Final Win Prob. pScore
1537%93
102
1763%98
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
117.28780.4
MIL logo Bucks
116.58594.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
99
Q4 - 0:00.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Diawara102
99
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound102
99
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMISS Alexander 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
99
Q4 - 0:06.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)102
99
Q4 - 0:06.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)101
99
Q4 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Diawara FOR Quinn100
99
Q4 - 0:06.0MILMbah a Moute P.FOUL (P3.PN)100
99
Q4 - 0:09.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Diawara100
99
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)100
99
Q4 - 0:09.0MILRidnour Layup (25 PTS) (Alexander 5 AST)100
99
Q4 - 0:14.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)100
97
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)100
97
Q4 - 0:14.0MIASUB: Diawara FOR Quinn99
97
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Rebound99
97
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 299
97
Q4 - 0:14.0MILRedd P.FOUL (P5.PN)99
97
Q4 - 0:16.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Diawara99
97
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)99
97
Q4 - 0:16.0MILAlexander Layup (13 PTS)99
97
Q4 - 0:21.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)99
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MILJefferson P.FOUL (P2.PN)97
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MILMISS Jefferson Layup97
95
Q4 - 0:30.0MIASUB: Diawara FOR Quinn97
95
Q4 - 0:30.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)97
95
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (2 STL)97
95
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)97
95
Q4 - 0:51.0MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)97
95
Q4 - 1:03MILBUCKS Rebound97
95
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot97
95
Q4 - 1:16MILRedd P.FOUL (P4.T3)97
95
Q4 - 1:26MILRedd Layup (16 PTS)97
95
Q4 - 1:28MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
93
Q4 - 1:29MILMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot97
93
Q4 - 1:45MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
93
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot97
93
Q4 - 2:07MILRidnour 8' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)97
93
Q4 - 2:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
91
Q4 - 2:17MIAHeat Rebound96
91
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 296
91
Q4 - 2:17MILAlexander S.FOUL (P4.T2)96
91
Q4 - 2:29MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)96
91
Q4 - 2:29MIAHeat Rebound96
91
Q4 - 2:30MILMISS Ridnour 14' Jump Shot96
91
Q4 - 2:35MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
91
Q4 - 2:38MIAAlexander BLOCK (1 BLK)96
91
Q4 - 2:54MILAlexander 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)96
91
Q4 - 3:06MILSUB: Alexander FOR Bogut96
89
Q4 - 3:07MILBUCKS Rebound96
89
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot96
89
Q4 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)96
89
Q4 - 3:22MILMISS Ridnour 14' Jump Shot96
89
Q4 - 3:35MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
89
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Quinn Layup96
89
Q4 - 3:53MILRedd L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)96
89
Q4 - 3:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)96
89
Q4 - 3:53MILMISS Redd Layup96
89
Q4 - 4:02MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
89
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot96
89
Q4 - 4:09MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)96
89
Q4 - 4:32MIAMarion Layup (14 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)96
89
Q4 - 4:50MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
89
Q4 - 4:50MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
88
Q4 - 4:50MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.T3)94
87
Q4 - 4:51MIARedd STEAL (2 STL)94
87
Q4 - 5:08MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
87
Q4 - 5:09MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot94
87
Q4 - 5:21MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)94
87
Q4 - 5:33MIASUB: Marion FOR Beasley92
87
Q4 - 5:33MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anthony92
87
Q4 - 5:3392
87
Q4 - 5:52MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)92
87
Q4 - 6:08MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
85
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
85
Q4 - 6:23MILRidnour Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)92
85
Q4 - 6:50MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
85
Q4 - 7:14MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
85
Q4 - 7:14MILBUCKS Rebound90
84
Q4 - 7:14MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 290
84
Q4 - 7:14MILSUB: Redd FOR Alexander90
84
Q4 - 7:14MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)90
84
Q4 - 7:18MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
84
Q4 - 7:19MILMISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
84
Q4 - 7:25MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
84
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot90
84
Q4 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound90
84
Q4 - 7:42MILMISS Ridnour Layup90
84
Q4 - 7:57MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
84
Q4 - 7:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
84
Q4 - 7:59MILMISS Mbah a Moute Tip Shot90
84
Q4 - 8:03MILMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot90
84
