Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 8, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	29	Clippers	16%	83	84
	4	Spurs	84%	96	106

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Clippers	97.7	86	87.6
Spurs	121.8	87	85.5

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+15

-15

SAS

+16

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

0.97 48.3%

SAS

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	SAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	LAC		84	106
Q4 - 0:00.0	LAC	Clippers Rebound	84	106
Q4 - 0:00.0	LAC	MISS Hart 28' 3PT Jump Shot	84	106
Q4 - 0:01.0	SAS	SPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)	84	106
Q4 - 0:23.0	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	84	106
Q4 - 0:24.0	LAC	MISS Collins 25' 3PT Jump Shot	84	106
Q4 - 0:39.0	SAS	Hill 1' Dunk (6 PTS)	84	106
Q4 - 0:41.0	LAC	Hill STEAL (1 STL)	84	104
Q4 - 0:52.0	SAS	Thomas 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)	84	104
Q4 - 1:09	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	84	102
Q4 - 1:11	LAC	MISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 2	84	102
Q4 - 1:11	LAC	Collins Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	84	102
Q4 - 1:11	SAS	Vaughn P.FOUL (P1.PN)	83	102
Q4 - 1:12	SAS	Vaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	83	102
Q4 - 1:32	LAC	Hart 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	83	102
Q4 - 1:42	SAS	Oberto 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)	81	102
Q4 - 1:48	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	81	100
Q4 - 1:49	LAC	MISS Novak 20' Jump Shot	81	100
Q4 - 1:59	SAS	Oberto P.FOUL (P1.T4)	81	100
Q4 - 1:59	LAC	Samb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	81	100
Q4 - 2:00	LAC	MISS Hart 16' Jump Shot	81	100
Q4 - 2:14	LAC	Novak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	81	100
Q4 - 2:15	SAS	MISS Vaughn 18' Step Back Jump Shot	81	100
Q4 - 2:45	LAC	Samb 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hart 4 AST)	81	100
Q4 - 2:57	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	79	100
Q4 - 2:58	SAS	MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot	79	100
Q4 - 3:10	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	79	100
Q4 - 3:11	SAS	MISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot	79	100
Q4 - 3:19	LAC	Samb Violation:Kicked Ball	79	100
Q4 - 3:35	LAC	Collins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)	79	100
Q4 - 3:47	LAC	SUB: Samb FOR Jones	76	100
Q4 - 3:47	SAS	SPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)	76	100
Q4 - 3:47	LAC	Clippers Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)	76	100
Q4 - 4:03	SAS	Hill 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)	76	100
Q4 - 4:07	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	76	98
Q4 - 4:09	LAC	MISS Jordan 3' Layup	76	98
Q4 - 4:23	LAC	Hart REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	76	98
Q4 - 4:24	LAC	MISS Collins 4' Jump Shot	76	98
Q4 - 4:44	SAS	Thomas 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)	76	98
Q4 - 5:02	LAC	Hart P.FOUL (P2.T4)	76	96
Q4 - 5:02	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	76	96
Q4 - 5:03	SAS	MISS Hill 16' Jump Shot	76	96
Q4 - 5:09	LAC	SUB: Novak FOR Thornton	76	96
Q4 - 5:09	LAC	SUB: Jordan FOR Camby	76	96
Q4 - 5:09	LAC	SUB: Hart FOR Gordon	76	96
Q4 - 5:09	SAS	SUB: Vaughn FOR Mason Jr.	76	96
Q4 - 5:09	SAS	SUB: Oberto FOR Udoka	76	96
Q4 - 5:09	SAS	SPURS Rebound	76	96
Q4 - 5:09	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot	76	96
Q4 - 5:20	LAC	Udoka STEAL (1 STL)	76	96
Q4 - 5:35	SAS	Thomas 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	76	96
Q4 - 5:50	LAC	Thornton Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)	76	94
Q4 - 5:54	SAS	SUB: Bowen FOR Bonner	76	94
Q4 - 5:54			76	94
Q4 - 5:54	LAC	Clippers Rebound	76	94
Q4 - 5:54	LAC	Bonner BLOCK (2 BLK)	76	94
Q4 - 6:14	SAS	Mason Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)	76	94
Q4 - 6:38	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	76	91
Q4 - 6:38	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	75	91
Q4 - 6:38	SAS	Hill S.FOUL (P1.T3)	74	91
