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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks58%9797
27Wizards42%9491
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
44.1
39.6
29
67%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
8-11
6-11
73%
49%
3-9
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
38.6
30.6
18
75%
10
3
2
1
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
9-12
5-8
75%
55%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
36.9
28.5
14
53%
3
10
1
1
1
2
1
2
5-5
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
36.0
24.6
8
51%
10
3
0
1
0
1
4
6
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
25.8
35.8
8
40%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
25.9
26.0
16
58%
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
3
3-4
75%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
15.5
16.2
4
37%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
5.6
3.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
5.6
18.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
3.8
8.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
2.2
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
7.9
0
1-2
45%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
38.2
35.8
25
77%
3
1
3
1
1
3
0
3
4-5
80%
6-9
7-13
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.8
37.5
35.8
6
22%
7
0
2
2
0
3
5
2
2-2
100%
2-13
5-11
15%
49%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.6
30.5
26.6
8
29%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-10
3-6
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
26.8
24.2
2
33%
10
5
0
1
1
0
2
8
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
24.9
28.1
10
63%
5
3
1
1
2
2
4
1
0-0
-
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
31.7
23.7
30
72%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
9-13
4-8
69%
48%
3-6
50%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.0
17.5
19.8
4
67%
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.9
14.6
18.4
4
52%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.0
13.9
8.0
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
4.3
9.0
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.3
5.9
0
1-1
44%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.1
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.1
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.8
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.