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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz31%98100
3Lakers69%104113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
42.7
35.7
10
26%
3
12
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-14
5-10
29%
49%
0-4
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
39.5
35.7
21
67%
13
2
0
1
2
3
4
9
6-6
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.9
31.1
34.7
16
45%
17
3
2
1
2
0
8
9
2-4
50%
7-16
6-11
44%
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.8
30.6
31.6
20
60%
2
1
0
2
0
1
2
0
4-6
67%
8-13
5-10
62%
53%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
30.5
28.2
7
28%
3
4
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-1
0%
2-8
3-7
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
19.8
35.8
10
73%
2
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
15.9
24.4
4
41%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
15.4
17.2
8
57%
8
1
1
0
2
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.6
6.4
10.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
5.3
10.9
2
100%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.1
2.9
4.0
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.5
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.0
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
41.8
30.4
11
41%
3
3
1
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
38.1
35.4
40
69%
7
4
2
1
1
2
3
4
12-14
86%
11-20
8-16
55%
51%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
36.6
32.4
21
59%
11
6
0
0
1
1
4
7
9-11
82%
6-13
6-10
46%
54%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
24.7
26.8
8
46%
2
0
0
0
3
1
0
2
2-6
33%
3-6
5-9
50%
58%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
15.7
22.6
2
25%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
32.3
24.5
12
71%
9
2
5
1
0
0
3
6
1-1
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
1-3
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
31.0
24.9
14
55%
7
2
0
1
1
2
0
7
4-6
67%
5-9
3-5
56%
53%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
16.1
22.6
3
23%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-5
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
3.3
9.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
0.4
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
3.8
0
0-1
51%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
2.3
0
0-1
47%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.