Q4 - 6:52	SAS	Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	74	91
Q4 - 7:08	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	74	89
Q4 - 7:09	LAC	MISS Camby Free Throw 2 of 2	74	89
Q4 - 7:09	LAC	Camby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	74	89
Q4 - 7:09	SAS	Thomas S.FOUL (P2.T2)	73	89
Q4 - 7:25	SAS	Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	73	89
Q4 - 7:25	SAS	SPURS Rebound	73	88
Q4 - 7:25	SAS	MISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2	73	88
Q4 - 7:25	LAC	SUB: Jones FOR Novak	73	88
Q4 - 7:25	LAC	SUB: Camby FOR Skinner	73	88
Q4 - 7:25	LAC	Novak S.FOUL (P1.T3)	73	88
Q4 - 7:35	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	73	88
Q4 - 7:36	LAC	MISS Collins 10' Jump Bank Shot	73	88
Q4 - 7:56	SAS	Bonner 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)	73	88
Q4 - 8:06	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	73	86
Q4 - 8:07	LAC	MISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot	73	86
Q4 - 8:27	SAS	Hill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)	73	86
Q4 - 8:33	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	73	84
Q4 - 8:34	LAC	MISS Collins 2' Layup	73	84
Q4 - 8:38	LAC	SUB: Collins FOR Hart	73	84
Q4 - 8:38	LAC	Clippers Rebound	73	84
Q4 - 8:38	LAC	Udoka BLOCK (1 BLK)	73	84
Q4 - 8:45	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	73	84
Q4 - 8:46	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot	73	84
Q4 - 9:02	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	73	84
Q4 - 9:02	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	72	84
Q4 - 9:02	SAS	Udoka S.FOUL (P3.T1)	71	84
Q4 - 9:18	SAS	SUB: Bonner FOR Ginobili	71	84
Q4 - 9:18	SAS	Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	71	84
Q4 - 9:24	LAC	Skinner P.FOUL (P2.T2)	71	84
Q4 - 9:41	LAC	Thornton 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)	71	84
Q4 - 10:08	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	69	84
Q4 - 10:08	SAS	Thomas 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)	69	84
Q4 - 10:09	SAS	MISS Udoka 1' Layup	69	82
Q4 - 10:16	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	69	82
Q4 - 10:18	LAC	Thomas BLOCK (2 BLK)	69	82
Q4 - 10:31	LAC	SUB: Thornton FOR Collins	69	82
Q4 - 10:31	LAC	Clippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)	69	82
Q4 - 10:32	SAS	Ginobili 2' Running Layup (13 PTS)	69	82
Q4 - 10:39	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	69	80
Q4 - 10:41	LAC	Hart REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	69	80
Q4 - 10:41	LAC	MISS Hart 1' Layup	69	80
Q4 - 10:43	LAC	Thomas BLOCK (1 BLK)	69	80
Q4 - 11:02	SAS	Udoka 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)	69	80
Q4 - 11:12	SAS	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	69	77
Q4 - 11:13	LAC	MISS Gordon 13' Jump Shot	69	77
Q4 - 11:27	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	69	77
Q4 - 11:27	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	69	76
Q4 - 11:27	LAC	Skinner S.FOUL (P1.T1)	69	75
Q4 - 11:32	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	69	75
Q4 - 11:33	SAS	MISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69	75
Q4 - 11:48	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69	75
Q4 - 11:49	LAC	MISS Collins 6' Jump Shot	69	75
Q4 - 12:00			69	75
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		69	75
Q3 - 0:01.0	LAC	Bonner STEAL (1 STL)	69	75
Q3 - 0:02.0	SAS	Parker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	69	75
Q3 - 0:05.0	LAC	Gordon 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	69	75
Q3 - 0:28.0	SAS	Parker 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)	67	75
Q3 - 0:37.0	LAC	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	67	73
Q3 - 0:37.0	LAC	Clippers Rebound	66	73
Q3 - 0:37.0	LAC	MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2	66	73
Q3 - 0:37.0	SAS	Thomas P.FOUL (P1.PN)	66	73
Q3 - 0:47.0	SAS	Udoka L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)	66	73
Q3 - 0:47.0	LAC	Clippers Rebound	66	73
Q3 - 0:47.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66	73
Q3 - 1:01	LAC	SUB: Skinner FOR Camby	66	73
Q3 - 1:01	SAS	SUB: Udoka FOR Finley	66	73
