Final Win Prob. pScore
1727%93
97
673%101
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
102.19593.8
DEN logo Nuggets
114.99495.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN97
108
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (31 PTS)97
108
Q4 - 0:14.0DENMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 9 AST)95
108
Q4 - 0:36.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
105
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
105
Q4 - 0:46.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)95
105
Q4 - 0:46.0DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)95
104
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.PN)95
103
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)95
103
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot95
103
Q4 - 1:11MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)95
103
Q4 - 1:11MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)95
103
Q4 - 1:12DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 295
103
Q4 - 1:12DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)95
103
Q4 - 1:12MIADiawara S.FOUL (P4.PN)95
102
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)95
102
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)94
102
Q4 - 1:13DENSmith P.FOUL (P3.PN)93
102
Q4 - 1:19MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)93
102
Q4 - 1:20DENMISS Martin 14' Running Jump Shot93
102
Q4 - 1:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
102
Q4 - 1:38DENMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 293
102
Q4 - 1:38DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
102
Q4 - 1:38MIADiawara S.FOUL (P3.PN)93
101
Q4 - 1:57DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
101
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
101
Q4 - 2:15DENSmith Dunk (21 PTS)93
101
Q4 - 2:18MIABillups STEAL (3 STL)93
99
Q4 - 2:28MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)93
99
Q4 - 2:30DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot93
99
Q4 - 2:47MIAMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)93
99
Q4 - 3:03DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)90
99
Q4 - 3:07DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
96
Q4 - 3:08DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
96
Q4 - 3:31MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)90
96
Q4 - 3:45DENBillups 11' Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
96
Q4 - 4:07MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)88
94
Q4 - 4:07MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)87
94
Q4 - 4:07DENNene S.FOUL (P4.PN)86
94
Q4 - 4:09MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
94
Q4 - 4:11MIAMartin BLOCK (3 BLK)86
94
Q4 - 4:24DENSUB: Smith FOR Kleiza86
94
Q4 - 4:24MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers86
94
Q4 - 4:24MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)86
94
Q4 - 4:25DENCarter 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)86
94
Q4 - 4:41MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T14)86
92
Q4 - 4:51MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)86
92
Q4 - 4:52DENMISS Martin 11' Jump Shot86
92
Q4 - 5:20MIAWade Driving Dunk (25 PTS)86
92
Q4 - 5:32DENCarter P.FOUL (P1.T4)84
92
Q4 - 5:46DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)84
92
Q4 - 5:46DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
91
Q4 - 5:46DENSUB: Martin FOR Andersen84
90
Q4 - 5:46MIADiawara P.FOUL (P2.PN)84
90
Q4 - 5:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
90
Q4 - 5:59MIANene BLOCK (1 BLK)84
90
Q4 - 6:13MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
90
Q4 - 6:14DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
90
Q4 - 6:35MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
90
Q4 - 6:35MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
90
Q4 - 6:35DENNene S.FOUL (P3.T3)82
90
Q4 - 6:42DENAndersen P.FOUL (P3.T2)82
90
Q4 - 6:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
90
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper82
90
Q4 - 6:58MIASUB: Marion FOR Beasley82
90
Q4 - 6:58MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)82
90
Q4 - 7:06DENAndersen Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)82
90
Q4 - 7:25MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Quinn82
88
Q4 - 7:25MIASUB: Haslem FOR Magloire82
88
Q4 - 7:25DEN82
88
Q4 - 7:25DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
88
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot82
88
Q4 - 7:38DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)82
88
Q4 - 7:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
88
Q4 - 7:44DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 282
88
Q4 - 7:44DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
88
Q4 - 7:44MIABeasley P.FOUL (P4.PN)82
87
Q4 - 7:59MIADiawara L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)82
87
Q4 - 7:59DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
87
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
87
Q4 - 8:05DENSUB: Billups FOR Smith82
87
Q4 - 8:05MIAHeat Rebound82
87
Q4 - 8:06MIAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)82
87
Q4 - 8:24DENNene 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)82
87
Q4 - 8:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
85
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot82
85
Q4 - 8:53MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
85
Q4 - 8:55DENMISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper82
85
Q4 - 9:05MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P4.T3)82
85
Q4 - 9:19DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)82
85
Q4 - 9:26MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)82
85
Q4 - 9:42MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
85
