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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder33%9687
24Timberwolves67%101129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.2
30.4
31.0
8
50%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
29.6
36.0
16
59%
1
12
0
2
0
2
0
1
6-8
75%
5-9
5-11
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.3
22.2
41.9
9
31%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-11
7-15
27%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
18.8
37.3
9
56%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.1
14.0
14.5
4
50%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
28.1
9.2
17
83%
10
0
1
0
0
1
1
9
5-5
100%
6-8
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.6
23.4
25.1
7
35%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
1-3
33%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.0
20.8
12.1
7
35%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
42%
1-2
50%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.9
17.5
4.5
2
50%
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
14.6
7.5
6
38%
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
12.6
20.1
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
8.0
20.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.9
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.6
34.6
30.5
9
56%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-8
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.3
29.5
35.8
32
86%
3
6
2
1
1
1
0
3
6-6
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
6-9
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.0
29.4
34.6
21
58%
13
0
1
1
1
1
5
8
5-9
56%
8-14
9-18
57%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.4
26.9
31.9
10
42%
6
3
3
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
2-7
29%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.2
24.8
17.9
14
78%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
56%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.8
26.2
16.2
14
49%
4
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1-3
33%
5-9
2-3
56%
48%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.3
22.9
20.9
16
85%
15
2
0
0
1
2
4
11
8-10
80%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.9
22.0
25.2
8
62%
4
3
1
0
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
9.7
12.8
0
0%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
6.9
7.6
3
50%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.9
6.9
2.1
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-5
0-0
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.8
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.