Q4 - 8:12MILRidnour Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)90
84
Q4 - 8:12MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Beasley )90
83
Q4 - 8:31MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS)90
83
Q4 - 8:44MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)88
83
Q4 - 8:58MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)88
81
Q4 - 9:12MIASUB: Quinn FOR Marion86
81
Q4 - 9:12MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers86
81
Q4 - 9:12MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)86
81
Q4 - 9:14MILJefferson Dunk (12 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)86
81
Q4 - 9:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)86
79
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot86
79
Q4 - 9:47MILMbah a Moute 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)86
79
Q4 - 10:01MIACook 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
77
Q4 - 10:34MILRidnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)84
77
Q4 - 10:57MIAAnthony 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)84
74
Q4 - 11:14MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
74
Q4 - 11:14MILBUCKS Rebound82
73
Q4 - 11:14MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 282
73
Q4 - 11:14MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T1)82
73
Q4 - 11:26MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS)82
73
Q4 - 11:41MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)80
73
Q4 - 12:0080
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL80
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound80
73
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot80
73
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
73
Q3 - 0:05.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)80
73
Q3 - 0:05.0MILMISS Bogut Layup80
73
Q3 - 0:07.0MILMISS Redd Layup80
73
Q3 - 0:29.0MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
73
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
73
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)80
73
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 180
73
Q3 - 0:37.0MILMbah a Moute S.FOUL (P2.PN)80
73
Q3 - 0:37.0MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS)80
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAAnthony Violation:Defensive Goaltending78
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MILRidnour Layup (17 PTS)78
73
Q3 - 0:57.0MIABogut STEAL (1 STL)78
71
Q3 - 1:12MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
71
Q3 - 1:14MILMISS Redd Layup78
71
Q3 - 1:22MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
71
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot78
71
Q3 - 1:45MILRedd Layup (12 PTS)78
71
Q3 - 2:01MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
69
Q3 - 2:01MIASUB: Anthony FOR Haslem77
69
Q3 - 2:01MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
69
Q3 - 2:01MILAlexander S.FOUL (P3.T4)76
69
Q3 - 2:18MILAlexander 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)76
69
Q3 - 2:28MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade76
67
Q3 - 2:28MILSUB: Alexander FOR Villanueva76
67
Q3 - 2:28MILSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Jefferson76
67
Q3 - 2:28MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)76
67
Q3 - 2:28MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.T3)76
67
Q3 - 2:34MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
67
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot76
67
Q3 - 2:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)76
67
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
67
Q3 - 2:53MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
67
Q3 - 2:54MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot76
67
Q3 - 3:07MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)76
67
Q3 - 3:28MILRidnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)74
67
Q3 - 3:48MIAHaslem Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)74
64
Q3 - 4:03MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)72
64
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot72
64
Q3 - 4:21MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
64
Q3 - 4:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
64
Q3 - 4:22MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot72
64
Q3 - 4:24MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
64
Q3 - 4:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
64
Q3 - 4:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
64
Q3 - 4:38MILJefferson S.FOUL (P1.T3)70
64
Q3 - 5:02MILBogut Dunk (12 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)70
64
Q3 - 5:09MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
62
Q3 - 5:10MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
62
Q3 - 5:20MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T10)70
62
Q3 - 5:20MIABeasley OFF.Foul (P3)70
62
Q3 - 5:32MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
62
Q3 - 5:32MILBUCKS Rebound70
61
Q3 - 5:32MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 270
61
Q3 - 5:32MIASUB: Beasley FOR Magloire70
61
Q3 - 5:32MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)70
61
Q3 - 5:32MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P3.T2)70
61
Q3 - 5:52MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)70
61
Q3 - 6:13MILJefferson 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)68
61
Q3 - 6:34MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)68
59
Q3 - 6:49MILRidnour P.FOUL (P3.T2)66
59
Q3 - 7:03MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)66
59
Q3 - 7:15MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS)66
59
Q3 - 7:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
59
Q3 - 7:27MIABogut BLOCK (2 BLK)64
59
