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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat27%9397
6Nuggets73%101108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
44.8
40.3
31
63%
3
4
1
2
2
4
0
3
4-4
100%
12-21
10-20
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
40.6
29.2
25
66%
13
2
2
1
0
1
1
12
6-7
86%
8-14
4-7
57%
54%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
36.9
36.2
10
50%
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
36.0
31.0
12
76%
1
7
2
2
0
7
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.4
11.9
14.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
22.9
11.6
3
38%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
20.6
25.5
12
47%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
15.2
10.4
4
37%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-5
20%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
11.1
13.7
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
18.8
0
1-3
40%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
5.3
0
0-1
47%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.1
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
38.6
30.3
14
58%
6
2
0
1
1
4
3
3
6-7
86%
4-9
5-8
44%
58%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.0
36.3
33.4
14
66%
8
2
3
1
3
0
0
8
4-6
67%
2-6
5-10
33%
52%
2-2
100%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.0
35.1
19.0
21
69%
7
2
0
0
0
2
1
6
5-5
100%
2-7
2-3
29%
55%
4-6
67%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.3
33.5
35.2
21
67%
3
6
3
1
0
5
1
2
5-6
83%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
2-6
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.0
22.6
20.3
6
34%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.3
27.2
26.4
21
63%
4
3
3
1
1
0
0
4
3-6
50%
6-9
3-6
67%
53%
2-5
40%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.6
25.5
20.2
5
53%
2
9
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
21.1
17.1
6
80%
7
0
0
0
2
1
1
6
2-4
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.6
30.8
1
6-13
50%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
4.6
0
1-1
53%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.5
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.2
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.