Q4 - 9:44DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
85
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
85
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)78
85
Q4 - 9:51DENSmith S.FOUL (P2.T1)77
85
Q4 - 9:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
85
Q4 - 9:54DENMISS Kleiza 17' Jump Shot77
85
Q4 - 10:08DENSUB: Nene FOR Martin77
85
Q4 - 10:08MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P2.T2)77
85
Q4 - 10:08DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
85
Q4 - 10:09DENMISS Martin 6' Jump Hook Shot77
85
Q4 - 10:33MIABeasley 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
85
Q4 - 10:45DENAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)75
85
Q4 - 11:01MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)75
85
Q4 - 11:21DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
85
Q4 - 11:21DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
84
Q4 - 11:21MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P1.T1)72
83
Q4 - 11:24MIAMartin STEAL (3 STL)72
83
Q4 - 11:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
83
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot72
83
Q4 - 11:46DENNUGGETS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)72
83
Q4 - 11:46DENNUGGETS Rebound72
83
Q4 - 11:46DENMISS Smith Free Throw Technical72
83
Q4 - 11:46MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Magloire )72
83
Q4 - 12:0072
83
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
83
Q3 - 0:01.0DENSmith 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
83
Q3 - 0:07.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
81
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Marion 9' Turnaround Jump Shot72
81
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)72
81
Q3 - 0:32.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 272
81
Q3 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers72
81
Q3 - 0:32.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
81
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)72
80
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMarion 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)72
80
Q3 - 0:59.0DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)70
80
Q3 - 1:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)70
78
Q3 - 1:31DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
78
Q3 - 1:31DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Billups70
77
Q3 - 1:31DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
77
Q3 - 1:31MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T3)70
76
Q3 - 1:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
76
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Haslem Layup70
76
Q3 - 1:41MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
76
Q3 - 1:43DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Bank Shot70
76
Q3 - 2:01MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS)70
76
Q3 - 2:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
76
Q3 - 2:05MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)68
76
Q3 - 2:19DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)68
76
Q3 - 2:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
74
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot68
74
Q3 - 2:37DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene68
74
Q3 - 2:37MIAHeat Rebound68
74
Q3 - 2:38MIAMartin BLOCK (2 BLK)68
74
Q3 - 2:50DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)68
74
Q3 - 3:02MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)68
74
Q3 - 3:02DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)67
74
Q3 - 3:02MIAMarion 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
74
Q3 - 3:04DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)65
74
Q3 - 3:30MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)65
74
Q3 - 4:00DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)63
74
Q3 - 4:06DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
71
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot63
71
Q3 - 4:27MIASUB: Beasley FOR Anthony63
71
Q3 - 4:27DENSUB: Carter FOR Jones63
71
Q3 - 4:27DENSUB: Smith FOR Kleiza63
71
Q3 - 4:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)63
71
Q3 - 4:30DENKleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)63
71
Q3 - 4:36DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
68
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
68
Q3 - 5:03DENBillups 14' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 5:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
66
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
66
Q3 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
66
Q3 - 5:45DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot63
66
Q3 - 6:04MIAMarion 7' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)63
66
Q3 - 6:23DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
66
Q3 - 6:23DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
65
Q3 - 6:23MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T2)61
64
Q3 - 6:42DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
64
Q3 - 6:43MIAMarion Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)61
64
Q3 - 6:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
64
Q3 - 6:50DENJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
64
Q3 - 6:50DENMISS Jones Layup59
64
Q3 - 6:52DENMISS Jones Layup59
64
Q3 - 7:07DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
64
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot59
64
Q3 - 7:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
64
Q3 - 7:18DENMISS Nene Layup59
64
Q3 - 7:38MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)59
64
Q3 - 7:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
64
Q3 - 7:45DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot57
64