Q3 - 1:01	SAS	SUB: Thomas FOR Duncan	66	73
Q3 - 1:01	LAC	Jones P.FOUL (P2.T1)	66	73
Q3 - 1:18	LAC	Thornton 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)	66	73
Q3 - 1:40	SAS	Bonner 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	64	73
Q3 - 1:55	LAC	Jones 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)	64	71
Q3 - 2:11	SAS	Ginobili 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)	62	71
Q3 - 2:32	LAC	Collins 1' Layup (12 PTS)	62	69
Q3 - 2:39	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	60	69
Q3 - 2:40	SAS	MISS Parker 8' Floating Jump Shot	60	69
Q3 - 2:54	LAC	Jones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)	60	69
Q3 - 3:12	SAS	Parker 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)	57	69
Q3 - 3:25	SAS	SPURS Rebound	57	67
Q3 - 3:25	SAS	MISS Parker 9' Floating Jump Shot	57	67
Q3 - 3:35	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	57	67
Q3 - 3:36	LAC	MISS Camby 13' Jump Shot	57	67
Q3 - 3:57	SAS	Bonner 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 9 AST)	57	67
Q3 - 4:17	LAC	Gordon 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	57	65
Q3 - 4:24	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	55	65
Q3 - 4:25	SAS	MISS Finley 17' Jump Shot	55	65
Q3 - 4:33	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	55	65
Q3 - 4:34	LAC	MISS Collins 5' Jump Shot	55	65
Q3 - 4:51	SAS	Bonner 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 8 AST)	55	65
Q3 - 5:06	LAC	Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)	55	63
Q3 - 5:27	SAS	Finley 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)	52	63
Q3 - 5:42	LAC	Thornton 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Collins 3 AST)	52	61
Q3 - 5:55	LAC	Clippers Rebound	50	61
Q3 - 5:56	SAS	MISS Parker 1' Layup	50	61
Q3 - 5:59	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	50	61
Q3 - 6:02	LAC	Duncan BLOCK (2 BLK)	50	61
Q3 - 6:04	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Mason Jr.	50	61
Q3 - 6:30	SAS	Finley 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 7 AST)	50	61
Q3 - 6:48	LAC	Camby 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)	50	58
Q3 - 7:07	SAS	Parker 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)	48	58
Q3 - 7:13	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	48	56
Q3 - 7:14	LAC	MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot	48	56
Q3 - 7:33	SAS	Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	48	56
Q3 - 7:40	SAS	SPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	48	53
Q3 - 7:43	LAC	Thornton Dunk (15 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)	48	53
Q3 - 7:49	SAS	Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)	46	53
Q3 - 8:05	LAC	Gordon 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)	46	53
Q3 - 8:13	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	44	53
Q3 - 8:14	SAS	MISS Duncan 2' Layup	44	53
Q3 - 8:27	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	44	53
Q3 - 8:28	SAS	MISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot	44	53
Q3 - 8:37	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	44	53
Q3 - 8:38	LAC	MISS Thornton 12' Pullup Jump Shot	44	53
Q3 - 9:02	SAS	Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)	44	53
Q3 - 9:23	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	44	51
Q3 - 9:24	LAC	MISS Collins 20' Jump Shot	44	51
Q3 - 9:37	SAS	Bonner P.FOUL (P1.T2)	44	51
Q3 - 9:48	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	44	51
Q3 - 9:48	LAC	MISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot	44	51
Q3 - 10:00	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	44	51
Q3 - 10:01	SAS	MISS Finley 16' Jump Shot	44	51
Q3 - 10:13	LAC	Thornton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)	44	51
Q3 - 10:26	LAC	SUB: Jones FOR Skinner	44	51
Q3 - 10:26	LAC	Clippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)	44	51
Q3 - 10:27	SAS	Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)	44	51
Q3 - 10:41	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	44	48
Q3 - 10:42	LAC	MISS Camby 1' Layup	44	48
Q3 - 11:01	SAS	Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	44	48
