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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings25%9092
13Pistons75%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
38.9
33.9
21
49%
8
4
0
1
0
3
2
6
6-6
100%
6-17
5-11
35%
49%
1-2
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.7
38.5
31.2
25
56%
16
1
0
1
0
4
8
8
9-10
90%
8-18
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
24.8
24.3
2
50%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
23.9
23.2
7
44%
3
1
3
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
20.2
26.2
2
20%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.9
33.7
30.6
20
49%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
12-12
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
47%
0-4
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
24.5
22.4
8
51%
10
0
1
1
2
3
4
6
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.8
18.4
21.1
5
50%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
17.1
13.8
2
17%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
7.3
0
1-1
46%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
4.7
0
0-1
41%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.4
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
45.0
37.9
23
45%
6
3
1
2
0
4
0
6
3-3
100%
10-23
6-12
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.8
43.0
40.9
23
72%
10
1
1
1
3
2
0
10
7-9
78%
8-12
6-12
67%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
42.7
37.2
38
57%
4
7
2
2
0
4
0
4
8-10
80%
15-28
6-12
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
37.9
22.0
10
63%
14
0
0
1
3
2
6
8
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
59%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.8
15.8
10.7
2
100%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
28.0
24.2
0
0%
3
0
1
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
22.0
17.6
2
26%
2
0
3
0
3
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
5.6
1.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
0.1
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
24.2
1
2-5
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.3
14.9
0
2-4
52%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.