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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks55%9991
18Nets45%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.1
48.5
36.6
20
50%
6
3
3
1
1
5
0
6
2-5
40%
9-16
5-10
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.6
47.5
35.8
22
54%
5
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
4-9
44%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.5
46.1
32.9
9
44%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
44.7
40.0
13
39%
9
9
1
1
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
4-13
7-14
31%
49%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
32.4
35.4
10
53%
8
0
1
1
1
3
1
7
0-1
0%
5-9
5-9
56%
52%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.9
22.9
16.9
4
42%
8
4
2
0
2
3
3
5
0-4
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
15.7
16.8
3
150%
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
1-1
100%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
7.1
16.2
7
58%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
0.2
1.0
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-1
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
0.1
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.9
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.0
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.6
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.9
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
43.4
37.4
26
52%
4
11
1
2
1
8
0
4
6-7
86%
7-16
6-12
44%
50%
2-6
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
42.1
28.9
18
48%
4
4
0
1
2
3
0
4
1-2
50%
1-11
5-9
9%
48%
5-7
71%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
37.2
30.9
7
34%
11
2
2
1
2
4
4
7
1-1
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
25.1
24.6
12
86%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
2-3
67%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
23.6
23.8
8
31%
9
2
0
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
44%
0-2
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
33.7
16.4
7
44%
4
3
2
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
30.6
31.0
9
56%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
15.7
15.6
3
52%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
10.2
7.9
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
3.4
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
12.2
0
1-2
48%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
10.0
0
1-2
47%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.