Q3 - 11:10	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44	45
Q3 - 11:11	LAC	MISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot	44	45
Q3 - 11:18	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	44	45
Q3 - 11:20	LAC	MISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot	44	45
Q3 - 11:31	SAS	Finley P.FOUL (P1.T1)	44	45
Q3 - 11:43	SAS	Duncan 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	44	45
Q3 - 12:00			44	43
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC		44	43
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC	Clippers Rebound	44	43
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC	MISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot	44	43
Q2 - 0:05.0	LAC	SUB: Novak FOR Camby	44	43
Q2 - 0:05.0	LAC	Clippers Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)	44	43
Q2 - 0:05.0	SAS	SPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	44	43
Q2 - 0:05.0	SAS	SPURS Rebound	44	43
Q2 - 0:05.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot	44	43
Q2 - 0:29.0	LAC	Collins 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)	44	43
Q2 - 0:41.0	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	42	43
Q2 - 0:41.0	SAS	Duncan 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)	42	43
Q2 - 0:41.0	SAS	MISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot	42	41
Q2 - 1:00	SAS	SPURS Rebound	42	41
Q2 - 1:01	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot	42	41
Q2 - 1:07	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	42	41
Q2 - 1:08	LAC	MISS Camby 14' Jump Shot	42	41
Q2 - 1:25	SAS	Parker 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)	42	41
Q2 - 1:43	LAC	Jones Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	42	39
Q2 - 1:43	LAC	Jones OFF.Foul (P1)	42	39
Q2 - 1:43	SAS	Ginobili P.FOUL (P1.T4)	42	39
Q2 - 1:59	SAS	Ginobili 2' Layup (7 PTS)	42	39
Q2 - 2:04	LAC	Ginobili STEAL (4 STL)	42	37
Q2 - 2:12	SAS	Mason Jr. P.FOUL (P2.T3)	42	37
Q2 - 2:14	SAS	Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	42	37
Q2 - 2:25	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	42	37
Q2 - 2:25	LAC	MISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2	42	37
Q2 - 2:25	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	42	37
Q2 - 2:25	LAC	Clippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	41	37
Q2 - 2:25	SAS	Udoka S.FOUL (P1.T2)	41	37
Q2 - 2:29	SAS	Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	41	37
Q2 - 2:33	LAC	Ginobili STEAL (3 STL)	41	37
Q2 - 2:51	SAS	Parker 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	41	37
Q2 - 3:14	LAC	Camby 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)	41	35
Q2 - 3:20	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	39	35
Q2 - 3:22	SAS	MISS Udoka 2' Layup	39	35
Q2 - 3:26	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	39	35
Q2 - 3:27	SAS	MISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot	39	35
Q2 - 3:46	LAC	Camby 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)	39	35
Q2 - 4:06	SAS	Udoka 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	37	35
Q2 - 4:19	LAC	Ginobili STEAL (2 STL)	37	33
Q2 - 4:32	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	37	33
Q2 - 4:33	SAS	MISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot	37	33
Q2 - 4:44	LAC	SUB: Camby FOR Skinner	37	33
Q2 - 4:44			37	33
Q2 - 4:44	SAS	SPURS Rebound	37	33
Q2 - 4:45	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot	37	33
Q2 - 5:06	LAC	Thornton 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	37	33
Q2 - 5:19	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	35	33
Q2 - 5:20	LAC	MISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35	33
Q2 - 5:44	SAS	Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)	35	33
Q2 - 6:02	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen	35	30
Q2 - 6:02	SAS	SUB: Parker FOR Hill	35	30
Q2 - 6:02	LAC	Thornton L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)	35	30
Q2 - 6:02	SAS	SPURS Rebound	35	30
Q2 - 6:02	LAC	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35	30
Q2 - 6:19	SAS	Duncan 2' Layup (4 PTS)	35	30
Q2 - 6:38	LAC	Gordon 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)	35	28