Q3 - 7:58MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P6.T11)57
64
Q3 - 7:58MIAChalmers OFF.Foul (P2)57
64
Q3 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
64
Q3 - 8:05DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
64
Q3 - 8:11MIABillups STEAL (2 STL)57
64
Q3 - 8:23DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
64
Q3 - 8:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
62
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Marion Layup57
62
Q3 - 8:43DENNene Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)57
62
Q3 - 8:58MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)57
62
Q3 - 9:16DENBillups Foul Turnover (P4.T11)57
62
Q3 - 9:16DENBillups OFF.Foul (P3)57
62
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
62
Q3 - 9:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
62
Q3 - 9:39DENMISS Jones Layup55
62
Q3 - 9:41DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
62
Q3 - 9:42DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 9:45DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
62
Q3 - 9:47DENMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 10:06MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)55
62
Q3 - 10:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
62
Q3 - 10:16DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot53
62
Q3 - 10:20DENNUGGETS Rebound53
62
Q3 - 10:20DENMISS Kleiza Driving Layup53
62
Q3 - 10:36DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
62
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot53
62
Q3 - 10:46DENKleiza Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)53
62
Q3 - 10:46DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)53
61
Q3 - 10:46DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)53
60
Q3 - 10:46MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)53
59
Q3 - 10:59MIAWade 27' 3PT Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)53
59
Q3 - 11:25DENKleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)50
59
Q3 - 11:40MIAChalmers Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)50
59
Q3 - 12:0048
59
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
59
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
59
Q2 - 0:01.0MIASmith STEAL (3 STL)48
59
Q2 - 0:09.0DENBillups Driving Layup (9 PTS)48
59
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
57
Q2 - 0:43.0DENBillups Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)46
57
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)46
55
Q2 - 1:09MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
55
Q2 - 1:10DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
55
Q2 - 1:34MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)44
55
Q2 - 1:53DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
55
Q2 - 1:53MIASUB: Diawara FOR Anthony42
54
Q2 - 1:53DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
54
Q2 - 1:53MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P3.PN)42
53
Q2 - 1:56MIAMartin STEAL (2 STL)42
53
Q2 - 2:23DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)42
53
Q2 - 2:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
50
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot42
50
Q2 - 2:45DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
50
Q2 - 2:45MIAHeat Rebound42
50
Q2 - 2:45DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot42
50
Q2 - 2:52DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
50
Q2 - 2:53MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup42
50
Q2 - 3:04DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
50
Q2 - 3:04DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
49
Q2 - 3:04DENSUB: Jones FOR Kleiza42
48
Q2 - 3:04DENSUB: Martin FOR Andersen42
48
Q2 - 3:04MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.PN)42
48
Q2 - 3:16MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
48
Q2 - 3:24DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)40
48
Q2 - 3:33DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
48
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot40
48
Q2 - 3:44MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
48
Q2 - 3:47DENMISS Nene 4' Jump Hook Shot40
48
Q2 - 4:00MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)40
48
Q2 - 4:27DENKleiza Dunk (15 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)37
48
Q2 - 4:47MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS)37
46
Q2 - 5:05DENSmith Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST)35
46
Q2 - 5:22MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)35
44
Q2 - 5:29MIASUB: Anthony FOR Diawara35
44
Q2 - 5:2935
44
Q2 - 5:29MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)35
44
Q2 - 5:40DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)35
44
Q2 - 5:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
41
Q2 - 5:48DENMISS Kleiza 6' Turnaround Jump Shot35
41
Q2 - 5:51DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
41
Q2 - 5:53DENMISS Kleiza 8' Running Jump Shot35
41
Q2 - 6:15MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
41
Q2 - 6:25DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
41
Q2 - 6:25MIASUB: Marion FOR Beasley33
40
Q2 - 6:25MIABeasley S.FOUL (P3.T4)33
40
Q2 - 6:25DENNene Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)33
40
Q2 - 6:33DENSUB: Billups FOR Carter33
38
Q2 - 6:33DENNUGGETS Rebound33
38
Q2 - 6:33MIAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)33
38
Q2 - 6:48DENKleiza Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)33
38
Q2 - 7:06MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)33
36
Q2 - 7:16MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
36
Q2 - 7:17DENMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot31
36
Q2 - 7:35MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)31
36
Q2 - 7:39DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)29
