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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets39%92100
10Hawks61%96103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.4
43.6
30.1
10
37%
1
9
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
41%
1-4
25%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
40.5
7.5
17
49%
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
4-10
1-2
40%
45%
3-7
43%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
39.3
31.0
16
64%
11
1
0
1
0
1
3
8
6-8
75%
5-9
4-9
56%
50%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
33.0
30.3
16
62%
15
3
1
0
0
3
4
11
2-2
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
51%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
23.8
14.7
11
92%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
3-5
60%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
23.6
24.5
9
45%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
18.9
21.7
18
106%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
8-8
100%
5-5
3-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
12.6
11.2
3
30%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
4.9
7.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
32.3
1
4-9
45%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
26.6
1
3-6
45%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.9
6.0
0
0-1
42%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.5
3.0
0
0-0
51%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.1
39.9
39.5
29
82%
2
1
0
1
1
3
1
1
3-4
75%
13-15
5-11
87%
48%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
39.4
39.7
14
44%
4
14
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
7-15
6-13
47%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.6
32.5
38.4
13
65%
4
4
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
30.0
32.3
10
63%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
22.7
15.6
2
50%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
35.9
11.8
17
58%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-11
1-3
45%
45%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.9
17.5
18.7
10
102%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.9
15.5
2.1
4
50%
1
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
6.6
1.5
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
0.9
0
0-0
40%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.0
0.8
0
0-0
48%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.6
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.9
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.7
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.