Q2 - 6:59	SAS	Duncan 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)	32	28
Q2 - 7:21	LAC	Thornton Foul Turnover (P3.T6)	32	26
Q2 - 7:21	LAC	Thornton OFF.Foul (P1)	32	26
Q2 - 7:34	SAS	Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)	32	26
Q2 - 8:00	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	32	23
Q2 - 8:00	LAC	Skinner Putback Layup (2 PTS)	32	23
Q2 - 8:01	LAC	MISS Gordon 10' Floating Jump Shot	30	23
Q2 - 8:16	SAS	Duncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)	30	23
Q2 - 8:32	LAC	SUB: Skinner FOR Jordan	30	23
Q2 - 8:32	LAC	SUB: Collins FOR Hart	30	23
Q2 - 8:32	SAS	SUB: Udoka FOR Finley	30	23
Q2 - 8:32	SAS	SUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili	30	23
Q2 - 8:32	SAS	SPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	30	23
Q2 - 8:32	LAC	Thornton 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	30	23
Q2 - 8:38	SAS	Bowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	28	23
Q2 - 8:44	LAC	Bowen STEAL (1 STL)	28	23
Q2 - 8:56	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28	23
Q2 - 8:57	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	28	23
Q2 - 9:19	LAC	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hart 3 AST)	28	23
Q2 - 9:35	SAS	Bowen P.FOUL (P1.T1)	25	23
Q2 - 9:58	SAS	Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	25	23
Q2 - 10:20	LAC	Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)	25	20
Q2 - 10:31	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22	20
Q2 - 10:32	SAS	MISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot	22	20
Q2 - 10:44	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22	20
Q2 - 10:45	LAC	MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot	22	20
Q2 - 11:06	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	22	20
Q2 - 11:06	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	22	19
Q2 - 11:06	LAC	Hart P.FOUL (P1.T1)	22	18
Q2 - 11:22	LAC	Hart Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)	22	18
Q2 - 11:23	LAC	Hart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	22	18
Q2 - 11:25	LAC	Duncan BLOCK (1 BLK)	22	18
Q2 - 11:46	SAS	Finley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)	22	18
Q2 - 12:00			22	16
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS		22	16
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	SPURS Rebound	22	16
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	22	16
Q1 - 0:05.0	SAS	SUB: Hill FOR Parker	22	16
Q1 - 0:05.0	LAC	Collins P.FOUL (P1.T3)	22	16
Q1 - 0:08.0	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22	16
Q1 - 0:10.0	LAC	MISS Hart 18' Jump Shot	22	16
Q1 - 0:30.0	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	22	16
Q1 - 0:31.0	SAS	MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot	22	16
Q1 - 0:45.0	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22	16
Q1 - 0:46.0	LAC	MISS Thornton 15' Jump Bank Shot	22	16
Q1 - 1:04	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	22	16
Q1 - 1:05	SAS	MISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot	22	16
Q1 - 1:18	LAC	Collins 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	22	16
Q1 - 1:21	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	20	16
Q1 - 1:23	LAC	Ginobili BLOCK (1 BLK)	20	16
Q1 - 1:43	LAC	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	20	16
Q1 - 1:44	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	20	16
Q1 - 1:55	LAC	Thornton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)	20	16
Q1 - 2:08	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	20	16
Q1 - 2:09	SAS	MISS Ginobili 2' Layup	20	16
Q1 - 2:13	LAC	Ginobili STEAL (1 STL)	20	16
Q1 - 2:30	SAS	SUB: Bowen FOR Mason Jr.	20	16
Q1 - 2:30	LAC	Clippers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	20	16
Q1 - 2:30	LAC	Clippers Rebound	20	16
Q1 - 2:30	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot	20	16
Q1 - 2:42	LAC	Jones 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)	20	16
Q1 - 2:51	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18	16
Q1 - 2:52	SAS	MISS Finley 17' Jump Shot	18	16
Q1 - 3:10	LAC	SUB: Hart FOR Gordon	18	16
Q1 - 3:10	LAC	Gordon P.FOUL (P2.T2)	18	16
