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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets72%9998
30Thunder28%9196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
41.5
22.6
26
53%
4
3
4
1
0
3
0
4
9-10
90%
7-17
3-7
41%
47%
1-3
33%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
34.9
23.2
14
60%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
4-4
3-6
100%
47%
1-6
17%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
34.4
30.1
5
29%
2
6
3
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-5
2-6
20%
42%
0-2
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
32.3
32.5
14
50%
7
0
2
0
2
6
2
5
8-9
89%
3-10
7-13
30%
53%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
23.1
27.1
14
80%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-4
50%
6-7
4-8
86%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
22.3
28.1
12
60%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
2-6
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
21.6
23.4
6
75%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
57%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
19.7
10.4
4
67%
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
10.1
6.4
3
50%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
1-3
33%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
20.0
1
1-1
54%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
19.4
1
2-5
47%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.5
4.4
0
0-1
52%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.3
39.6
33.4
27
57%
6
5
1
1
0
7
1
5
4-4
100%
10-19
6-12
53%
47%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
37.6
32.7
15
56%
6
6
2
1
0
3
0
6
0-1
0%
6-11
4-10
55%
44%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
36.2
20.1
8
50%
10
0
1
0
0
1
6
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
29.8
29.5
11
46%
6
0
0
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.1
9.9
14.2
4
69%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
23.9
16.1
5
42%
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
1-1
100%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
23.8
13.5
10
46%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.9
21.1
9.9
7
105%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.6
18.2
24.0
9
58%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
16.9
0
3-6
52%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.0
15.6
1
1-4
41%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.4
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.2
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.