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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets55%9496
1876ers45%92104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
42.1
23.3
14
41%
4
9
3
1
0
3
0
4
4-5
80%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
0-5
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
36.4
33.2
18
67%
17
0
2
1
0
2
6
11
4-8
50%
7-10
5-9
70%
51%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
33.2
34.1
10
36%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-9
3-6
33%
41%
1-4
25%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
30.6
30.9
14
56%
6
3
0
0
3
2
3
3
6-8
75%
4-9
7-13
44%
52%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
26.1
18.5
14
100%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
2-2
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
23.2
20.4
14
60%
9
0
0
0
0
2
5
4
4-4
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
22.9
23.9
6
23%
2
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
4-5
80%
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
0-4
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
19.9
17.4
6
60%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
5.7
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
18.9
1
2-5
45%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
11.8
0
1-2
46%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.5
4.6
0
0-1
51%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
42.9
40.7
28
65%
3
3
4
2
0
3
1
2
3-6
50%
11-15
6-11
73%
50%
1-4
25%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
35.8
36.0
9
43%
5
8
1
1
0
3
3
2
5-8
63%
2-7
6-11
29%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
35.5
35.8
8
37%
6
0
0
1
0
2
4
2
0-2
0%
4-10
5-10
40%
53%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
21.3
23.5
14
64%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
46%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
13.0
19.0
2
100%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
26.1
27.5
15
55%
3
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-8
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
23.2
12.3
15
67%
8
1
1
0
4
1
3
5
3-5
60%
6-9
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
18.9
16.2
3
80%
4
0
1
0
3
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
12.8
11.0
7
90%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
10.5
11.9
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
3.2
0
0-0
40%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.