Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Heat	27%	93	97	102.1	95	93.8
	6	Nuggets	73%	101	108	114.9	94	95.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 27	44.8	31	62%	3	4	1	2	4	2	0	3	4-4	100%	12-21	57%	1-2	50%
Shawn Marion F · 6'7" 228 · 31	40.6	25	66%	13	2	2	0	1	1	1	12	6-7	86%	8-14	57%	1-2	50%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 29	36.9	10	50%	6	1	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 23	36.0	12	75%	1	7	2	0	7	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 26	11.9	0	0%	1	0	0	3	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Yakhouba Diawara F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26	22.9	3	38%	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 20	20.6	12	46%	3	3	1	0	1	4	0	3	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 25	15.2	4	40%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 31	11.1	0	0%	4	0	1	0	0	5	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Daequan Cook G · 6'5" 210 · 22	\| DND - INJ - Left Leg Contusion
Marcus Banks G · 6'2" 205 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright #1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Jones #22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	56%	34	19	8	5	15	0	5	29	15-16	94%	32-63	51%	6-16	38%

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17 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 27	44.8	31	62%	3	4	1	2	4	2	0	3	4-4	100%	12-21	57%	1-2	50%
Shawn Marion F · 6'7" 228 · 31	40.6	25	66%	13	2	2	0	1	1	1	12	6-7	86%	8-14	57%	1-2	50%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 29	36.9	10	50%	6	1	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 23	36.0	12	75%	1	7	2	0	7	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 26	11.9	0	0%	1	0	0	3	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Yakhouba Diawara F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26	22.9	3	38%	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 20	20.6	12	46%	3	3	1	0	1	4	0	3	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 25	15.2	4	40%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 31	11.1	0	0%	4	0	1	0	0	5	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Daequan Cook G · 6'5" 210 · 22	\| DND - INJ - Left Leg Contusion
Marcus Banks G · 6'2" 205 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright #1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Jones #22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	56%	34	19	8	5	15	0	5	29	15-16	94%	32-63	51%	6-16	38%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 26	38.6	14	58%	6	2	0	1	4	4	3	3	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	36.3	14	64%	8	2	3	3	0	1	0	8	4-6	67%	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	35.1	21	70%	7	2	0	0	2	0	1	6	5-5	100%	2-7	29%	4-6	67%
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	33.5	21	66%	3	6	3	0	5	3	1	2	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	22.6	6	33%	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%

JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	27.2	21	66%	4	3	3	1	0	3	0	4	3-6	50%	6-9	67%	2-5	40%
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 34	25.5	5	50%	2	9	0	0	3	1	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31	21.1	6	75%	7	0	0	2	1	3	1	6	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 25	\| DND - INJ - Non-Displaced Third Metacarp
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sonny Weems G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Johan Petro #27 · C · 7'0" 247 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	59%	41	24	9	7	16	0	9	32	30-40	75%	24-49	49%	10-21	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.11 55.7%

DEN

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

11

23

48%

DEN

14

22

64%

Midrange

MIA

21

40

53%

DEN

10

27

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

6

9.0

16

38%

56%

DEN

10

15.0

21

48%

71%

Free Throws

MIA

15

16

94%

DEN

30

40

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	31	62%	15.5 / 25
S. Marion	25	66%	12.5 / 19
M. Chalmers	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Beasley	12	46%	6.0 / 13
U. Haslem	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Quinn	4	40%	2.0 / 5
Y. Diawara	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Anthony	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Magloire	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Kleiza	21	70%	10.5 / 15
C. Billups	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Smith	21	66%	10.5 / 16
Nene	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Martin	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Jones	6	33%	3.0 / 9
C. Andersen	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Carter	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 107.6 6 110.2	MIA 102.1 DEN 114.9 +12.8
Pace	23 90.2 6 94.5	MIA 93.8 DEN 95.2 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time	7 16.3 26 14.7	MIA 15.3 DEN 15.1 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 50.0% 7 51.2%	MIA 51.9% DEN 55.7% +3.8%
TO %	3 13.1% 26 15.8%	MIA 14.8% −0.6% DEN 15.4%
ORB %	24 24.6% 15 27.5%	MIA 13.5% DEN 23.7% +10.2%
FTrt	24 28.2 1 38.2	MIA 20.3 DEN 57.1 +36.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 55.1% 6 59.5%	MIA 50.0% DEN 70.6% +20.6%
STL %	5 8.7% 3 9.1%	MIA 8.4% DEN 9.6% +1.2%
BLK %	2 9.2% 1 9.7%	MIA 10.2% DEN 11.1% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 52.6% 3 54.8%	MIA 55.7% DEN 59.3% +3.6%
Rim FG%	9 59.5% 6 60.5%	MIA 47.8% DEN 63.6% +15.8%
Mid FG%	8 41.8% 27 38.7%	MIA 52.5% +15.5% DEN 37.0%
3P %	22 35.7% 13 37.1%	MIA 37.5% DEN 47.6% +10.1%
FT %	23 75.4% 20 76.0%	MIA 93.8% +18.8% DEN 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 30.3% 4 39.7%	MIA 29.1% DEN 31.4% +2.3%
Mid Att. %	22 45.2% 3 37.6%	MIA 50.6% DEN 38.6% −12.1%
3P Att. %	8 24.5% 15 22.7%	MIA 20.3% DEN 30.0% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	97	108
Rebounds	34	41
Assists	19	24
Steals	8	9
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	38-79	34-70
At-the-Rim FG	11-23	14-22
Midrange FG	21-40	10-27
2-Point FG	32-63	24-49
3-Point FG	6-16	10-21
Free Throws	15-16	30-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg