Final Win Prob. pScore
1239%92
100
1061%95
103
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
116.38683.6
ATL logo Hawks
118.48789.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUATL
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU100
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound100
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia100
103
Q4 - 0:01.0HOUSUB: Barry FOR Scola100
103
Q4 - 0:01.0HOURockets Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)100
103
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 14 AST)100
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
34.7%
100
65.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUMISS Alston Driving Layup100
44.3%
100
55.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)100
100
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)100
58.5%
100
41.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0HOUWafer 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)100
39.2%
100
60.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)98
25.7%
100
74.3%
Q4 - 1:09HOUWafer Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)98
16.8%
100
83.2%
Q4 - 1:09ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)98
27.9%
100
72.1%
Q4 - 1:26HOUScola 4' Layup (16 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)98
18.7%
100
81.3%
Q4 - 1:34ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)96
13.3%
100
86.7%
Q4 - 1:54ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)96
100
Q4 - 1:54HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)96
8.8%
100
91.2%
Q4 - 2:12HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)96
15.4%
100
84.6%
Q4 - 2:14ATLMISS Murray 11' Jump Shot96
12.8%
100
87.2%
Q4 - 2:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
8.2%
100
91.8%
Q4 - 2:35HOUMISS Wafer 28' 3PT Jump Shot96
10.0%
100
90.0%
Q4 - 2:41HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)96
15.6%
100
84.4%
Q4 - 2:44ATLMISS Johnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot96
12.9%
100
87.1%
Q4 - 3:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
9.9%
100
90.1%
Q4 - 3:11HOUMISS Brooks 7' Running Jump Shot96
11.6%
100
88.4%
Q4 - 3:20ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P4.T4)96
100
Q4 - 3:31HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)96
100
Q4 - 3:33ATLSmith Reverse Dunk (29 PTS) (Johnson 13 AST)96
19.4%
100
80.6%
Q4 - 3:36HOUPachulia STEAL (1 STL)96
25.3%
98
74.7%
Q4 - 3:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
33.5%
98
66.5%
Q4 - 3:52ATLSmith Putback Dunk (27 PTS)96
33.5%
98
66.5%
Q4 - 3:55ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot96
49.0%
96
51.0%
Q4 - 4:10ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
41.8%
96
58.2%
Q4 - 4:12HOUMISS Alston 8' Running Jump Shot96
45.0%
96
55.0%
Q4 - 4:30ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 12 AST)96
52.3%
96
47.7%
Q4 - 4:42HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)96
70.1%
93
29.9%
Q4 - 4:42ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford95
93
Q4 - 4:42HOUSUB: Yao FOR Landry95
93
Q4 - 4:42ATLHorford S.FOUL (P5.T3)95
93
Q4 - 4:42HOUAlston 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS)95
93
Q4 - 5:02ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)93
50.7%
93
49.3%
Q4 - 5:20HOULandry Dunk (18 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)93
58.8%
91
41.2%
Q4 - 5:39ATLJohnson Putback Layup (14 PTS)91
50.8%
91
49.2%
Q4 - 5:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
58.9%
89
41.1%
Q4 - 5:43ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup91
64.7%
89
35.3%
Q4 - 5:56ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
58.9%
89
41.1%
Q4 - 5:58HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot91
61.5%
89
38.5%
Q4 - 6:14ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)91
64.5%
89
35.5%
Q4 - 6:28HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)91
87
Q4 - 6:28HOULandry P.FOUL (P2.T1)91
87
Q4 - 6:33HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
70.9%
87
29.1%
Q4 - 6:33HOUScola Putback Layup (14 PTS)91
70.9%
87
29.1%
Q4 - 6:35HOUMISS Wafer 3' Driving Reverse Layup89
59.4%
87
40.6%
Q4 - 6:54ATLMurray 3' Layup (14 PTS)89
64.6%
87
35.4%
Q4 - 7:13HOUBrooks 4' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)89
68.4%
85
31.6%
Q4 - 7:22ATLSmith P.FOUL (P4.T2)87
85
Q4 - 7:37HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
62.7%
85
37.3%
Q4 - 7:39ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot87
60.5%
85
39.5%
Q4 - 8:03HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
54.7%
85
45.3%
Q4 - 8:03HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
53.3%
85
46.7%
Q4 - 8:03ATLHorford S.FOUL (P4.T1)85
85
Q4 - 8:03HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
48.0%
85
52.0%
Q4 - 8:03HOUMISS Alston 7' Jump Shot85
43.7%
85
56.3%
Q4 - 8:22ATLJohnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)85
48.0%
85
52.0%
Q4 - 8:33ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Law85
83
Q4 - 8:33ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)85
83
Q4 - 8:42HOUBrooks 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)85
54.8%
83
45.2%
Q4 - 8:55HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
41.6%
