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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1976ers25%9186
4Mavericks75%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
43.4
40.9
22
62%
4
5
2
2
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
6-11
54%
49%
2-4
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
39.8
33.5
8
37%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
39.1
35.5
17
50%
11
4
1
1
0
8
3
8
0-0
-
7-13
5-11
54%
48%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
24.6
25.0
11
43%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
46%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
21.0
19.4
0
0%
9
0
0
0
3
1
3
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
30.2
27.1
17
48%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-6
83%
6-13
4-10
46%
45%
0-2
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
24.2
14.3
6
80%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-4
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
11.9
16.0
2
50%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
5.8
6.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
13.3
0
3-5
48%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
5.2
0
0-1
40%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.5
39.1
29.7
31
52%
4
5
4
1
2
0
1
3
7-7
100%
9-24
7-13
38%
51%
2-3
67%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.8
33.4
34.7
5
42%
5
9
1
2
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-5
20%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
32.6
33.1
10
32%
7
2
0
1
1
3
1
6
4-6
67%
3-12
6-13
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.5
28.2
27.3
10
100%
14
1
1
0
0
2
5
9
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.3
21.6
12.5
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.3
35.7
35.3
21
59%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
52%
3-10
30%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
21.9
17.1
8
67%
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
19.8
14.1
9
85%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.9
7.4
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
0.2
2.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
14.6
0
1-3
51%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
11.0
0
1-2
47%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.