Q3 - 7:44MILRedd Layup (10 PTS)64
59
Q3 - 7:53MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
57
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 264
57
Q3 - 7:54MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Mbah a Moute64
57
Q3 - 7:54MIAHeat Rebound64
57
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 264
57
Q3 - 7:54MILRidnour S.FOUL (P2.T1)64
57
Q3 - 8:09MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
57
Q3 - 8:11MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
57
Q3 - 8:25MILBUCKS Rebound64
57
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot64
57
Q3 - 8:54MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
57
Q3 - 8:59MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
55
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot64
55
Q3 - 9:11MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)64
55
Q3 - 9:13MIAJefferson STEAL (3 STL)64
55
Q3 - 9:26MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)64
55
Q3 - 9:28MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot64
55
Q3 - 9:46MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)64
55
Q3 - 9:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
55
Q3 - 10:01MILMISS Ridnour 4' Jump Shot62
55
Q3 - 10:13MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
55
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot62
55
Q3 - 10:26MIAQuinn Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)62
55
Q3 - 10:26MILJefferson T.FOUL (P0.T0)61
55
Q3 - 10:30MIAHeat Rebound61
55
Q3 - 10:30MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot61
55
Q3 - 10:38MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P2.T1)61
55
Q3 - 10:53MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)61
55
Q3 - 11:02MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)59
55
Q3 - 11:09MIAMarion 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)59
55
Q3 - 11:17MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)57
55
Q3 - 11:19MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot57
55
Q3 - 11:36MIAMarion Layup (10 PTS)57
55
Q3 - 12:0055
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Diawara 36' 3PT Jump Shot55
55
Q2 - 0:03.0MILRidnour 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
55
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMagloire L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)55
53
Q2 - 0:12.0MILBUCKS Rebound55
53
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
53
Q2 - 0:31.0MILRidnour Layup (8 PTS)55
53
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJefferson STEAL (2 STL)55
51
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)55
51
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 255
51
Q2 - 0:48.0MIASUB: Diawara FOR Cook55
51
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
51
Q2 - 0:48.0MILSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Redd54
51
Q2 - 0:48.0MILAlexander S.FOUL (P2.T4)54
51
Q2 - 1:00MILAlexander Dunk (7 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)54
51
Q2 - 1:04MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)54
49
Q2 - 1:23MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)54
49
Q2 - 1:40MIAMarion Layup (8 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)54
47
Q2 - 1:56MIAHeat Rebound52
47
Q2 - 1:56MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Marion: Tip to Cook52
47
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Marion Layup52
47
Q2 - 2:17MILJefferson Dunk (7 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)52
47
Q2 - 2:25MIASUB: Magloire FOR Haslem52
45
Q2 - 2:25MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T3)52
45
Q2 - 2:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
45
Q2 - 2:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
45
Q2 - 2:34MILRedd S.FOUL (P2.T3)50
45
Q2 - 2:47MILBogut Layup (10 PTS) (Alexander 4 AST)50
45
Q2 - 2:50MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
43
Q2 - 2:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)50
43
Q2 - 2:52MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot50
43
Q2 - 2:55MILMISS Jefferson Layup50
43
Q2 - 3:12MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
43
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot50
43
Q2 - 3:25MIASUB: Cook FOR Diawara50
43
Q2 - 3:25MIASUB: Marion FOR Beasley50
43
Q2 - 3:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)50
43
Q2 - 3:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
43
Q2 - 3:30MILBogut Tip Shot (8 PTS)50
43
Q2 - 3:32MILMISS Alexander 11' Jump Shot50
41
Q2 - 3:38MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
41
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot50
41
Q2 - 4:01MILAlexander 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
41
Q2 - 4:11MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)50
39
Q2 - 4:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
39
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot48
39
Q2 - 4:24MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
39
Q2 - 4:25MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot48
39
Q2 - 4:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
39
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot48
39
Q2 - 4:54MILBogut Layup (6 PTS) (Alexander 3 AST)48
39
Q2 - 5:15MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)48
37
Q2 - 5:33MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)46
37
Q2 - 5:33MIAHeat Rebound46
37
Q2 - 5:33MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot46
37
Q2 - 5:58MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)46
37
Q2 - 6:08MILSUB: Jefferson FOR Elson44
37
Q2 - 6:08MILAlexander P.FOUL (P1.T2)44
37
Q2 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
37
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot44
