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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Raptors40%9697
21Bucks60%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.5
38.5
31.7
12
68%
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.8
37.8
36.5
31
84%
11
5
0
1
0
2
2
9
7-10
70%
12-14
7-15
86%
49%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.2
36.7
32.4
21
76%
8
2
0
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-7
3-8
29%
43%
5-6
83%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.6
35.7
27.5
6
60%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
29.7
18.1
4
15%
1
11
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-11
2-4
18%
50%
0-2
0%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
18.3
14.5
11
65%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.9
15.9
19.6
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
13.6
21.3
3
31%
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
8.6
4.5
4
100%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
5.2
10.9
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
18.7
1
2-3
52%
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 24.5
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
44.1
33.2
35
73%
6
4
1
1
0
3
0
6
9-9
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
49%
4-10
40%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
26.4
19.3
4
50%
11
0
2
1
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
25.5
29.8
7
44%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.5
20.4
32.6
6
31%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
1-6
5-9
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
10.5
16.9
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
31.4
25.2
11
55%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
3-6
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
30.8
20.0
25
56%
6
4
1
0
1
2
4
2
1-1
100%
9-16
4-8
56%
49%
2-6
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
28.2
6.2
4
106%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
22.5
9.5
11
81%
1
8
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
16.0
0
2-3
46%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
12.1
0
0-1
41%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
7.0
0
1-2
49%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.7
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.