FinalWin Prob.pScore
1537%93
102
1763%98
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.28780.4
MIL logo MIL
116.58594.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)102
95.5%
99
4.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)101
94.7%
99
5.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILRidnour Layup (25 PTS) (Alexander 5 AST)100
86.8%
99
13.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)100
92.3%
97
7.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 299
90.8%
97
9.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILAlexander Layup (13 PTS)99
94.2%
97
5.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
96.4%
95
3.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
95.9%
95
4.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
92.4%
95
7.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILMISS Jefferson Layup97
89.6%
95
10.4%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (2 STL)97
76.0%
95
24.0%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)97
83.4%
95
16.6%
Q4 - 1:03MILBUCKS Rebound97
69.8%
95
30.2%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot97
73.8%
95
26.2%
Q4 - 1:26MILRedd Layup (16 PTS)97
79.6%
95
20.4%
Q4 - 1:28MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
86.2%
93
13.8%
Q4 - 1:29MILMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot97
90.6%
93
9.4%
Q4 - 1:45MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
83.3%
93
16.7%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot97
85.0%
93
15.0%
Q4 - 2:07MILRidnour 8' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)97
90.3%
93
9.7%
Q4 - 2:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
92.9%
91
7.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 296
92.3%
91
7.7%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHeat Rebound96
94.1%
91
5.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILMISS Ridnour 14' Jump Shot96
92.8%
91
7.2%
Q4 - 2:35MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
88.9%
91
11.1%
Q4 - 2:38MIAAlexander BLOCK (1 BLK)96
90.9%
91
9.1%
Q4 - 2:54MILAlexander 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)96
91.8%
91
8.2%
Q4 - 3:07MILBUCKS Rebound96
94.3%
89
5.7%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot96
95.1%
89
4.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)96
96.7%
89
3.3%
Q4 - 3:22MILMISS Ridnour 14' Jump Shot96
96.1%
89
3.9%
Q4 - 3:35MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
90.7%
89
9.3%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Quinn Layup96
91.7%
89
8.3%
Q4 - 3:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)96
93.9%
89
6.1%
Q4 - 3:53MILMISS Redd Layup96
93.2%
89
6.8%
Q4 - 4:02MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
91.2%
89
8.8%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot96
92.2%
89
7.8%
Q4 - 4:09MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)96
94.1%
89
5.9%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMarion Layup (14 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)96
91.4%
89
8.6%
Q4 - 4:50MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
88.3%
89
11.7%
Q4 - 4:50MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
89.0%
88
11.0%
Q4 - 4:51MIARedd STEAL (2 STL)94
91.5%
87
8.5%
Q4 - 5:08MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
91.2%
87
8.8%
Q4 - 5:09MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot94
90.4%
87
9.6%
Q4 - 5:21MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)94
88.1%
87
11.9%
Q4 - 5:52MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)92
84.5%
87
15.5%
Q4 - 6:08MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
85.2%
85
14.8%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
86.4%
85
13.6%
Q4 - 6:23MILRidnour Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)92
88.8%
85
11.2%
Q4 - 6:50MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
85.4%
85
14.6%
Q4 - 7:14MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
78.7%
85
21.3%
Q4 - 7:14MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 290
79.5%
84
20.5%
Q4 - 7:18MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
78.3%
84
21.7%
Q4 - 7:19MILMISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
81.7%
84
18.3%
Q4 - 7:25MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
78.4%
84
21.6%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot90
79.9%
84
20.1%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound90
83.1%
84
16.9%
Q4 - 7:42MILMISS Ridnour Layup90
81.8%
84
18.2%
Q4 - 7:57MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
78.5%
84
21.5%
Q4 - 7:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
78.5%
84
21.5%
Q4 - 7:59MILMISS Mbah a Moute Tip Shot90
81.8%
84
18.2%
Q4 - 8:03MILMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot90
79.3%
84
20.7%
Q4 - 8:12MILRidnour Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)90
76.5%
84
23.5%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS)90
80.9%
83
19.1%
Q4 - 8:44MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)88
76.4%
83
23.6%
Q4 - 8:58MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)88
80.9%
81
19.1%
Q4 - 9:14MILJefferson Dunk (12 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)86
74.2%
81
25.8%
Q4 - 9:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)86
78.8%
79
21.2%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot86
