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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings33%9794
23Bulls67%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.9
38.9
35.1
29
69%
1
1
2
1
0
7
0
1
11-14
79%
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.7
34.5
33.4
18
75%
12
3
1
1
2
3
1
11
0-0
-
9-11
4-9
82%
48%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
32.0
32.7
12
47%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
28.8
19.9
6
50%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
14.8
20.3
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
30.8
24.1
7
52%
7
0
0
1
1
0
2
5
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
23.6
22.1
8
33%
5
1
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.7
15.9
23.8
3
32%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
12.0
14.5
5
83%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.8
8.7
22.3
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
10.7
0
1-2
47%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
36.4
27.0
14
47%
6
2
3
1
0
3
3
3
4-4
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.8
35.6
36.5
24
64%
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2
11-11
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.3
35.4
31.7
16
62%
3
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
52%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
26.4
27.2
8
52%
6
3
2
1
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
5.9
21.2
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.3
32.7
10.0
18
55%
10
1
0
0
0
2
3
7
10-12
83%
4-11
2-4
36%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
27.9
23.8
10
44%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
15.3
20.1
2
25%
6
1
1
1
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.1
12.6
13.1
2
100%
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.1
11.9
23.9
3
14%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-7
2-5
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
6.5
0
1-2
49%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.0
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.