37
Q2 - 6:35MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Alexander 2 AST)44
37
Q2 - 6:48MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS)44
35
Q2 - 6:52MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)42
35
Q2 - 6:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
35
Q2 - 7:01MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)42
35
Q2 - 7:16MILAlexander Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)42
35
Q2 - 7:16MIASUB: Haslem FOR Magloire42
34
Q2 - 7:16MIASUB: Wade FOR Cook42
34
Q2 - 7:16MILSUB: Redd FOR Sessions42
34
Q2 - 7:16MIADiawara S.FOUL (P1.T2)42
34
Q2 - 7:16MILAlexander Layup (2 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)42
34
Q2 - 7:31MIACook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)42
32
Q2 - 7:43MILBogut 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)39
32
Q2 - 7:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
32
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot39
32
Q2 - 8:14MILSessions 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)39
32
Q2 - 8:20MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
30
Q2 - 8:22MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
30
Q2 - 8:34MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)39
30
Q2 - 8:5036
30
Q2 - 8:50MILRidnour P.FOUL (P1.T1)36
30
Q2 - 9:11MILRidnour Layup (6 PTS)36
30
Q2 - 9:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
28
Q2 - 9:16MILMISS Ridnour 15' Jump Shot36
28
Q2 - 9:32MIASUB: Diawara FOR Marion36
28
Q2 - 9:32MILSUB: Elson FOR Villanueva36
28
Q2 - 9:32MILSUB: Bogut FOR Gadzuric36
28
Q2 - 9:32MILSUB: Alexander FOR Redd36
28
Q2 - 9:32MILSUB: Ridnour FOR Mbah a Moute36
28
Q2 - 9:32MIABeasley P.FOUL (P2.T1)36
28
Q2 - 9:48MIABeasley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)36
28
Q2 - 9:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
28
Q2 - 9:58MILMISS Villanueva 7' Jump Shot33
28
Q2 - 10:16MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)33
28
Q2 - 10:23MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)30
28
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Quinn Layup30
28
Q2 - 10:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
28
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot30
28
Q2 - 10:58MILVillanueva Layup (5 PTS)30
28
Q2 - 11:09MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)30
26
Q2 - 11:36MILSessions Layup (2 PTS)28
26
Q2 - 11:42MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
24
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot28
24
Q2 - 12:0028
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL28
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound28
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 39' 3PT Jump Shot28
24
Q1 - 0:03.0MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)28
24
Q1 - 0:25.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
24
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMISS Gadzuric 16' Jump Shot25
24
Q1 - 0:42.0MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)25
24
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
24
Q1 - 0:53.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
24
Q1 - 0:53.0MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot23
24
Q1 - 0:54.0MILMISS Redd Layup23
24
Q1 - 1:08MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)23
24
Q1 - 1:25MILVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)20
24
Q1 - 1:47MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)20
21
Q1 - 1:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
21
Q1 - 1:55MILMISS Gadzuric Layup17
21
Q1 - 1:56MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
21
Q1 - 1:57MILMISS Redd Layup17
21
Q1 - 2:10MILSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Jefferson17
21
Q1 - 2:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)17
21
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
21
Q1 - 2:12MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot17
21
Q1 - 2:20MILSessions P.FOUL (P1.T3)17
21
Q1 - 2:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21
Q1 - 2:27MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
21
Q1 - 2:43MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Marion 11' Jump Shot17
21
Q1 - 2:59MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
21
Q1 - 2:59MILBUCKS Rebound17
20
Q1 - 2:59MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 217
20
Q1 - 2:59MILSUB: Sessions FOR Ridnour17
20
Q1 - 2:59MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
20
Q1 - 2:59MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
20
Q1 - 3:13MIAMarion Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
20
Q1 - 3:25MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
20
Q1 - 3:33MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)15
20
Q1 - 3:54MILJefferson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
20
Q1 - 4:09MIASUB: Magloire FOR Haslem12
18
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T5)12
18
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P2)12
18
Q1 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
18
Q1 - 4:18MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot12
18
Q1 - 4:33MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
18
Q1 - 4:33MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Mbah a Moute11
18
Q1 - 4:33MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
18
Q1 - 4:33MILMbah a Moute S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
18
Q1 - 4:44MIAHeat Rebound10
18
Q1 - 4:44MILJump Ball Mbah a Moute vs. Wade: Tip to Haslem10
18
Q1 - 4:46MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
18
Q1 - 5:11MIAMarion Dunk (4 PTS)10
18
Q1 - 5:19MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers8