79.9%
79
20.1%
Q4 - 9:47MILMbah a Moute 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)86
82.5%
79
17.5%
Q4 - 10:01MIACook 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
83.8%
77
16.2%
Q4 - 10:34MILRidnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)84
80.6%
77
19.4%
Q4 - 10:57MIAAnthony 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)84
86.8%
74
13.2%
Q4 - 11:14MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
82.0%
74
18.0%
Q4 - 11:14MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 282
82.6%
73
17.4%
Q4 - 11:26MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS)82
82.3%
73
17.7%
Q4 - 11:41MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)80
78.8%
73
21.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL80
75.2%
73
24.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound80
78.8%
73
21.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot80
74.6%
73
25.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
76.9%
73
23.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)80
73.6%
73
26.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILMISS Bogut Layup80
76.0%
73
24.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0MILMISS Redd Layup80
76.0%
73
24.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
73.7%
73
26.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
74.7%
73
25.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)80
77.1%
73
22.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 180
74.2%
73
25.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILRidnour Layup (17 PTS)78
69.1%
73
30.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIABogut STEAL (1 STL)78
73.7%
71
26.3%
Q3 - 1:12MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
75.7%
71
24.3%
Q3 - 1:14MILMISS Redd Layup78
74.7%
71
25.3%
Q3 - 1:22MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
72.3%
71
27.7%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot78
73.4%
71
26.6%
Q3 - 1:45MILRedd Layup (12 PTS)78
75.8%
71
24.2%
Q3 - 2:01MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
77.5%
69
22.5%
Q3 - 2:01MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
76.8%
69
23.2%
Q3 - 2:18MILAlexander 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)76
74.2%
69
25.8%
Q3 - 2:34MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
77.7%
67
22.3%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot76
78.7%
67
21.3%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)76
80.8%
67
19.2%
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
79.9%
67
20.1%
Q3 - 2:53MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
77.8%
67
22.2%
Q3 - 2:54MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot76
79.9%
67
20.1%
Q3 - 3:07MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)76
76.0%
67
24.0%
Q3 - 3:28MILRidnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)74
72.9%
67
27.1%
Q3 - 3:48MIAHaslem Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)74
79.3%
64
20.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)72
75.4%
64
24.6%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot72
72.7%
64
27.3%
Q3 - 4:21MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
75.4%
64
24.6%
Q3 - 4:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
71.5%
64
28.5%
Q3 - 4:22MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot72
74.3%
64
25.7%
Q3 - 4:24MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
74.3%
64
25.7%
Q3 - 4:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
71.5%
64
28.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
70.7%
64
29.3%
Q3 - 5:02MILBogut Dunk (12 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)70
66.6%
64
33.4%
Q3 - 5:09MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
69.8%
62
30.2%
Q3 - 5:10MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
72.5%
62
27.5%
Q3 - 5:20MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T10)70
69.9%
62
30.1%
Q3 - 5:32MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
73.7%
62
26.3%
Q3 - 5:32MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 270
74.3%
61
25.7%
Q3 - 5:52MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)70
73.4%
61
26.6%
Q3 - 6:13MILJefferson 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)68
69.0%
61
31.0%
Q3 - 6:34MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)68
72.1%
59
27.9%
Q3 - 7:03MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)66
67.3%
59
32.7%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS)66
63.7%
59
36.3%
Q3 - 7:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
60.3%
59
39.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIABogut BLOCK (2 BLK)64
57.6%
59
42.4%
Q3 - 7:44MILRedd Layup (10 PTS)64
60.3%
59
39.7%
Q3 - 7:53MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
63.8%
57
36.2%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 264
64.3%
57
35.7%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 264
66.1%
57
33.9%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
66.6%
57
33.4%
Q3 - 8:11MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
65.5%
57
34.5%
Q3 - 8:25MILBUCKS Rebound64
62.9%
57
37.1%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot64
64.1%
57
35.9%
Q3 - 8:54MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
66.6%
57
33.4%
Q3 - 8:59MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
69.7%
55
