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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nets27%9096
14Heat73%97101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
47.4
22.1
23
75%
5
7
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
46%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
44.4
32.5
20
39%
9
6
0
1
0
5
2
7
9-11
82%
4-16
5-10
25%
47%
1-5
20%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
42.0
23.7
19
62%
9
2
1
1
0
1
3
6
2-3
67%
4-8
1-3
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
38.2
22.7
13
51%
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
42%
1-3
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
30.9
31.7
12
35%
8
1
0
1
1
2
5
3
0-0
-
6-17
5-10
35%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
22.0
15.2
7
60%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
16.2
29.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
12.7
8.8
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
11.2
5.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
9.0
0
1-2
45%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
7.1
0
1-2
44%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
42.9
38.1
29
48%
8
6
3
2
4
4
3
5
13-17
76%
8-20
10-19
40%
52%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
38.9
35.2
5
32%
13
3
1
1
1
0
2
11
1-2
50%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
37.7
24.6
15
58%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
3-7
43%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
25.5
34.2
7
63%
6
5
2
2
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.4
12.0
22.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
41.0
16.0
17
58%
7
2
2
0
1
2
2
5
3-6
50%
7-12
4-7
58%
50%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.3
35.3
3.5
19
81%
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
50%
5-8
63%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
17.6
2.7
7
70%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
14.1
12.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
36.1
2
5-9
56%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
11.3
0
1-2
49%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.1
1.4
0
0-0
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.2
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.3
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.