83
58.4%
Q4 - 8:57ATLMISS Smith 6' Turnaround Jump Shot82
39.8%
83
60.2%
Q4 - 9:22HOUWafer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)82
36.2%
83
63.8%
Q4 - 9:41HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
25.7%
83
74.3%
Q4 - 9:43ATLMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot79
24.4%
83
75.6%
Q4 - 10:00HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)79
21.5%
83
78.5%
Q4 - 10:28ATLJohnson 4' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)79
26.4%
83
73.6%
Q4 - 10:47ATLSUB: Smith FOR Pachulia79
81
Q4 - 10:47HOUBrooks Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)79
31.1%
81
68.9%
Q4 - 11:06ATLHorford 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Law 2 AST)79
36.1%
81
63.9%
Q4 - 11:22HOUBrooks 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
41.5%
79
58.5%
Q4 - 11:37HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
36.1%
79
63.9%
Q4 - 11:40ATLMISS Murray 15' Running Jump Shot77
34.7%
79
65.3%
Q4 - 12:0077
79
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL77
31.6%
79
68.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound77
31.6%
79
68.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 50' 3PT Jump Shot77
34.7%
79
65.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUBrooks 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)77
32.0%
79
68.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
27.3%
79
72.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot75
26.2%
79
73.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0HOULandry Putback Layup (14 PTS)75
23.8%
79
76.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
19.9%
79
80.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUMISS Wafer 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
18.0%
79
82.0%
Q3 - 1:01ATLPachulia 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
20.4%
79
79.6%
Q3 - 1:20ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
24.0%
77
76.0%
Q3 - 1:21HOUMISS Brooks 1' Driving Layup73
25.0%
77
75.0%
Q3 - 1:41ATLJohnson 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
27.4%
77
72.5%
Q3 - 2:01HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
31.8%
75
68.2%
Q3 - 2:01ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Jones72
75
Q3 - 2:01HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
30.9%
75
69.1%
Q3 - 2:01ATLJones L.B.FOUL (P5.PN)71
75
Q3 - 2:01HOURockets Rebound71
27.9%
75
72.1%
Q3 - 2:02HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
25.4%
75
74.6%
Q3 - 2:24ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)71
27.9%
75
72.1%
Q3 - 2:24HOULandry S.FOUL (P1.PN)71
74
Q3 - 2:24ATLPachulia 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Law 1 AST)71
74
Q3 - 2:35HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)71
36.0%
72
64.0%
Q3 - 2:35ATLSUB: Law FOR Bibby70
72
Q3 - 2:35HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
34.9%
72
65.1%
Q3 - 2:35ATLJones S.FOUL (P4.PN)69
72
Q3 - 2:35HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q3 - 2:37HOUMISS Brooks 3' Driving Layup69
29.1%
72
70.9%
Q3 - 2:53ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q3 - 2:53ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
32.7%
71
67.3%
Q3 - 2:53ATLSUB: Evans FOR Johnson69
70
Q3 - 2:53HOUSUB: Landry FOR Barry69
70
Q3 - 2:53HOUSUB: Brooks FOR Yao69
70
Q3 - 2:53HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)69
70
Q3 - 2:53HOUYao S.FOUL (P3.T4)69
70
Q3 - 3:08HOUWafer 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)69
35.8%
70
64.2%
Q3 - 3:27ATLJones Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)66
28.3%
70
71.7%
Q3 - 3:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
31.8%
68
68.2%
Q3 - 3:32ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
34.8%
68
65.2%
Q3 - 3:51HOUAlston 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
31.8%
68
68.2%
Q3 - 4:03ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P3.T4)64
68
Q3 - 4:16ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)64
28.6%
68
71.4%
Q3 - 4:16HOUScola S.FOUL (P2.T3)64
67
Q3 - 4:16ATLPachulia 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)64
67
Q3 - 4:21ATLSUB: Jones FOR Smith64
65
Q3 - 4:38HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
35.6%
65
64.4%
Q3 - 4:38HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
34.6%
65
65.4%
Q3 - 4:38ATLSmith S.FOUL (P3.T3)62
65
Q3 - 4:59ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)62
32.3%
65
67.7%
Q3 - 5:06ATLSUB: Murray FOR Evans62
62
Q3 - 5:06ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)62
62
Q3 - 5:06HOUWafer P.FOUL (P2.T2)62
62
Q3 - 5:24HOUWafer Putback Layup (9 PTS)62
39.3%
62
60.7%
Q3 - 5:25HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 5:26HOUMISS Wafer 5' Jump Shot60
32.9%
62
67.1%
Q3 - 5:43HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)60
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 5:45ATLMISS Smith 7' Driving Jump Shot60
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q3 - 6:01HOUScola 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q3 - 6:20ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 6:32HOUYao P.FOUL (P2.T1)58
60
Q3 - 6:33HOUBibby STEAL (1 STL)58
31.8%
60
68.2%
Q3 - 6:43ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)58
