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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors25%100114
9Jazz75%109119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.8
48.0
31.4
28
60%
3
6
1
1
0
5
0
3
6-8
75%
8-14
4-8
57%
44%
2-6
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
36.5
31.2
14
70%
17
3
0
1
1
0
6
11
0-0
-
7-10
6-10
70%
57%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.8
24.0
37.4
15
58%
4
4
2
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-9
4-10
56%
44%
1-3
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
18.3
18.3
8
51%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
16.4
30.4
7
55%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-3
33%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
30.8
14.4
23
72%
5
3
1
0
0
2
0
5
13-16
81%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.7
23.1
28.9
5
42%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.0
18.6
19.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
15.3
13.1
14
102%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
3-3
100%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.8
9.0
9.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.5
4.5
0
1-2
46%
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
3.9
0
0-1
44%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
3.2
0
1-1
44%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.9
38.1
32.7
19
57%
14
1
0
1
2
3
7
7
3-4
75%
8-15
6-11
53%
56%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
35.9
38.7
25
69%
3
15
1
1
0
3
0
3
5-7
71%
7-11
6-11
64%
53%
2-4
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
33.4
37.2
20
70%
11
2
2
1
0
2
2
9
5-5
100%
6-9
6-11
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.8
28.2
30.7
13
43%
4
2
1
2
0
0
2
2
3-5
60%
5-13
6-10
38%
57%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
20.9
29.0
4
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
27.6
27.2
15
57%
5
3
1
1
2
1
3
2
5-7
71%
5-9
4-7
56%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
24.4
19.6
9
37%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
3-3
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
50%
0-4
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
19.4
16.0
11
64%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
5-6
83%
3-6
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
12.1
7.7
3
52%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.6
8.7
0
1-3
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.1
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.5
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.0
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.