Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	5	Hornets	54%	95	104
	12	Mavericks	46%	94	97

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
NOH	116.9	89	90.4
DAL	110.2	88	86.6

Scoring Opportunities

NOH

+12

-6

DAL

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.09 54.7%

DAL

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	NOH	DAL
Q4 - 0:00.0	NOH		104 100%	97 0%
Q4 - 0:13.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	104 99.9%	97 0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0	DAL	MISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot	104 99.9%	97 0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0	NOH	Paul Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)	104 99.9%	97 0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)	103 99.9%	97 0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0	DAL	Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)	102 99.8%	97 0.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0	NOH	Paul Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)	102 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)	101 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	100 99.8%	94 0.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0	DAL	MISS Wright Driving Layup	100 99.7%	94 0.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	100 98.8%	94 1.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0	NOH	MISS West 13' Fadeaway Jumper	100 98.9%	94 1.1%
Q4 - 1:06	DAL	Terry Driving Dunk (28 PTS)	100 98.6%	94 1.4%
Q4 - 1:09	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	100 99.2%	92 0.8%
Q4 - 1:09	NOH	West Layup (16 PTS)	100 99.2%	92 0.8%
Q4 - 1:11	NOH	MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot	98 97.6%	92 2.4%
Q4 - 1:34	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	98 97.6%	92 2.4%
Q4 - 1:35	DAL	MISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot	98 97.1%	92 2.9%
Q4 - 1:37	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	98 95.6%	92 4.4%
Q4 - 1:40	DAL	MISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot	98 96.8%	92 3.2%
Q4 - 1:45	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)	98 95.0%	92 5.0%
Q4 - 1:47	NOH	MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot	98 95.6%	92 4.4%
Q4 - 2:07	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	98 97.1%	92 2.9%
Q4 - 2:09	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot	98 96.6%	92 3.4%
Q4 - 2:13	DAL	Terry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	98 94.7%	92 5.3%
Q4 - 2:14	DAL	MISS Terry Layup	98 96.6%	92 3.4%
Q4 - 2:20	NOH	Hornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)	98 94.7%	92 5.3%
Q4 - 2:20	NOH	Hornets Rebound	98 97.2%	92 2.8%
Q4 - 2:20	NOH	MISS Paul 15' Running Jump Shot	98 95.6%	92 4.4%
Q4 - 2:47	DAL	Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)	98 97.3%	92 2.7%
Q4 - 2:51	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	98 98.3%	89 1.7%
Q4 - 2:53	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot	98 98.5%	89 1.5%
Q4 - 3:18	DAL	Kidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)	98 99.0%	89 1.0%
Q4 - 3:32	NOH	Paul Layup (29 PTS)	98 96.8%	89 3.2%
Q4 - 3:36	DAL	Nowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)	96 95.6%	89 4.4%
Q4 - 3:58	NOH	Paul Layup (27 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)	96 93.9%	89 6.1%
Q4 - 4:01	DAL	Kidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	94 91.5%	89 8.5%
Q4 - 4:05	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	94 87.8%	89 12.2%
Q4 - 4:07	NOH	MISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot	94 89.1%	89 10.9%
Q4 - 4:34	DAL	Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)	94 91.8%	89 8.2%
Q4 - 4:46	NOH	Paul 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)	94 94.1%	87 5.9%
Q4 - 5:01	DAL	Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	92 88.8%	87 11.2%
Q4 - 5:01	DAL	Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	92 89.1%	86 10.9%
Q4 - 5:21	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)	92 91.8%	85 8.2%
Q4 - 5:29	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)	90 89.0%	85 11.0%
Q4 - 5:31	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot	90 86.4%	85 13.6%
Q4 - 5:54	DAL	Kidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	90 89.1%	85 10.9%