60
Q3 - 6:58ATLPachulia 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)58
35.7%
60
64.3%
Q3 - 7:21HOUBarry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)58
38.9%
58
61.1%
Q3 - 7:26HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
32.0%
58
68.0%
Q3 - 7:28HOUMISS Scola 7' Jump Shot55
29.6%
58
70.4%
Q3 - 7:46ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)55
32.0%
58
68.0%
Q3 - 8:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
35.1%
56
64.9%
Q3 - 8:03HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 255
35.6%
56
64.4%
Q3 - 8:03ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford55
56
Q3 - 8:03HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
37.7%
56
62.3%
Q3 - 8:03ATLHorford S.FOUL (P3.T1)54
56
Q3 - 8:10HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
35.4%
56
64.6%
Q3 - 8:12ATLMISS Horford 5' Driving Jump Shot54
34.2%
56
65.8%
Q3 - 8:31HOUWafer 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)54
31.7%
56
68.3%
Q3 - 8:50ATLHorford 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)51
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q3 - 9:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
28.8%
54
71.2%
Q3 - 9:10HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot51
29.7%
54
70.3%
Q3 - 9:33HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)51
32.0%
54
68.0%
Q3 - 9:35ATLMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper51
31.0%
54
69.0%
Q3 - 9:43ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
28.8%
54
71.2%
Q3 - 9:45HOUMISS Scola 11' Turnaround Jump Shot51
29.7%
54
70.3%
Q3 - 10:07HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)51
32.0%
54
68.0%
Q3 - 10:08ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup51
31.0%
54
69.0%
Q3 - 10:23ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
28.9%
54
71.1%
Q3 - 10:25HOUMISS Wafer 18' Jump Shot51
29.8%
54
70.2%
Q3 - 10:32HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)51
32.0%
54
68.0%
Q3 - 10:34ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup51
31.0%
54
69.0%
Q3 - 10:52HOUScola 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)51
28.9%
54
71.1%
Q3 - 11:07ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T8)49
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q3 - 11:07ATLHorford OFF.Foul (P2)49
54
Q3 - 11:22HOUBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)49
23.7%
54
76.3%
Q3 - 11:33ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)46
19.2%
54
80.8%
Q3 - 11:43HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)46
17.0%
54
83.0%
Q3 - 12:0046
54
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU46
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound46
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Wafer 20' Jump Shot46
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSUB: Evans FOR Smith46
54
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSmith P.FOUL (P2.T4)46
54
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLSmith 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)46
19.3%
54
80.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUAlston 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
22.0%
52
78.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLJohnson 8' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)44
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q2 - 1:03HOUHead 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)44
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q2 - 1:12HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 1:13ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot41
17.2%
50
82.8%
Q2 - 1:30ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)41
50
Q2 - 1:30HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)41
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 1:54HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 1:55ATLMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot41
17.2%
50
82.8%
Q2 - 2:00ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 2:01HOUMISS Head 28' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.8%
50
83.2%
Q2 - 2:12ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)41
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q2 - 2:29HOUYao Putback Dunk (16 PTS)41
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 2:30HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)39
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 2:31HOUHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)39
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 2:54ATLMurray Running Layup (12 PTS)39
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 2:59ATLHAWKS Rebound39
46
Q2 - 2:59ATLJump Ball Bibby vs. Head: Tip to Murray39
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q2 - 2:59HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
46
Q2 - 2:59HOUBibby BLOCK (1 BLK)39
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 3:06ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T3)39
46
Q2 - 3:16ATLJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)39
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 3:23ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
24.5%
44
75.5%
