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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks23%95101
6Hornets77%10495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.4
41.0
37.6
10
54%
4
9
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
37.0
33.4
19
56%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
8-15
4-9
53%
46%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
33.6
35.3
24
73%
9
3
1
1
1
2
4
5
0-1
0%
12-16
6-10
75%
55%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.8
33.0
21.6
9
47%
7
8
0
1
0
2
1
6
4-6
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
25.2
20.7
3
15%
9
6
1
1
0
0
5
4
1-4
25%
1-7
2-4
14%
43%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
34.0
26.9
20
46%
10
1
0
1
0
1
3
7
6-6
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
45%
2-8
25%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.6
18.7
29.5
7
44%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
17.4
22.8
9
64%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.1
7.5
0
1-2
52%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.9
6.7
0
0-1
43%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.1
2.4
0
0-1
36%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.2
1.1
0
0-0
44%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.9
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.4
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
40.7
34.1
25
48%
14
4
1
1
1
2
6
8
13-14
93%
6-19
7-14
32%
51%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
40.6
33.3
23
53%
5
7
2
2
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
6-14
6-12
43%
53%
2-5
40%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.6
34.6
30.7
8
33%
6
4
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
2-7
29%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
34.0
30.3
18
65%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
44%
2-6
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
32.8
28.9
10
45%
12
0
0
1
0
3
8
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-6
45%
61%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.0
29.1
25.4
2
25%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.8
12.0
14.0
5
64%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
6.4
12.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
4.9
15.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
4.8
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
3.8
0
1-1
49%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.7
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.