Q1 - 3:10	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	18	16
Q1 - 3:11	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18	16
Q1 - 3:18	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18	16
Q1 - 3:20	LAC	MISS Collins 8' Jump Bank Shot	18	16
Q1 - 3:38	SAS	SUB: Thomas FOR Duncan	18	16
Q1 - 3:38	SAS	Mason Jr. P.FOUL (P1.T1)	18	16
Q1 - 3:48	SAS	Finley 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	18	16
Q1 - 3:59	LAC	Gordon 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	18	14
Q1 - 4:15	SAS	Parker 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	16	14
Q1 - 4:24	SAS	SPURS Rebound	16	12
Q1 - 4:24	SAS	MISS Parker 2' Layup	16	12
Q1 - 4:38	LAC	Camby 2' Layup (2 PTS)	16	12
Q1 - 4:44	LAC	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14	12
Q1 - 4:46	SAS	MISS Duncan 2' Layup	14	12
Q1 - 5:03	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	14	12
Q1 - 5:04	LAC	MISS Thornton 8' Jump Shot	14	12
Q1 - 5:10	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14	12
Q1 - 5:12	SAS	MISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot	14	12
Q1 - 5:24	SAS	SUB: Finley FOR Bonner	14	12
Q1 - 5:24	SAS	SPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	14	12
Q1 - 5:24	LAC	Thornton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)	14	12
Q1 - 5:42	SAS	Parker 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	12	12
Q1 - 6:09	LAC	Collins 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	12	10
Q1 - 6:14	SAS	Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	10	10
Q1 - 6:30	LAC	Collins 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	10	10
Q1 - 6:48	SAS	Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	8	10
Q1 - 7:06	LAC	SUB: Jones FOR Skinner	8	7
Q1 - 7:06	LAC	Thornton Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T1)	8	7
Q1 - 7:16	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	8	7
Q1 - 7:16	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Finley	8	6
Q1 - 7:16	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	8	6
Q1 - 7:16	LAC	Gordon S.FOUL (P1.T1)	8	5
Q1 - 7:20	SAS	SPURS Rebound	8	5
Q1 - 7:20	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 1' Layup	8	5
Q1 - 7:40	LAC	Thornton 17' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	8	5
Q1 - 7:52	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	6	5
Q1 - 7:55	LAC	MISS Gordon 2' Layup	6	5
Q1 - 8:12	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	6	5
Q1 - 8:13	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot	6	5
Q1 - 8:21	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6	5
Q1 - 8:22	LAC	MISS Camby 16' Jump Shot	6	5
Q1 - 8:33	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6	5
Q1 - 8:34	SAS	MISS Parker 3' Finger Roll Layup	6	5
Q1 - 8:48	LAC	Collins 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	6	5
Q1 - 9:18	SAS	Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	4	5
Q1 - 9:24	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4	2
Q1 - 9:25	LAC	MISS Gordon 2' Layup	4	2
Q1 - 9:38	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4	2
Q1 - 9:39	LAC	MISS Camby 17' Jump Shot	4	2
Q1 - 9:49	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4	2
Q1 - 9:50	SAS	MISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot	4	2
Q1 - 10:09	LAC	Thornton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4	2
Q1 - 10:20	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2	2
Q1 - 10:21	SAS	MISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot	2	2
Q1 - 10:41	LAC	Gordon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)	2	2
Q1 - 10:58	SAS	Mason Jr. 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	0	2
Q1 - 11:15	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	0
Q1 - 11:17	LAC	MISS Skinner 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	0	0
Q1 - 11:30	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	0
Q1 - 11:31	SAS	MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot	0	0
Q1 - 11:45	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	0
Q1 - 11:47	LAC	Bonner BLOCK (1 BLK)	0	0
Q1 - 12:00	SAS	Jump Ball Duncan vs. Camby: Tip to Gordon	0	0
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	SAS
			Score / WinProb