Q4 - 5:54	DAL	Kidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	90 89.7%	84 10.3%
Q4 - 6:12	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	90 90.1%	83 9.9%
Q4 - 6:15	NOH	MISS Paul 28' 3PT Jump Shot	90 90.9%	83 9.1%
Q4 - 6:40	NOH	Hornets Rebound	90 92.6%	83 7.4%
Q4 - 6:41	DAL	MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot	90 91.9%	83 8.1%
Q4 - 7:04	NOH	Brown 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	90 88.6%	83 11.4%
Q4 - 7:05	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	88 85.8%	83 14.2%
Q4 - 7:06	NOH	MISS Brown Floating Jump Shot	88 83.0%	83 17.0%
Q4 - 7:23	NOH	Hornets Rebound	88 85.8%	83 14.2%
Q4 - 7:23	NOH	Kidd BLOCK (1 BLK)	88 83.1%	83 16.9%
Q4 - 7:26	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)	88 85.8%	83 14.2%
Q4 - 7:29	DAL	MISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	88 84.7%	83 15.3%
Q4 - 7:38	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)	88 81.8%	83 18.2%
Q4 - 7:40	NOH	MISS West 22' Jump Shot	88 83.1%	83 16.9%
Q4 - 8:03	DAL	Bass Foul Turnover (P2.T11)	88 84.3%	83 15.7%
Q4 - 8:29	NOH	West 23' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)	88 80.9%	83 19.1%
Q4 - 8:52	DAL	Nowitzki 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)	86 76.4%	83 23.6%
Q4 - 9:13	NOH	Posey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	86 79.6%	81 20.4%
Q4 - 9:13	NOH	Posey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	85 79.0%	81 21.0%
Q4 - 9:15	DAL	Nowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)	84 75.2%	81 24.8%
Q4 - 9:36	NOH	Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)	84 70.7%	81 29.3%
Q4 - 9:38	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	81 59.6%	81 40.4%
Q4 - 9:40	NOH	Wright BLOCK (1 BLK)	81 55.7%	81 44.3%
Q4 - 9:45	DAL	Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)	81 59.6%	81 40.4%
Q4 - 9:45	DAL	Terry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)	81 60.3%	80 39.7%
Q4 - 10:05	NOH	Brown Layup (10 PTS) (West 3 AST)	81 64.9%	79 35.1%
Q4 - 10:25	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	79 59.5%	79 40.5%
Q4 - 10:28	DAL	MISS Singleton 3PT Jump Shot	79 57.8%	79 42.2%
Q4 - 10:45	NOH	Brown Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	79 54.0%	79 46.0%
Q4 - 10:51	NOH	Marks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	79 59.5%	79 40.5%
Q4 - 10:51	NOH	MISS West 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	79 55.7%	79 44.3%
Q4 - 11:03	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	79 59.2%	79 40.8%
Q4 - 11:05	DAL	MISS Singleton 17' Jump Shot	79 57.7%	79 42.3%
Q4 - 11:20	DAL	MAVERICKS Rebound	79 54.2%	79 45.8%
Q4 - 11:21	DAL	MISS Bass Layup	79 57.7%	79 42.3%
Q4 - 11:42	DAL	Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	79 54.2%	79 45.8%
Q4 - 11:44	NOH	MISS West 10' Jump Shot	79 55.7%	79 44.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DAL		79 59.2%	79 40.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH	West Driving Layup (12 PTS)	79 54.2%	79 45.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0	DAL	Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	77 48.6%	79 51.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0	DAL	Singleton Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)	77 48.6%	79 51.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0	DAL	MISS Kidd Driving Layup	77 57.4%	77 42.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0	NOH	Paul Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	77 54.3%	77 45.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0	DAL	Wright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)	77 58.8%	77 41.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0	NOH	Paul 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	77 54.3%	77 45.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0	DAL	Singleton Foul Turnover (P1.T8)	75 48.6%	77 51.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	75 44.1%	77 55.9%
Q3 - 1:01	NOH	MISS Posey Reverse Layup	75 45.5%	77 54.5%
Q3 - 1:17	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	75 48.6%	77 51.4%
Q3 - 1:19	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	75 45.5%	77 54.5%
Q3 - 1:53	DAL	Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)	75 48.6%	77 51.4%
Q3 - 1:57	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	75 58.9%	74 41.1%
Q3 - 1:59	NOH	MISS Paul 6' Jump Shot	75 60.2%	74 39.8%