18
Q1 - 5:19MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Bogut8
18
Q1 - 5:19MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)8
18
Q1 - 5:26MILMbah a Moute Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)8
18
Q1 - 5:31MIARidnour STEAL (1 STL)8
16
Q1 - 5:50MILRedd 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
16
Q1 - 6:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
14
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot8
14
Q1 - 6:21MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
14
Q1 - 6:44MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
12
Q1 - 7:04MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 7:04MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
11
Q1 - 7:04MIAMarion S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
10
Q1 - 7:14MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 7:32MIASUB: Beasley FOR Anthony6
10
Q1 - 7:32MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
10
Q1 - 7:43MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
10
Q1 - 8:05MILJefferson Layup (2 PTS)4
10
Q1 - 8:15MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
8
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:56MILMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 9:19MIAMarion 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 9:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
8
Q1 - 9:42MILRidnour 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
8
Q1 - 9:53MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)2
6
Q1 - 10:11MILRedd Layup (4 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 10:16MIARedd STEAL (1 STL)2
4
Q1 - 10:21MIAHeat Rebound2
4
Q1 - 10:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade Layup2
4
Q1 - 10:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade Layup2
4
Q1 - 10:31MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:32MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:45MIAChalmers L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 10:45MILMISS Bogut Layup2
4
Q1 - 11:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 11:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
4
Q1 - 11:01MILRedd S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 11:18MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 11:30MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:30MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P1)0
2
Q1 - 11:41MILRedd Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Anthony: Tip to Ridnour0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
MIL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
21
43%
MIL
27
43
63%
Midrange
MIA
21
43
49%
MIL
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
MIL
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
18
24
75%
MIL
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Cook2492%12.0 / 13
M. Beasley2181%10.5 / 13
U. Haslem1864%9.0 / 14
D. Wade1734%8.5 / 25
S. Marion1454%7.0 / 13
C. Quinn440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Magloire250%1.0 / 2
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Ridnour2560%12.5 / 21
M. Redd1638%8.0 / 21
R. Jefferson1550%7.5 / 15
J. Alexander1381%6.5 / 8
A. Bogut1260%6.0 / 10
L. Mbah a Moute880%4.0 / 5
C. Villanueva643%3.0 / 7
R. Sessions467%2.0 / 3
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+17
-13
91
MIL
74
+17
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
MIL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.3
MIA 117.2 +0.8
MIL 116.5
Pace
90.2
93.0
MIA 80.4
MIL 94.0 +13.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.2
MIA 17.9
MIL 15.3 −2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.3%
MIA 53.2% +2.1%
MIL 51.1%
TO %
13.1%
14.6%
MIA 12.7%
MIL 10.6% −2.1%
ORB %
24.6%
27.9%
MIA 36.1%
MIL 43.2% +7.1%
FTrt
28.2
30.6
MIA 30.4 +14.3
MIL 16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
59.9%
MIA 63.2% +21.3%
MIL 41.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.9%
MIA 5.7%
MIL 10.6% +4.9%
BLK %
9.2%
6.5%
MIA 6.8% +2.1%
MIL 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
51.8%
MIA 55.4% +3.3%
MIL 52.1%
Rim FG%
59.5%
55.5%
MIA 42.9%
MIL 62.8% +19.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.3%
MIA 48.8% +5.5%
MIL 43.3%
3P %
35.7%
36.3%
MIA 53.3% +31.9%
MIL 21.4%
FT %
75.4%
78.0%
MIA 75.0% +3.6%
MIL 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
33.3%
MIA 26.6%
MIL 49.4% +22.8%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
45.9%
MIA 54.4%
MIL 34.5% −19.9%
3P Att. %
24.5%
20.8%
MIA 19.0% +2.9%
MIL 16.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes26.021.7
Points10299
Rebounds3439
Assists2418
Steals59
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (6)23 (4)
Field Goals38-7943-87
At-the-Rim FG9-2127-43
Midrange FG21-4313-30
2-Point FG30-6440-73
3-Point FG8-153-14
Free Throws18-2410-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
38.2
14
54%
10
3
1
1
0
1
7
3
0-0
-
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.0
17
34%
3
13
2
0
4
0
2
1
7-10
70%
5-20
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
28.2
18
64%
8
1
0
0
2
4
4
4
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
12.9
2
100%
2
1
1
3
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
32.8
4
40%
2
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
28.1
21
81%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
4-5
80%
7-9
78%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
27.1
24
92%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
6-8
75%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
17.8
2
50%
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
55%
34
24
5
5
13
0
13
21
18-24
75%
30-64
47%
8-15
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.