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAC

0.97 48.3%

SAS

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

46%

SAS

62%

Midrange

LAC

42%

SAS

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

9.0

46%

69%

SAS

16.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

LAC

67%

SAS

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Thornton	21	58%	10.5 / 18
E. Gordon	21	53%	10.5 / 20
M. Collins	16	47%	8.0 / 17
F. Jones	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Camby	9	45%	4.5 / 10
B. Skinner	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Hart	2	14%	1.0 / 7
C. Samb	2	100%	1.0 / 1
S. Novak	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Jordan	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	19	59%	9.5 / 16
R. Mason Jr.	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Finley	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Ginobili	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Bonner	11	92%	5.5 / 6
K. Thomas	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Duncan	8	36%	4.0 / 11
G. Hill	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Udoka	5	36%	2.5 / 7
F. Oberto	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Bowen	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Vaughn	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+15

-15

SAS

+16

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

0.97 48.3%

SAS

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.2 108.3	LAC 97.7 SAS 121.8 +24.2
Pace	92.2 88.7	LAC 87.6 +2.1 SAS 85.5
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 16.5	LAC 16.4 −0.4 SAS 16.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.1% 51.3%	LAC 48.1% SAS 57.6% +9.5%
TO %	15.3% 12.4%	LAC 15.1% SAS 10.9% −4.2%
ORB %	25.1% 22.2%	LAC 26.2% +0.4% SAS 25.8%
FTrt	27.5 25.1	LAC 15.2 +5.9 SAS 9.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	58.3% 57.1%	LAC 45.7% SAS 65.9% +20.2%
STL %	7.5% 6.5%	LAC 7.0% SAS 9.2% +2.2%
BLK %	9.0% 6.1%	LAC 12.3% +0.2% SAS 12.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.6% 53.4%	LAC 48.3% SAS 56.4% +8.1%
Rim FG%	56.5% 58.8%	LAC 46.4% SAS 62.1% +15.7%
Mid FG%	37.7% 42.7%	LAC 42.1% SAS 53.6% +11.5%
3P %	35.4% 38.6%	LAC 46.2% +8.3% SAS 37.9%
FT %	73.7% 76.2%	LAC 66.7% SAS 87.5% +20.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	37.0% 30.3%	LAC 35.4% +1.7% SAS 33.7%
Mid Att. %	40.4% 44.9%	LAC 48.1% SAS 32.6% −15.5%
3P Att. %	22.6% 24.8%	LAC 16.5% SAS 33.7% +17.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	SAS
Possessions	86	87
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	84	106
Rebounds	34	39
Assists	16	29
Steals	6	8
Blocks	7	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	8 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	31 (1)
Field Goals	35-79	44-86
At-the-Rim FG	13-28	18-29
Midrange FG	16-38	15-28
2-Point FG	29-66	33-57
3-Point FG	6-13	11-29
Free Throws	8-12	7-8
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

29 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mardy Collins G · 6'6" 220 · 24	42.6	16	47%	5	3	1	2	2	1	1	4	1-2	50%	6-14	43%	1-2	50%
Al Thornton F · 6'8" 235 · 25	41.4	21	58%	5	1	0	1	6	2	1	4	0-0	-	9-16	56%	1-2	50%
Eric Gordon G · 6'3" 215 · 20	39.7	21	53%	0	3	1	1	1	2	0	0	5-6	83%	5-12	42%	2-5	40%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 35	29.9	9	45%	9	1	2	1	1	0	1	8	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F · 6'9" 255 · 33	15.9	2	50%	6	1	0	1	0	2	4	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Fred Jones G · 6'2" 225 · 30	33.2	11	69%	2	3	0	1	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 31	15.2	2	14%	3	4	1	0	2	2	3	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 26	9.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan C · 6'11" 265 · 20	8.6	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cheikh Samb C · 7'1" 245 · 24	3.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Baron Davis G · 6'3" 212 · 30
Paul Davis C · 6'11" 270 · 24
Ricky Davis G · 6'7" 195 · 29
Mike Taylor #4 · G · 6'2" 165 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zach Randolph #50 · F · 6'9" 250 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Kaman #35 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	48%	34	16	6	7	15	0	11	23	8-12	67%	29-66	44%	6-13	46%

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29 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mardy Collins G · 6'6" 220 · 24	42.6	16	47%	5	3	1	2	2	1	1	4	1-2	50%	6-14	43%	1-2	50%
Al Thornton F · 6'8" 235 · 25	41.4	21	58%	5	1	0	1	6	2	1	4	0-0	-	9-16	56%	1-2	50%
Eric Gordon G · 6'3" 215 · 20	39.7	21	53%	0	3	1	1	1	2	0	0	5-6	83%	5-12	42%	2-5	40%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 35	29.9	9	45%	9	1	2	1	1	0	1	8	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F · 6'9" 255 · 33	15.9	2	50%	6	1	0	1	0	2	4	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Fred Jones G · 6'2" 225 · 30	33.2	11	69%	2	3	0	1	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 31	15.2	2	14%	3	4	1	0	2	2	3	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 26	9.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan C · 6'11" 265 · 20	8.6	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cheikh Samb C · 7'1" 245 · 24	3.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Baron Davis G · 6'3" 212 · 30
Paul Davis C · 6'11" 270 · 24
Ricky Davis G · 6'7" 195 · 29
Mike Taylor #4 · G · 6'2" 165 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zach Randolph #50 · F · 6'9" 250 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Kaman #35 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	48%	34	16	6	7	15	0	11	23	8-12	67%	29-66	44%	6-13	46%

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4 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	31.4	8	36%	4	9	0	2	3	0	1	3	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	30.8	18	60%	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-10	40%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	29.9	19	59%	3	4	0	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	7-14	50%	1-1	100%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	24.6	15	68%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	22.0	11	92%	3	0	1	2	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	25.5	13	59%	4	5	4	1	2	1	0	4	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	18.1	6	60%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	16.6	9	90%	9	1	0	2	0	2	3	6	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	16.4	5	36%	3	1	1	1	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	14.4	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	5.2	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	5.2	0	0%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 24
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Malik Hairston #1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	39	29	8	8	9	0	8	31	7-8	88%	33-57	58%	11-29	38%

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Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE