4:47ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
33
Q2 - 4:51ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
33
Q2 - 4:52ORLMISS Gortat 7' Running Hook Shot33
33
Q2 - 5:13MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)33
33
Q2 - 5:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
33
Q2 - 5:29ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)31
33
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Gortat Tip Shot31
33
Q2 - 5:31ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
33
Q2 - 5:38ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
33
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot31
33
Q2 - 6:01ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
33
Q2 - 6:14MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)31
30
Q2 - 6:30ORLTurkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)29
30
Q2 - 6:45MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)29
28
Q2 - 6:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
28
Q2 - 6:59ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot27
28
Q2 - 7:02ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
28
Q2 - 7:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot27
28
Q2 - 7:22ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
28
Q2 - 7:25ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot27
28
Q2 - 7:34ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
28
Q2 - 7:36MIAGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)27
28
Q2 - 7:50MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Banks27
28
Q2 - 7:50MIASUB: Wade FOR Magloire27
28
Q2 - 7:50MIASUB: Anthony FOR Marion27
28
Q2 - 7:50ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Johnson27
28
Q2 - 7:50ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Lee27
28
Q2 - 7:50MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
28
Q2 - 8:00ORLJohnson Driving Layup (3 PTS)27
28
Q2 - 8:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
26
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Beasley Layup27
26
Q2 - 8:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
26
Q2 - 8:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
26
Q2 - 8:40MIABeasley 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)27
26
Q2 - 8:53MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
26
Q2 - 8:54ORLMISS Gortat Layup25
26
Q2 - 9:00ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
26
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot25
26
Q2 - 9:14MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
26
Q2 - 9:16ORLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
26
Q2 - 9:33MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
26
Q2 - 9:33MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
26
Q2 - 9:33ORLBattie S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
26
Q2 - 9:46MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26
Q2 - 9:47ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 9:59ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
26
Q2 - 10:00ORLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 10:15ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
26
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 10:31MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26
Q2 - 10:32ORLMISS Battie 12' Turnaround Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 10:47ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Beasley Running Layup23
26
Q2 - 10:57MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
26
Q2 - 10:59ORLMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 11:13MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)23
26
Q2 - 11:37ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)21
26
Q2 - 11:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
24
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
24
Q2 - 12:0021
24
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL21
24
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot21
24
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLMAGIC Rebound21
23
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 221
23
Q1 - 0:07.0MIABanks P.FOUL (P1.PN)21
23
Q1 - 0:22.0MIACook 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)21
23
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)19
23
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
23
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Banks 20' Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 1:03ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
23
Q1 - 1:03MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade19
22
Q1 - 1:03MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.T2)19
22
Q1 - 1:03ORLBattie Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)19
22
Q1 - 1:19MIAMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
20
Q1 - 1:36ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
20
Q1 - 1:50MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
18
Q1 - 1:58MIASUB: Banks FOR Chalmers17
18
Q1 - 1:58MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem17
18
Q1 - 1:58ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)17
18
Q1 - 1:58MIAHeat Rebound17
18
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Marion 7' Running Jump Shot17
18
Q1 - 2:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
18
Q1 - 2:05ORLMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot17
18
Q1 - 2:12MIALewis STEAL (1 STL)17
18
Q1 - 2:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
18
Q1 - 2:23ORLMISS Howard Layup17
18
Q1 - 2:43MIAMarion Reverse Layup (2 PTS)17
18
Q1 - 2:56ORLSUB: Johnson FOR Nelson15
18
Q1 - 2:56ORLSUB: Battie FOR Turkoglu15
18
Q1 - 2:56ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
18
Q1 - 2:56ORLLewis P.FOUL (P1.T3)15
18
Q1 - 3:10ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)15
18
Q1 - 3:11ORLMAGIC Rebound15
18
Q1 - 3:11ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:16ORLMAGIC Rebound15
18
Q1 - 3:16ORLMISS Lewis Layup15
18
Q1 - 3:34ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 115
18
Q1 - 3:35MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony15
18
Q1 - 3:35ORLLee S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
18
Q1 - 3:35MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 3:54ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
18
Q1 - 3:54ORLNelson Tip Shot (7 PTS)13
18
Q1 - 3:56ORLMISS Lee Layup13
16
Q1 - 4:01MIALee STEAL (1 STL)13
16
Q1 - 4:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
16
