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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Timberwolves45%9794
28Grizzlies55%9887
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.3
38.5
34.3
23
74%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
5-6
83%
3-6
4-10
50%
47%
4-7
57%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.3
34.3
30.5
14
59%
5
2
2
1
0
5
5
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
2-4
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.6
33.8
28.7
10
37%
3
9
3
1
0
2
2
1
5-6
83%
1-6
3-7
17%
42%
1-5
20%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.0
33.2
36.3
19
57%
12
1
1
1
4
4
2
10
3-4
75%
8-15
9-18
53%
51%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.2
21.1
14.9
15
84%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.9
27.9
23.2
2
25%
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.3
20.3
21.5
6
60%
7
1
0
0
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.8
17.8
15.1
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
13.2
12.8
3
50%
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
10.0
0
1-3
46%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
2.2
0
0-0
41%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.9
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.8
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.2
40.5
37.7
20
51%
8
5
2
1
0
1
2
6
4-4
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
50%
2-7
29%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
37.4
35.3
12
43%
6
1
2
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-11
6-12
55%
51%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
30.0
32.7
13
62%
4
2
1
1
2
4
2
2
1-1
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.8
27.8
26.0
9
59%
2
5
1
1
2
2
1
1
5-6
83%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
22.3
16.6
4
40%
3
0
1
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.5
36.8
29.5
22
54%
6
3
1
1
0
2
2
4
8-10
80%
7-16
5-10
44%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
20.1
20.9
3
32%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.7
14.2
14.3
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
7.4
5.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.3
3.7
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.1
6.8
0
0-1
44%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.6
1.4
0
0-0
53%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.5
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.