36
Q2 - 7:41DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
36
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot29
36
Q2 - 7:56MIAHeat Rebound29
36
Q2 - 7:56DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 229
36
Q2 - 7:56MIASUB: Haslem FOR Magloire29
36
Q2 - 7:56DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
36
Q2 - 7:56MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P3.T3)29
35
Q2 - 8:12MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P2.T2)29
35
Q2 - 8:16DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot29
35
Q2 - 8:30MIAHeat Rebound29
35
Q2 - 8:30DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
35
Q2 - 8:38MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)29
35
Q2 - 8:47MIASUB: Beasley FOR Quinn29
35
Q2 - 8:47MIASUB: Wade FOR Marion29
35
Q2 - 8:47MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
35
Q2 - 8:57DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)29
35
Q2 - 9:03DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
32
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup29
32
Q2 - 9:16MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
32
Q2 - 9:17DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 229
32
Q2 - 9:17DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
32
Q2 - 9:17MIAMarion S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
31
Q2 - 9:34MIAMarion Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)29
31
Q2 - 9:50DENSmith 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
31
Q2 - 10:09MIAMarion 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)27
29
Q2 - 10:25DENSUB: Nene FOR Martin25
29
Q2 - 10:25DENAndersen P.FOUL (P2.T2)25
29
Q2 - 10:41DENAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)25
29
Q2 - 10:47MIAChalmers 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
27
Q2 - 11:02MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
27
Q2 - 11:03DENMISS Smith Driving Reverse Layup23
27
Q2 - 11:12MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
27
Q2 - 11:12MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
27
Q2 - 11:12DENAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
27
Q2 - 11:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
27
Q2 - 11:22DENMISS Kleiza 15' Turnaround Jump Shot21
27
Q2 - 11:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
27
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Magloire 5' Jump Hook Shot21
27
Q2 - 12:0021
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN21
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound21
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 48' 3PT Jump Shot21
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)21
27
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)21
27
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMarion Layup (5 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
24
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot19
24
Q1 - 0:34.0DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)19
24
Q1 - 0:38.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
24
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
24
Q1 - 0:56.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
24
Q1 - 0:56.0DENNUGGETS Rebound19
23
Q1 - 0:56.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 219
23
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.PN)19
23
Q1 - 1:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
23
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 1:19MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
23
Q1 - 1:20DENMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 1:33DENSmith Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)19
23
Q1 - 1:33MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Magloire )19
22
Q1 - 1:45DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 2:01MIAQuinn Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)19
22
Q1 - 2:01DENMartin T.FOUL (P1.PN)18
22
Q1 - 2:03DENMartin Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)18
22
Q1 - 2:15MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
20
Q1 - 2:26MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20
Q1 - 2:28DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 218
20
Q1 - 2:28DENNUGGETS Rebound18
20
Q1 - 2:28DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 218
20
Q1 - 2:28DENSUB: Smith FOR Kleiza18
20
Q1 - 2:28MIASUB: Magloire FOR Beasley18
20
Q1 - 2:28MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers18
20
Q1 - 2:28MIASUB: Diawara FOR Haslem18
20
Q1 - 2:28DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
20
Q1 - 2:28MIABeasley S.FOUL (P2.PN)18
20
Q1 - 2:48MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
20
Q1 - 2:58DENJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 3:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
18
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 3:21DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene16
18
Q1 - 3:21DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)16
18
Q1 - 3:38MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 3:38DENSUB: Carter FOR Billups15
18
Q1 - 3:38MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 3:38DENBillups P.FOUL (P2.PN)14
18
Q1 - 3:48DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)14
18
Q1 - 4:01MIABeasley L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)14
18
Q1 - 4:01DENNUGGETS Rebound14
18
Q1 - 4:01MIAMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot14
18
Q1 - 4:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
18
Q1 - 4:23DENMISS Nene Layup14
18
Q1 - 4:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
18
Q1 - 4:40MIAMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)14
18
Q1 - 4:58DENMartin 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)14
18
Q1 - 5:13MIABeasley 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
16
Q1 - 5:27DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)12
16
Q1 - 5:44MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)12
16
Q1 - 5:48DENJones P.FOUL (P1.T4)10
16
Q1 - 5:53DENBillups P.FOUL (P1.T3)10
16
Q1 - 5:57DENMartin P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
16
Q1 - 6:09DENBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)10
16
Q1 - 6:10MIABillups STEAL (1 STL)10
16
Q1 - 6:29DENKleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)10
16
Q1 - 6:54MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)10
13
Q1 - 7:08DENJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
13
Q1 - 7:30MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
13
Q1 - 7:52DENNene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)5
13
Q1 - 7:56MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
11
Q1 - 7:56MIAHeat Rebound4
11
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 24
11
Q1 - 7:56DENNene S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
11
Q1 - 8:08DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
11
Q1 - 8:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 8:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11
Q1 - 8:33DENMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
11
Q1 - 9:00DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
11
Q1 - 9:16MIAMarion Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
8
Q1 - 9:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8
Q1 - 9:32DENMISS Nene 11' Jump Shot0
8
Q1 - 9:41MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T3)0
8
Q1 - 9:46DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
8
Q1 - 10:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
8
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot0
8
Q1 - 10:16MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)0
8
Q1 - 10:23DENJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
8
Q1 - 10:27DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot0
6
Q1 - 10:51DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)0
6
Q1 - 11:02MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)0
4
Q1 - 11:16DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 11:16MIASUB: Beasley FOR Anthony0
3
Q1 - 11:16DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
3
Q1 - 11:16MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T2)0
2
Q1 - 11:21DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Anthony Layup0
2
Q1 - 11:44DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:44DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:44MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Anthony: Tip to Kleiza0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
DEN
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
23
48%
DEN
14
22
64%
Midrange
MIA
21
40
53%
DEN
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
DEN
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
15
16
94%
DEN
30
40
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3162%15.5 / 25
S. Marion2566%12.5 / 19
M. Chalmers1275%6.0 / 8
M. Beasley1246%6.0 / 13
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
C. Quinn440%2.0 / 5
Y. Diawara338%1.5 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Kleiza2170%10.5 / 15
C. Billups2166%10.5 / 16
J. Smith2166%10.5 / 16
Nene1458%7.0 / 12
K. Martin1464%7.0 / 11
D. Jones633%3.0 / 9
C. Andersen675%3.0 / 4
A. Carter550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+7
-15
87
DEN
78
+11
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
DEN
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
110.2
MIA 102.1
DEN 114.9 +12.8
Pace
90.2
94.5
MIA 93.8
DEN 95.2 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.7
MIA 15.3
DEN 15.1 −0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.2%
MIA 51.9%
DEN 55.7% +3.8%
TO %
13.1%
15.8%
MIA 14.8% −0.6%
DEN 15.4%
ORB %
24.6%
27.5%
MIA 13.5%
DEN 23.7% +10.2%
FTrt
28.2
38.2
MIA 20.3
DEN 57.1 +36.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
59.5%
MIA 50.0%
DEN 70.6% +20.6%
STL %
8.7%
9.1%
MIA 8.4%
DEN 9.6% +1.2%
BLK %
9.2%
9.7%
MIA 10.2%
DEN 11.1% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
54.8%
MIA 55.7%
DEN 59.3% +3.6%
Rim FG%
59.5%
60.5%
MIA 47.8%
DEN 63.6% +15.8%
Mid FG%
41.8%
38.7%
MIA 52.5% +15.5%
DEN 37.0%
3P %
35.7%
37.1%
MIA 37.5%
DEN 47.6% +10.1%
FT %
75.4%
76.0%
MIA 93.8% +18.8%
DEN 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
39.7%
MIA 29.1%
DEN 31.4% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
37.6%
MIA 50.6%
DEN 38.6% −12.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
22.7%
MIA 20.3%
DEN 30.0% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points97108
Rebounds3441
Assists1924
Steals89
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals38-7934-70
At-the-Rim FG11-2314-22
Midrange FG21-4010-27
2-Point FG32-6324-49
3-Point FG6-1610-21
Free Throws15-1630-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
44.8
31
62%
3
4
1
2
4
2
0
3
4-4
100%
12-21
57%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
40.6
25
66%
13
2
2
0
1
1
1
12
6-7
86%
8-14
57%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
36.9
10
50%
6
1
1
0
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
36.0
12
75%
1
7
2
0
7
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
3
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
22.9
3
38%
2
2
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
20.6
12
46%
3
3
1
0
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
15.2
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
11.1
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
G · 6'2" 205 · 27
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
34
19
8
5
15
0
5
29
15-16
94%
32-63
51%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.