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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bobcats40%9087
1876ers60%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
40.6
34.6
6
27%
6
2
1
2
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-11
5-9
27%
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
39.5
36.5
8
29%
7
5
0
1
0
5
4
3
3-4
75%
1-6
5-9
17%
52%
1-6
17%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.3
34.0
31.4
24
77%
11
0
0
1
2
2
4
7
4-6
67%
10-13
5-9
77%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
14.4
16.1
9
90%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
8.6
10.4
2
33%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.5
36.1
35.7
13
51%
4
8
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-6
67%
3-7
4-10
43%
44%
1-3
33%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.3
25.6
29.4
13
72%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
43%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.9
15.6
6.7
4
100%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.2
14.9
30.9
6
44%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-6
25%
42%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
10.5
5.5
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.5
11.8
0
1-2
40%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.7
5.0
0
1-2
50%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.8
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
39.6
33.7
15
56%
8
0
0
1
0
3
4
4
1-1
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
39.1
40.8
12
47%
2
7
1
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-8
6-12
25%
51%
2-4
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
39.1
36.0
22
77%
4
6
2
1
0
2
2
2
3-5
60%
8-11
5-11
73%
50%
1-1
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
25.4
16.4
4
33%
9
0
1
0
4
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
18.9
21.6
11
56%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
29.1
24.7
12
66%
4
4
0
1
1
3
2
2
6-7
86%
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
16.4
15.8
9
39%
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
1
1-1
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
15.3
12.0
4
52%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
9.1
14.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
8.0
17.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
2.9
0
0-0
47%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
2.6
0
0-0
42%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.