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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder25%9599
17Nets75%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.3
48.1
36.8
26
56%
9
2
2
1
0
5
3
6
6-7
86%
7-15
7-14
47%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
47.8
32.2
15
43%
10
1
1
1
3
3
2
8
6-6
100%
3-13
4-9
23%
47%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
37.4
35.1
19
45%
5
4
2
2
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
7-17
5-11
41%
45%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
26.3
28.7
8
68%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
53%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.3
25.5
25.7
4
50%
3
1
0
1
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.6
37.5
27.4
11
74%
4
9
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
5-7
2-6
71%
44%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
23.1
15.6
12
54%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
4-7
57%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.9
15.7
14.1
2
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
3.7
9.1
2
41%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
14.2
0
2-4
47%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.0
8.1
0
1-2
42%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.4
1.6
0
0-0
47%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
44.4
38.0
21
56%
5
4
6
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
6-12
6-12
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
41.9
30.8
17
37%
4
8
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
6-17
5-10
35%
51%
1-5
20%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
41.3
30.5
31
70%
13
0
0
1
2
2
5
8
11-12
92%
10-17
5-10
59%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
26.9
4.2
6
21%
9
0
2
0
0
2
5
4
0-0
-
3-10
0-1
30%
49%
0-4
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
19.4
32.4
5
83%
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
35.8
35.0
14
65%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
27.1
23.0
5
31%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
16.7
12.9
4
40%
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
11.5
15.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
0.1
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
6.6
0
0-1
49%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.