30.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot64
70.7%
55
29.3%
Q3 - 9:11MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)64
72.1%
55
27.9%
Q3 - 9:13MIAJefferson STEAL (3 STL)64
69.0%
55
31.0%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)64
72.1%
55
27.9%
Q3 - 9:28MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot64
71.2%
55
28.8%
Q3 - 9:46MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)64
69.0%
55
31.0%
Q3 - 9:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
65.9%
55
34.1%
Q3 - 10:01MILMISS Ridnour 4' Jump Shot62
63.6%
55
36.4%
Q3 - 10:13MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
61.3%
55
38.7%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot62
62.4%
55
37.6%
Q3 - 10:26MIAQuinn Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)62
64.7%
55
35.3%
Q3 - 10:30MIAHeat Rebound61
61.4%
55
38.6%
Q3 - 10:30MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot61
60.3%
55
39.7%
Q3 - 10:53MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)61
58.0%
55
42.0%
Q3 - 11:02MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)59
53.8%
55
46.2%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMarion 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)59
50.2%
55
49.8%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)57
46.9%
55
53.1%
Q3 - 11:19MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot57
45.8%
55
54.2%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMarion Layup (10 PTS)57
43.3%
55
56.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
40.1%
55
59.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
40.1%
55
59.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Diawara 36' 3PT Jump Shot55
37.7%
55
62.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILRidnour 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0MILBUCKS Rebound55
43.6%
53
56.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
44.4%
53
55.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILRidnour Layup (8 PTS)55
46.1%
53
53.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJefferson STEAL (2 STL)55
50.3%
51
49.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)55
52.9%
51
47.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 255
50.6%
51
49.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
53.0%
51
47.0%
Q2 - 1:00MILAlexander Dunk (7 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)54
49.6%
51
50.4%
Q2 - 1:04MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)54
53.2%
49
46.8%
Q2 - 1:23MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)54
55.6%
49
44.4%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMarion Layup (8 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)54
59.7%
47
40.3%
Q2 - 1:56MIAHeat Rebound52
55.6%
47
44.4%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Marion Layup52
54.0%
47
46.0%
Q2 - 2:17MILJefferson Dunk (7 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)52
55.2%
47
44.8%
Q2 - 2:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
58.3%
45
41.7%
Q2 - 2:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
57.7%
45
42.3%
Q2 - 2:47MILBogut Layup (10 PTS) (Alexander 4 AST)50
55.2%
45
44.8%
Q2 - 2:50MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
58.3%
43
41.7%
Q2 - 2:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)50
58.3%
43
41.7%
Q2 - 2:52MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot50
60.5%
43
39.5%
Q2 - 2:55MILMISS Jefferson Layup50
60.5%
43
39.5%
Q2 - 3:12MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
57.4%
43
42.6%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot50
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 3:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
61.0%
43
39.0%
Q2 - 3:30MILBogut Tip Shot (8 PTS)50
61.0%
43
39.0%
Q2 - 3:32MILMISS Alexander 11' Jump Shot50
65.7%
41
34.3%
Q2 - 3:38MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
63.4%
41
36.6%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot50
64.5%
41
35.5%
Q2 - 4:01MILAlexander 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
65.6%
41
34.4%
Q2 - 4:11MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)50
68.2%
39
31.8%
Q2 - 4:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
65.6%
39
34.4%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot48
63.6%
39
36.4%
Q2 - 4:24MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q2 - 4:25MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot48
64.8%
39
35.2%
Q2 - 4:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
62.7%
39
37.3%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot48
63.6%
39
36.4%
Q2 - 4:54MILBogut Layup (6 PTS) (Alexander 3 AST)48
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q2 - 5:15MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)48
67.6%
37
32.4%
Q2 - 5:33MIAHeat Rebound46
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 5:33MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot46
64.0%
37
36.0%
Q2 - 5:58MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)46
62.2%
37
37.8%
Q2 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
58.8%
37
41.2%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot44
56.5%
37
43.5%
Q2 - 6:35MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Alexander 2 AST)44
58.8%
37
41.2%
Q2 - 6:48MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS)44
61.1%
35
38.9%
