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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pacers26%96113
8Jazz74%105120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.7
40.3
38.1
30
72%
1
7
0
1
2
3
0
1
4-4
100%
4-12
6-13
33%
48%
6-7
86%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
38.1
36.7
13
60%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.7
31.0
29.4
12
61%
10
3
0
1
2
0
0
10
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
16.7
23.9
5
51%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.1
5.8
8.9
7
79%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
34.3
24.1
11
60%
8
4
2
1
1
4
2
6
3-5
60%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.9
26.2
17.3
3
25%
4
8
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.3
23.1
23.1
20
65%
7
2
0
1
0
4
1
6
3-3
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
3-5
60%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.6
20.2
12.2
12
55%
2
4
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-11
2-5
55%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
4.3
10.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.8
17.8
1
3-6
45%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.0
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.9
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
42.0
29.6
23
49%
12
3
3
1
3
0
5
7
11-12
92%
6-16
4-8
38%
53%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
40.2
26.2
43
84%
9
3
1
1
0
1
1
8
14-15
93%
10-15
4-8
67%
51%
3-4
75%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.8
39.3
28.3
12
55%
5
1
4
2
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
37.9
30.5
23
59%
0
11
0
1
0
1
0
0
5-6
83%
6-12
5-9
50%
52%
2-5
40%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
30.4
16.6
10
56%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
13.8
16.9
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
13.8
15.9
7
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
10.1
16.3
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.6
8.7
13.7
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
3.8
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.9
28.7
1
6-10
56%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.1
4.2
0
0-1
43%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.1
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.