Q1 - 4:14ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot13
16
Q1 - 4:23MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)13
16
Q1 - 4:43ORLLee 12' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)13
16
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
14
Q1 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
14
Q1 - 5:17ORLMISS Howard Layup11
14
Q1 - 5:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
14
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Hook Shot11
14
Q1 - 5:39ORLSUB: Lee FOR Bogans11
14
Q1 - 5:39MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
14
Q1 - 5:48ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS)11
14
Q1 - 6:13MIAWade 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)11
12
Q1 - 6:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
12
Q1 - 6:23ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
12
Q1 - 6:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
12
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Floating Jump Shot9
12
Q1 - 6:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
12
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot9
12
Q1 - 6:51MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
12
Q1 - 6:53ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
12
Q1 - 7:06MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
12
Q1 - 7:13MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
12
Q1 - 7:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Fadeaway Jumper7
12
Q1 - 7:22ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 7:37ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T1)7
12
Q1 - 7:52ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)7
12
Q1 - 8:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
9
Q1 - 8:10MIAAnthony Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
9
Q1 - 8:11MIAMISS Wade Running Layup5
9
Q1 - 8:29ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)5
9
Q1 - 8:41ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
6
Q1 - 8:50ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 8:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 9:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6
Q1 - 9:20ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 9:34MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
6
Q1 - 9:54ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
6
Q1 - 10:05ORLMAGIC Rebound2
4
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:14MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:36ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:36ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
3
Q1 - 10:36MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:41MIAWade 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:04ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:12ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Lewis 10' Running Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Anthony: Tip to Nelson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.2%
ORL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
3
10
30%
ORL
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
26
53
49%
ORL
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
ORL
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
9
10
90%
ORL
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3357%16.5 / 29
U. Haslem1246%6.0 / 13
D. Cook1056%5.0 / 9
M. Beasley844%4.0 / 9
M. Chalmers521%2.5 / 12
S. Marion429%2.0 / 7
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Magloire2100%1.0 / 1
M. Banks0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis1761%8.5 / 14
J. Nelson1667%8.0 / 12
D. Howard1558%7.5 / 13
C. Lee1045%5.0 / 11
T. Battie975%4.5 / 6
H. Turkoglu719%3.5 / 18
K. Bogans758%3.5 / 6
A. Johnson330%1.5 / 5
M. Gortat220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+10
-12
82
ORL
70
+20
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.2%
ORL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
109.0
MIA 90.5
ORL 102.4 +11.9
Pace
90.2
92.5
MIA 81.5
ORL 86.7 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.5
MIA 17.7
ORL 16.6 −1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
52.0%
MIA 42.4%
ORL 43.4% +1.0%
TO %
13.1%
14.6%
MIA 12.6% −1.8%
ORL 14.4%
ORB %
24.6%
24.1%
MIA 15.9%
ORL 33.3% +17.4%
FTrt
28.2
35.1
MIA 12.7
ORL 39.5 +26.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
54.4%
MIA 46.9%
ORL 65.5% +18.6%
STL %
8.7%
7.5%
MIA 9.5% +1.2%
ORL 8.3%
BLK %
9.2%
8.0%
MIA 10.2% +3.9%
ORL 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
54.4%
MIA 45.2%
ORL 45.7% +0.5%
Rim FG%
59.5%
60.9%
MIA 30.0%
ORL 48.1% +18.1%
Mid FG%
41.8%
39.3%
MIA 49.1% +12.7%
ORL 36.4%
3P %
35.7%
38.1%
MIA 18.8%
ORL 29.6% +10.8%
FT %
75.4%
71.5%
MIA 90.0% +23.3%
ORL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
31.3%
MIA 12.7%
ORL 35.5% +22.9%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
35.2%
MIA 67.1%
ORL 28.9% −38.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
33.5%
MIA 20.3%
ORL 35.5% +15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes24.823.3
Points7686
Rebounds4154
Assists1519
Steals87
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)37 (1)
Field Goals32-7929-76
At-the-Rim FG3-1013-27
Midrange FG26-538-22
2-Point FG29-6321-49
3-Point FG3-168-27
Free Throws9-1020-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

16 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Shawn Marion
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
39.8
4
29%
8
2
2
2
3
4
1
7
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.3
33
57%
7
6
2
1
4
0
1
6
1-2
50%
16-27
59%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
34.3
12
46%
8
0
0
0
1
3
2
6
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
33.2
5
21%
2
4
1
0
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
1-7
14%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
23.6
2
100%
3
1
0
2
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
25.0
10
56%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
16.9
2
100%
6
0
1
0
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
13.7
8
44%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27
13.3
0
0%
1
2
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
Shaun Livingston
#8 · G · 6'7" 192 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Dorell Wright
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
James Jones
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
45%
41
15
8
5
12
0
7
34
9-10
90%
29-63
46%
3-16
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.