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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pistons44%8883
14Trail Blazers56%9084
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.9
44.2
40.4
26
62%
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
13-19
5-12
68%
47%
0-2
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
43.8
39.6
14
34%
2
7
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-4
50%
6-18
6-13
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
39.7
39.7
13
44%
3
7
1
2
0
6
0
3
5-6
83%
4-10
7-14
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.8
32.5
15.0
9
71%
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
1
1-3
33%
4-5
1-2
80%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
17.2
25.7
4
100%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.3
28.1
16.6
4
33%
13
1
1
0
0
0
3
10
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
16.1
17.9
5
64%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
12.5
25.6
5
73%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
6.0
4.5
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
12.4
0
1-2
47%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
44.0
36.7
26
54%
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
4-7
57%
11-21
7-15
52%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.9
33.5
32.4
10
56%
3
10
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
2-2
100%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.8
30.9
32.1
13
65%
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
49%
3-3
100%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.1
19.9
24.1
3
75%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
1-2
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.0
12.6
27.2
4
58%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
3-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.3
33.7
22.7
14
64%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.2
29.6
17.9
2
27%
7
1
2
0
0
0
1
6
2-6
33%
0-1
1-2
0%
59%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
17.1
11.6
8
52%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.6
14.6
13.9
4
52%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.6
4.0
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
3.9
0
1-1
48%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.1
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.1
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.5
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.