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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pacers47%105105
21Knicks53%106103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
40.8
31.2
29
90%
5
2
3
1
0
5
1
4
5-5
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
47%
4-7
57%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.7
39.5
35.4
22
76%
4
6
2
1
3
2
0
4
10-10
100%
3-6
6-13
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.7
36.5
31.1
15
45%
18
4
3
1
0
3
5
13
4-6
67%
4-10
2-5
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.0
35.2
31.5
13
37%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.1
11.4
13.9
10
63%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
52%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.8
26.5
17.4
2
11%
2
4
1
1
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-8
3-6
13%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
19.6
24.0
4
42%
8
2
1
1
1
1
2
6
2-4
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
16.4
28.3
6
75%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.8
10.1
14.3
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.8
4.0
5.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.6
16.3
0
3-6
53%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
5.0
0
1-1
48%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.3
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.8
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
40.0
36.5
26
82%
11
3
5
1
0
5
4
7
2-2
100%
12-15
6-11
80%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.3
39.1
37.6
6
38%
9
7
4
1
0
6
0
9
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
37.1
33.7
13
39%
5
1
0
1
0
3
3
2
3-4
75%
5-12
4-9
42%
49%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
29.0
29.2
1
9%
5
1
0
1
4
0
3
2
1-2
50%
0-5
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.7
26.6
21.5
12
56%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.6
31.9
30.7
15
44%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
6-7
86%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
1-6
17%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
31.2
29.8
27
58%
6
0
0
1
1
3
0
6
3-5
60%
6-13
4-9
46%
47%
4-8
50%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.9
5.0
2.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-2
50%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.8
15.0
0
2-3
47%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.1
2.6
0
0-1
38%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
1.7
0
0-0
49%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.1
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.1
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.3
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.