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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat58%98119
26Kings42%96115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
47.3
41.5
41
56%
5
7
3
2
2
3
0
5
18-24
75%
10-25
11-21
40%
52%
1-1
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
41.2
32.6
13
64%
4
4
1
2
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
37.7
36.0
11
59%
8
0
1
1
1
3
4
4
3-3
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
28.6
33.4
8
44%
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.4
11.8
13.6
6
104%
2
1
2
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
35.9
12.8
10
51%
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
2-8
25%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
35.1
23.1
23
57%
10
2
0
1
0
0
1
9
1-3
33%
8-16
5-10
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
15.1
12.5
5
37%
9
1
0
0
0
1
5
4
3-4
75%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
8.9
12.3
2
33%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
3.4
18.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
16.0
0
1-1
49%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.1
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.9
46.3
35.8
28
57%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
14-15
93%
4-11
5-11
36%
49%
2-7
29%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
40.8
32.0
29
79%
6
4
1
1
0
3
2
4
9-10
90%
7-11
5-10
64%
49%
2-3
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.7
40.2
33.3
9
38%
16
4
1
1
1
2
4
12
3-4
75%
3-10
4-9
30%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
24.2
25.8
4
33%
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
16.0
22.6
6
33%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.7
28.8
20.1
19
74%
5
1
0
0
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
2-2
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
23.6
22.4
9
47%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-6
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.8
22.7
17.5
4
25%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-6
17%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
9.6
13.4
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
8.2
7.8
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
4.6
18.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
2.0
0
0-1
46%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.