Q2 - 3:25HOUSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)39
25.3%
44
74.7%
Q2 - 3:26HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)39
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 3:28HOUMISS Wafer 3' Jump Shot39
25.3%
44
74.7%
Q2 - 3:37HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 3:38ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 139
26.9%
44
73.1%
Q2 - 3:38HOUScola S.FOUL (P1.T4)39
44
Q2 - 3:38ATLSmith 4' Layup (17 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)39
44
Q2 - 3:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
29.4%
42
70.6%
Q2 - 3:46HOUMISS Wafer 28' 3PT Jump Shot39
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 4:05ATLBibby 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)39
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 4:31HOUYao 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Head 2 AST)39
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q2 - 4:49HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 4:51ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot37
31.4%
40
68.6%
Q2 - 5:03HOUSUB: Alston FOR Landry37
40
Q2 - 5:03HOUSUB: Wafer FOR Brooks37
40
Q2 - 5:03HOUSUB: Scola FOR Barry37
40
Q2 - 5:03ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
40
Q2 - 5:03HOUBrooks Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)37
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 5:17ATLMurray 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 5:28HOUYao 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)37
35.1%
38
64.9%
Q2 - 5:52ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)35
32.3%
38
67.7%
Q2 - 6:04HOULandry Dunk (10 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)35
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 6:27ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)33
32.6%
36
67.4%
Q2 - 6:42HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)33
34.8%
34
65.2%
Q2 - 7:07ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
37.5%
34
62.5%
Q2 - 7:07ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Evans33
33
Q2 - 7:07ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
38.2%
33
61.8%
Q2 - 7:07HOUBrooks S.FOUL (P1.T3)33
32
Q2 - 7:15HOUSUB: Yao FOR Hayes33
32
Q2 - 7:15HOUHead P.FOUL (P1.T2)33
32
Q2 - 7:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
40.2%
32
59.8%
Q2 - 7:27HOUMISS Head 21' Jump Shot33
41.0%
32
59.0%
Q2 - 7:47ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
43.1%
32
56.9%
Q2 - 7:47ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 7:47ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Law33
30
Q2 - 7:4733
30
Q2 - 7:47HOUHayes S.FOUL (P1.T1)33
30
Q2 - 8:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q2 - 8:04HOUMISS Brooks 18' Jump Shot33
46.2%
30
53.8%
Q2 - 8:17HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
48.1%
30
51.9%
Q2 - 8:19HOUMISS Head 19' Running Jump Shot33
46.2%
30
53.8%
Q2 - 8:44HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
48.1%
30
51.9%
Q2 - 8:45ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
47.3%
30
52.7%
Q2 - 9:03HOULaw STEAL (2 STL)33
44.9%
30
55.1%
Q2 - 9:15ATLLaw 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
47.6%
30
52.4%
Q2 - 9:28HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
50.3%
28
49.7%
Q2 - 9:28ATLSUB: Smith FOR Jones32
28
Q2 - 9:28HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
49.7%
28
50.3%
Q2 - 9:28HOUSUB: Barry FOR Alston31
28
Q2 - 9:28ATLJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)31
28
Q2 - 9:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
47.6%
28
52.4%
Q2 - 9:35ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot31
46.8%
28
53.2%
Q2 - 9:42HOULaw STEAL (1 STL)31
44.9%
28
55.1%
Q2 - 10:02ATLEvans 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
47.4%
28
52.6%
Q2 - 10:22HOULandry 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Head 1 AST)31
49.9%
26
50.1%
Q2 - 10:40ATLMurray 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
47.4%
26
52.6%
Q2 - 10:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
49.9%
24
50.1%
Q2 - 10:49HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
50.8%
24
49.2%
Q2 - 11:07HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
52.2%
24
47.8%
Q2 - 11:09HOUMISS Brooks 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q2 - 11:22ATLMurray 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
52.2%
24
47.8%
Q2 - 11:42HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q2 - 11:42HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q2 - 11:42ATLJones S.FOUL (P2.T1)27
22
Q2 - 12:0027
22
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL27
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao27
22
Q1 - 0:07.0HOUAlston P.FOUL (P1.T4)27
22
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
49.2%
22
50.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
49.2%
22
50.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0HOUSUB: Head FOR Wafer26
22
Q1 - 0:34.0HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)25
22
Q1 - 0:48.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
46.2%
22
53.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Law 16' Jump Shot25
45.6%
22
54.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
44.3%
22
55.7%
Q1 - 1:00HOUEvans BLOCK (1 BLK)25
44.9%
22
55.1%
Q1 - 1:11HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q1 - 1:12ATLMISS Law 3' Layup25
45.2%
22
54.8%
Q1 - 1:28HOULandry Dunk (2 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)25
44.1%
22
55.9%
Q1 - 1:45ATLSUB: Jones FOR Pachulia23
22
Q1 - 1:45HOUSUB: Landry FOR Scola23
22
Q1 - 1:45HOUSUB: Brooks FOR Barry23
22
Q1 - 1:45ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T6)23
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 1:45ATLPachulia OFF.Foul (P2)23
22
Q1 - 1:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 1:53HOUMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q1 - 2:12ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)23
41.1%
22
58.9%
Q1 - 2:19ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
43.7%
20
56.3%
Q1 - 2:20HOUMISS Wafer 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 2:24HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q1 - 2:26ATLMISS Murray 4' Layup23
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 2:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 2:42HOUYao Putback Dunk (8 PTS)23
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 2:43HOUMISS Alston 4' Jump Shot21
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q1 - 2:52ATLSUB: Evans FOR Johnson21
20
Q1 - 2:52HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
20
Q1 - 2:59ATLLaw Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)21
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 3:05HOUMurray STEAL (1 STL)21
43.4%
18
56.6%
Q1 - 3:18ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)21
45.7%
18
54.3%
Q1 - 3:22HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)21
43.4%
18
56.6%
Q1 - 3:41ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
45.7%
18
54.3%
Q1 - 3:45ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
43.4%
18
56.6%
Q1 - 3:46HOUMISS Alston 28' 3PT Jump Shot21
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 4:08ATLSmith 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)21
44.7%
18
55.3%
Q1 - 4:28HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
46.6%
16
53.4%
Q1 - 4:28HOURockets Rebound20
16
Q1 - 4:28HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 220
46.1%
16
53.9%
Q1 - 4:28ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P1.T4)20
16
Q1 - 4:32HOURockets Rebound20
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 4:32ATLJump Ball Pachulia vs. Yao: Tip to Alston20
16
Q1 - 4:32HOUMISS Scola 3' Layup20
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 4:55ATLSmith 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)20
46.6%
16
53.4%
Q1 - 5:17ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Bibby20
14
Q1 - 5:17ATLSUB: Law FOR Horford20
14
Q1 - 5:17ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
14
Q1 - 5:17HOUBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
47.9%
14
52.1%
Q1 - 5:24HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 5:27ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper20
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 5:46HOUYao Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)20
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 6:07HOUBarry S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
12
Q1 - 6:20HOUScola 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)18
47.2%
12
52.8%
Q1 - 6:31HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
45.4%
12
54.6%
Q1 - 6:32ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot16
44.8%
12
55.2%
Q1 - 6:48ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
43.5%
12
56.5%
Q1 - 6:50HOUMISS Wafer Free Throw 1 of 116
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 6:50ATLSUB: Murray FOR Evans16
12
Q1 - 6:50ATLEvans S.FOUL (P1.T3)16
12
Q1 - 6:50HOUWafer 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
12
Q1 - 6:59ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
41.8%
12
58.2%
Q1 - 7:17HOUYao Putback Layup (4 PTS)14
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 7:18HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
38.4%
12
61.6%
Q1 - 7:20HOUMISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot12
37.1%
12
62.9%
Q1 - 7:35ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
38.4%
12
61.6%
Q1 - 7:35ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
38.7%
11
61.3%
Q1 - 7:35HOUWafer S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
10
Q1 - 7:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 7:38HOUMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot12
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 7:43ATLSmith L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)12
10
Q1 - 7:45ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 7:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 7:50HOUMISS Alston 8' Jump Shot12
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 7:59ATLHorford P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
10
Q1 - 8:00ATLJohnson Violation:Kicked Ball12
10
Q1 - 8:16ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)12
41.1%
10
58.9%
Q1 - 8:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
44.0%
7
56.0%
Q1 - 8:24HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot12
