Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Grizzlies	32%	93	82	91.1	90	91.8
	17	Raptors	68%	99	103	114.4	90	88.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 23	36.0	12	50%	3	3	1	0	3	3	0	3	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 22	35.9	22	73%	5	0	1	1	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	8-12	67%	2-3	67%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 21	34.1	4	29%	7	0	2	1	0	3	2	5	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 21	33.7	11	37%	3	2	0	0	2	3	1	2	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	0-4	0%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 24	29.5	9	38%	5	4	1	1	3	4	1	4	3-6	50%	3-9	33%	0-0	-

Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 27	26.9	18	64%	6	1	1	0	1	0	3	3	7-10	70%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Quinton Ross F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28	14.3	4	40%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 32	14.1	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 21	11.9	0	0%	2	4	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Marko Jaric G · 6'7" 224 · 30	3.6	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Steve Francis G · 6'3" 210 · 32	\| NWT
Hamed Haddadi C · 7'2" 265 · 24	\| NWT - Visa Issues
Darko Milicic #31 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	47%	33	16	7	4	14	0	8	25	17-25	68%	28-63	44%	3-10	30%

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28 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 23	36.0	12	50%	3	3	1	0	3	3	0	3	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 22	35.9	22	73%	5	0	1	1	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	8-12	67%	2-3	67%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 21	34.1	4	29%	7	0	2	1	0	3	2	5	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 21	33.7	11	37%	3	2	0	0	2	3	1	2	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	0-4	0%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 24	29.5	9	38%	5	4	1	1	3	4	1	4	3-6	50%	3-9	33%	0-0	-

Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 27	26.9	18	64%	6	1	1	0	1	0	3	3	7-10	70%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Quinton Ross F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28	14.3	4	40%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 32	14.1	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 21	11.9	0	0%	2	4	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Marko Jaric G · 6'7" 224 · 30	3.6	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Steve Francis G · 6'3" 210 · 32	\| NWT
Hamed Haddadi C · 7'2" 265 · 24	\| NWT - Visa Issues
Darko Milicic #31 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	47%	33	16	7	4	14	0	8	25	17-25	68%	28-63	44%	3-10	30%

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17 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 25	37.0	32	84%	10	1	1	3	2	2	2	8	10-12	83%	11-13	85%	0-0	-
Andrea Bargnani C · 7'0" 245 · 23	35.7	21	66%	8	0	0	2	2	4	0	8	2-4	50%	5-10	50%	3-4	75%
Will Solomon G · 6'1" 185 · 30	31.8	10	56%	0	9	3	0	3	1	0	0	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jamario Moon F · 6'8" 205 · 29	31.3	6	33%	6	1	1	1	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Anthony Parker G · 6'6" 210 · 34	21.5	3	25%	1	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 28	24.7	11	55%	2	6	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Roko Ukic G · 6'5" 190 · 24	18.1	2	17%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Joey Graham F · 6'7" 230 · 27	16.8	8	100%	5	0	0	0	2	2	1	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 24	13.7	6	100%	2	0	1	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jake Voskuhl C · 6'11" 255 · 31	9.7	4	100%	2	0	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jermaine O'Neal #6 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nathan Jawai #21 · F · 6'10" 280 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	60%	38	25	7	6	13	0	7	31	19-24	79%	36-62	58%	4-10	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.93 46.6%

TOR

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

11

22

50%

TOR

14

20

70%

Midrange

MEM

17

41

41%

TOR

22

42

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

3

4.5

10

30%

45%

TOR

4

6.0

10

40%

60%

Free Throws

MEM

17

25

68%

TOR

19

24

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gay	22	73%	11.0 / 15
H. Warrick	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. Lowry	12	50%	6.0 / 12
O. Mayo	11	37%	5.5 / 15
M. Gasol	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Arthur	4	29%	2.0 / 7
Q. Ross	4	40%	2.0 / 5
G. Buckner	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Conley	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	32	84%	16.0 / 19
A. Bargnani	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Kapono	11	55%	5.5 / 10
W. Solomon	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Graham	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Moon	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Humphries	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Voskuhl	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Parker	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Ukic	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 103.4 23 106.3	MEM 91.1 TOR 114.4 +23.3
Pace	22 90.3 12 92.6	MEM 91.8 +3.3 TOR 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time	10 16.2 20 15.4	MEM 15.7 −0.6 TOR 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 48.6% 20 49.4%	MEM 44.5% TOR 58.3% +13.8%
TO %	25 15.6% 9 13.8%	MEM 15.2% TOR 13.6% −1.6%
ORB %	20 25.9% 28 24.0%	MEM 20.5% TOR 21.9% +1.4%
FTrt	7 32.9 25 27.9	MEM 34.2 +0.9 TOR 33.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 49.7% 4 60.1%	MEM 51.6% TOR 62.5% +10.9%
STL %	7 8.2% 27 6.8%	MEM 7.8% TOR 7.8%
BLK %	15 7.9% 18 7.6%	MEM 6.5% TOR 9.5% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 51.5% 18 52.7%	MEM 46.6% TOR 59.9% +13.3%
Rim FG%	29 55.3% 15 57.9%	MEM 50.0% TOR 70.0% +20.0%
Mid FG%	12 40.9% 6 42.3%	MEM 41.5% TOR 52.4% +10.9%
3P %	21 36.0% 12 37.2%	MEM 30.0% TOR 40.0% +10.0%
FT %	22 75.6% 1 82.4%	MEM 68.0% TOR 79.2% +11.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.2% 30 28.4%	MEM 30.1% +2.4% TOR 27.8%
Mid Att. %	23 45.3% 29 52.3%	MEM 56.2% −2.2% TOR 58.3%
3P Att. %	26 17.5% 23 19.3%	MEM 13.7% TOR 13.9% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Game Totals	MEM	TOR
Possessions	90	90
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.4
Points	82	103
Rebounds	33	38
Assists	16	25
Steals	7	7
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (0)	31 (4)
Field Goals	31-73	40-72
At-the-Rim FG	11-22	14-20
Midrange FG	17-41	22-42
2-Point FG	28-63	36-62
3-Point FG	3-10	4-10
Free Throws	17-25	19-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg