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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers67%110114
19Warriors33%105106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
39.5
37.7
21
51%
5
5
2
2
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
7-15
9-17
47%
51%
2-5
40%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
39.0
35.6
33
66%
18
1
0
0
2
2
8
10
9-9
100%
12-21
6-11
57%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
38.2
37.3
9
41%
2
8
3
2
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
29.9
32.2
18
63%
11
0
0
0
2
1
4
7
4-5
80%
7-12
6-10
58%
58%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
13.3
17.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
33.6
28.5
17
67%
9
1
1
2
0
2
2
7
5-6
83%
6-9
3-5
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
29.1
17.0
12
44%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
2-8
25%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.0
14.2
4.5
4
69%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
3.3
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
2.4
0
0-1
48%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.8
43.9
38.1
25
45%
1
9
0
1
0
5
0
1
4-4
100%
9-18
5-10
50%
45%
1-8
13%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
38.0
33.2
12
75%
17
8
3
1
3
1
0
17
0-0
-
6-8
6-10
75%
58%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
37.7
21.7
19
57%
6
2
1
1
0
4
2
4
1-4
25%
9-15
3-7
60%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
33.2
23.8
14
47%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
12.3
18.2
5
32%
9
0
0
0
1
0
5
4
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.7
24.6
25.8
2
35%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
21.1
23.4
15
80%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
2-2
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.5
14.4
3.8
8
67%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.0
9.9
18.9
6
44%
2
0
3
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.8
4.8
9.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
3.7
0
1-1
45%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.1
2.3
0
0-0
40%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.8
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.