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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pistons41%96106
14Pacers59%99110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
45.5
35.7
30
69%
9
6
1
2
0
1
1
8
3-4
75%
9-14
6-13
64%
46%
3-6
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.9
45.5
38.2
8
30%
8
4
2
1
1
2
4
4
0-3
0%
4-12
6-12
33%
47%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
43.1
36.0
23
51%
1
7
0
1
2
4
0
1
5-8
63%
9-17
6-13
53%
46%
0-2
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
39.1
22.0
17
43%
15
0
1
1
1
0
1
14
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
3-11
27%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
29.9
33.4
9
35%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-10
5-11
30%
48%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
28.9
23.6
7
44%
9
1
1
1
0
0
2
7
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
17.6
14.3
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
56%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
15.3
14.7
10
83%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
16.5
0
2-4
53%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
13.2
0
1-2
52%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
7.0
0
1-2
45%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
5.2
0
0-1
50%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.7
45.1
29.4
18
87%
13
0
1
1
0
1
1
12
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
4-5
80%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.7
44.9
38.2
24
48%
10
0
1
1
1
0
0
10
10-11
91%
4-14
6-13
29%
50%
2-6
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
36.2
36.4
12
44%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.3
33.0
22.7
12
42%
6
2
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
4-13
3-6
31%
50%
1-1
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
31.4
27.2
11
65%
7
4
1
1
0
1
4
3
3-8
38%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.8
28.6
13.4
23
72%
6
4
0
1
0
2
0
6
6-7
86%
7-12
2-4
58%
47%
1-1
100%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
20.5
21.0
2
17%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.6
20.4
14.7
8
44%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
4.9
8.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.9
20.0
1
1-2
45%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.1
7.8
0
2-3
52%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.9
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.0
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.