Q2 - 6:52MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)42
58.8%
35
41.2%
Q2 - 6:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
55.5%
35
44.5%
Q2 - 7:01MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)42
56.0%
35
44.0%
Q2 - 7:16MILAlexander Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)42
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIACook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)42
63.3%
32
36.7%
Q2 - 7:43MILBogut 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)39
58.0%
32
42.0%
Q2 - 7:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
55.1%
32
44.9%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot39
56.0%
32
44.0%
Q2 - 8:14MILSessions 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)39
57.1%
32
42.9%
Q2 - 8:20MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 8:22MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
61.6%
30
38.4%
Q2 - 8:34MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)39
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 9:11MILRidnour Layup (6 PTS)36
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q2 - 9:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
56.3%
28
43.7%
Q2 - 9:16MILMISS Ridnour 15' Jump Shot36
58.2%
28
41.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIABeasley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)36
56.4%
28
43.6%
Q2 - 9:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
51.1%
28
48.9%
Q2 - 9:58MILMISS Villanueva 7' Jump Shot33
50.2%
28
49.8%
Q2 - 10:16MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)33
48.0%
28
52.0%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)30
42.9%
28
57.1%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Quinn Layup30
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
42.9%
28
57.1%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot30
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 10:58MILVillanueva Layup (5 PTS)30
42.9%
28
57.1%
Q2 - 11:09MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)30
45.1%
26
54.9%
Q2 - 11:36MILSessions Layup (2 PTS)28
42.7%
26
57.3%
Q2 - 11:42MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
45.1%
24
54.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot28
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL28
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound28
45.1%
24
54.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 39' 3PT Jump Shot28
46.9%
24
53.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)28
44.7%
24
55.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMISS Gadzuric 16' Jump Shot25
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)25
37.6%
24
62.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
33.1%
24
66.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot23
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILMISS Redd Layup23
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 1:08MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)23
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 1:25MILVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)20
28.6%
24
71.4%
Q1 - 1:47MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)20
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 1:55MILMISS Gadzuric Layup17
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q1 - 1:56MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
27.2%
21
72.8%
Q1 - 1:57MILMISS Redd Layup17
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q1 - 2:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)17
27.4%
21
72.6%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot17
27.8%
21
72.2%
Q1 - 2:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q1 - 2:27MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q1 - 2:43MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27.4%
21
72.6%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Marion 11' Jump Shot17
27.8%
21
72.2%
Q1 - 2:59MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q1 - 2:59MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 217
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMarion Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 3:25MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 3:33MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)15
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 3:54MILJefferson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T5)12
23.7%
18
76.3%
Q1 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 4:18MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot12
24.9%
18
75.1%
Q1 - 4:33MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
23.7%
18
76.3%
Q1 - 4:33MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 4:44MILJump Ball Mbah a Moute vs. Wade: Tip to Haslem10
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 4:46MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMarion Dunk (4 PTS)10
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 5:26MILMbah a Moute Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)8
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 5:31MIARidnour STEAL (1 STL)8
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 5:50MILRedd 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 6:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot8
