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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hornets31%94116
2Lakers69%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
43.9
37.6
32
57%
3
15
3
2
0
0
0
3
9-9
100%
10-21
6-12
48%
50%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
41.8
40.9
40
70%
11
0
2
1
0
2
3
8
12-13
92%
14-23
8-16
61%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
36.9
27.8
10
56%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
2-4
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.6
32.2
35.3
6
32%
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
1-6
17%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
31.3
19.5
12
106%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
6-6
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.0
22.4
29.0
7
88%
7
1
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
16.7
22.6
4
53%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
6.2
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
4.5
6.7
5
87%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.8
4.1
12.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
7.7
0
1-1
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.6
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
42.1
30.9
10
51%
8
5
0
0
0
2
3
5
4-4
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
54%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
41.9
34.4
39
79%
4
7
0
1
1
4
0
4
5-6
83%
8-15
8-15
53%
50%
6-7
86%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
41.5
34.4
19
50%
5
6
2
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
0-5
2-6
0%
44%
6-13
46%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
35.2
29.8
7
40%
8
1
0
0
1
2
2
6
3-4
75%
2-7
5-9
29%
57%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
23.5
12.1
3
20%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-5
1-1
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
26.6
30.3
8
40%
4
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
2-7
29%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
12.7
27.9
12
65%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-5
60%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
10.5
21.8
5
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
6.1
2.6
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
1.9
0
0-0
51%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.