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 8:44HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 8:46ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 9:04HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)12
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 9:21ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)9
40.6%
7
59.4%
Q1 - 9:37HOUWafer 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)9
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 9:41HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
40.4%
5
59.6%
Q1 - 9:44ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper7
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 10:01HOUBarry 12' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)7
39.2%
5
60.8%
Q1 - 10:27ATLSmith 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)5
38.5%
5
61.5%
Q1 - 10:43HOUBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wafer 2 AST)5
39.1%
3
60.9%
Q1 - 10:53HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.0%
3
62.0%
Q1 - 10:54ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot2
37.9%
3
62.1%
Q1 - 11:14HOUYao Dunk (2 PTS) (Wafer 1 AST)2
37.8%
3
62.2%
Q1 - 11:25ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
37.8%
3
62.2%
Q1 - 11:25HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:25ATLSmith 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:33ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:34HOUMISS Wafer 18' Jump Shot0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:44ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Yao: Tip to Johnson0
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUATL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.10 54.9%
ATL
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
19
31
61%
ATL
20
26
77%
Midrange
HOU
9
25
36%
ATL
19
37
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
ATL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
HOU
17
20
85%
ATL
13
14
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Landry18100%9.0 / 9
V. Wafer1750%8.5 / 17
L. Scola1662%8.0 / 13
Yao1662%8.0 / 13
B. Barry1192%5.5 / 6
R. Alston1038%5.0 / 13
A. Brooks945%4.5 / 10
L. Head330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2985%14.5 / 17
R. Murray1757%8.5 / 15
J. Johnson1444%7.0 / 16
M. Bibby1365%6.5 / 10
A. Horford1063%5.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia10125%5.0 / 4
A. Law450%2.0 / 4
S. Jones4100%2.0 / 2
M. Evans250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
74
+16
-12
90
ATL
75
+5
-12
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.10 54.9%
ATL
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
109.2
HOU 116.3
ATL 118.4 +2.1
Pace
90.7
89.8
HOU 83.6
ATL 89.6 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.9
HOU 17.2
ATL 16.1 −1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
50.4%
HOU 53.9%
ATL 61.6% +7.7%
TO %
14.6%
13.6%
HOU 14.9%
ATL 13.2% −1.7%
ORB %
26.6%
26.0%
HOU 32.4% +19.1%
ATL 13.3%
FTrt
29.2
32.3
HOU 26.0 +6.8
ATL 19.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
56.1%
HOU 59.5%
ATL 62.8% +3.3%
STL %
7.4%
8.2%
HOU 7.0% +0.1%
ATL 6.9%
BLK %
6.5%
7.4%
HOU 0.0%
ATL 7.1% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
53.2%
HOU 54.9%
ATL 64.4% +9.5%
Rim FG%
55.5%
60.5%
HOU 61.3%
ATL 76.9% +15.6%
Mid FG%
41.5%
40.2%
HOU 36.0%
ATL 51.4% +15.4%
3P %
37.5%
36.6%
HOU 42.9% +2.9%
ATL 40.0%
FT %
80.7%
73.8%
HOU 85.0%
ATL 92.9% +7.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
32.2%
HOU 40.3% +4.6%
ATL 35.6%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
42.4%
HOU 32.5% −18.2%
ATL 50.7%
3P Att. %
25.4%
25.3%
HOU 27.3% +13.6%
ATL 13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUATL
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points100103
Rebounds3829
Assists2227
Steals66
Blocks04
Turnovers (Team)12 (3)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)25 (1)
Field Goals37-7743-73
At-the-Rim FG19-3120-26
Midrange FG9-2519-37
2-Point FG28-5639-63
3-Point FG9-214-10
Free Throws17-2013-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 32
43.6
10
38%
1
9
3
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
1-4
25%
F · 6'5" 209 · 23
40.5
17
50%
2
2
2
0
1
2
1
1
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 241 · 29
39.3
16
62%
11
1
0
0
1
2
3
8
6-8
75%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 310 · 28
33.0
16
62%
15
3
1
0
3
3
4
11
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 37
23.8
11
92%
1
3
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
G · 6'0" 161 · 24
23.6
9
45%
1
2
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 248 · 25
18.9
18
100%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
8-8
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 26
12.6
3
30%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26
4.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30
F · 6'7" 260 · 29
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
C · 7'2" 260 · 43
#31 · F · 6'8" 220 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · · 6'8" 268 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
55%
38
22
6
0
12
0
12
26
17-20
85%
28-56
50%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.