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 6:21MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 6:44MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 7:04MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 7:04MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 7:14MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 7:32MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
28.9%
10
71.1%
Q1 - 7:43MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 8:05MILJefferson Layup (2 PTS)4
25.3%
10
74.7%
Q1 - 8:15MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot4
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 8:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot4
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 8:56MILMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot4
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMarion 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 9:42MILRidnour 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)2
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 10:11MILRedd Layup (4 PTS)2
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 10:16MIARedd STEAL (1 STL)2
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 10:21MIAHeat Rebound2
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot2
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot2
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade Layup2
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade Layup2
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:31MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:32MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot2
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 10:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 10:45MILMISS Bogut Layup2
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 11:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 11:18MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)0
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 11:30MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:41MILRedd Layup (2 PTS)0
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Anthony: Tip to Ridnour0
33.9%
0
66.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
MIL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
21
43%
MIL
27
43
63%
Midrange
MIA
21
43
49%
MIL
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
MIL
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
18
24
75%
MIL
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Cook2492%12.0 / 13
M. Beasley2181%10.5 / 13
U. Haslem1864%9.0 / 14
D. Wade1734%8.5 / 25
S. Marion1454%7.0 / 13
C. Quinn440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Magloire250%1.0 / 2
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Ridnour2560%12.5 / 21
M. Redd1638%8.0 / 21
R. Jefferson1550%7.5 / 15
J. Alexander1381%6.5 / 8
A. Bogut1260%6.0 / 10
L. Mbah a Moute880%4.0 / 5
C. Villanueva643%3.0 / 7
R. Sessions467%2.0 / 3
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+17
-13
91
MIL
74
+17
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
MIL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.3
MIA 117.2 +0.8
MIL 116.5
Pace
90.2
93.0
MIA 80.4
MIL 94.0 +13.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.2
MIA 17.9
MIL 15.3 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.3%
MIA 53.2% +2.1%
MIL 51.1%
TO %
13.1%
14.6%
MIA 12.7%
MIL 10.6% +2.1%
ORB %
24.6%
27.9%
MIA 36.1%
MIL 43.2% +7.1%
FTrt
28.2
30.6
MIA 30.4 +14.3
MIL 16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
59.9%
MIA 63.2% +21.3%
MIL 41.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.9%
MIA 5.7%
MIL 10.6% +4.9%
BLK %
9.2%
6.5%
MIA 6.8% +2.1%
MIL 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
51.8%
MIA 55.4% +3.3%
MIL 52.1%
Rim FG%
59.5%
55.5%
MIA 42.9%
MIL 62.8% +19.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.3%
MIA 48.8% +5.5%
MIL 43.3%
3P %
35.7%
36.3%
MIA 53.3% +31.9%
MIL 21.4%
FT %
75.4%
78.0%
MIA 75.0% +3.6%
MIL 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
33.3%
MIA 26.6%
MIL 49.4% +22.8%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
45.9%
MIA 54.4%
MIL 34.5% +19.9%
3P Att. %
24.5%
20.8%
MIA 19.0% +2.9%
MIL 16.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes26.021.7
Points10299
Rebounds3439
Assists2418
Steals59
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (6)23 (4)
Field Goals38-7943-87
At-the-Rim FG9-2127-43
Midrange FG21-4313-30
2-Point FG30-6440-73
3-Point FG8-153-14
Free Throws18-2410-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
38.2
14
54%
10
3
1
1
0
1
7
3
0-0
-
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.0
17
34%
3
13
2
0
4
0
2
1
7-10
70%
5-20
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
28.2
18
64%
8
1
0
0
2
4
4
4
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
12.9
2
100%
2
1
1
3
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
32.8
4
40%
2
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
28.1
21
81%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
4-5
80%
7-9
78%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
27.1
24
92%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
6-8
75%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
17.8
2
50%
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
55%
34
24
5
5
13
0
13
21
18-24
75%
30-64
47%
8-15
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.