Q3 - 2:10	DAL	Singleton 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)	75 62.9%	74 37.1%
Q3 - 2:32	NOH	Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (West 2 AST)	75 67.2%	72 32.8%
Q3 - 2:46	DAL	Nowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	73 62.9%	72 37.1%
Q3 - 3:06	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)	73 58.7%	72 41.3%
Q3 - 3:09	DAL	Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	71 54.5%	72 45.5%
Q3 - 3:09	DAL	Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	71 55.0%	71 45.0%
Q3 - 3:28	NOH	Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)	71 58.6%	70 41.4%
Q3 - 3:43	DAL	Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)	69 54.5%	70 45.5%
Q3 - 3:52	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69 58.6%	68 41.4%
Q3 - 3:54	NOH	MISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot	69 60.0%	68 40.0%
Q3 - 4:05	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	69 63.1%	68 36.9%
Q3 - 4:07	DAL	MISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 61.6%	68 38.4%
Q3 - 4:22	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)	69 58.2%	68 41.8%
Q3 - 4:22	NOH	MISS West 10' Fadeaway Jumper	69 59.7%	68 40.3%
Q3 - 4:48	DAL	Wright Driving Layup (12 PTS)	69 63.1%	68 36.9%
Q3 - 5:10	NOH	Paul Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	69 65.8%	66 34.2%
Q3 - 5:10	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	68 65.3%	66 34.7%
Q3 - 5:14	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	67 62.4%	66 37.6%
Q3 - 5:16	DAL	MISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot	67 61.1%	66 38.9%
Q3 - 5:44	NOH	Paul 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	67 58.0%	66 42.0%
Q3 - 6:01	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	65 54.5%	66 45.5%
Q3 - 6:02	DAL	MISS Kidd Layup	65 53.2%	66 46.8%
Q3 - 6:13	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)	65 50.2%	66 49.8%
Q3 - 6:15	NOH	MISS West 19' Jump Shot	65 51.5%	66 48.5%
Q3 - 6:28	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	65 54.5%	66 45.5%
Q3 - 6:30	NOH	MISS Paul 21' Jump Shot	65 51.5%	66 48.5%
Q3 - 6:36	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	65 54.5%	66 45.5%
Q3 - 6:39	DAL	MISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot	65 53.2%	66 46.8%
Q3 - 7:01	NOH	West Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	65 50.2%	66 49.8%
Q3 - 7:15	DAL	Dampier Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)	65 54.2%	66 45.8%
Q3 - 7:29	NOH	West 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	65 57.9%	64 42.1%
Q3 - 7:47	DAL	Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)	63 54.2%	64 45.8%
Q3 - 8:04	NOH	Paul 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	63 61.3%	61 38.7%
Q3 - 8:11	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	61 57.9%	61 42.1%
Q3 - 8:13	DAL	MISS Green 19' Jump Shot	61 56.7%	61 43.3%
Q3 - 8:36	NOH	Butler Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	61 53.9%	61 46.1%
Q3 - 8:38	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	58 46.7%	61 53.3%
Q3 - 8:41	DAL	MISS Kidd 15' Jump Bank Shot	58 45.4%	61 54.6%
Q3 - 8:58	NOH	West 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)	58 42.7%	61 57.3%
Q3 - 9:16	DAL	Kidd 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	56 39.7%	61 60.3%
Q3 - 9:28	DAL	MAVERICKS Rebound	56 43.2%	59 56.8%
Q3 - 9:28	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot	56 44.3%	59 55.7%
Q3 - 9:36	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	56 46.9%	59 53.1%
Q3 - 9:39	DAL	MISS Nowitzki Driving Layup	56 45.8%	59 54.2%
Q3 - 9:48	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	56 43.1%	59 56.9%
Q3 - 9:50	NOH	MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot	56 44.3%	59 55.7%
Q3 - 10:06	DAL	Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	56 47.3%	59 52.7%
Q3 - 10:24	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	56 54.3%	56 45.7%
Q3 - 10:26	NOH	MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot	56 55.4%	56 44.6%
Q3 - 10:41	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	56 57.9%	56 42.1%
Q3 - 10:44	DAL	MISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot	56 56.8%	56 43.2%
Q3 - 11:01	NOH	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 1 AST)	56 54.6%	56 45.4%
Q3 - 11:18	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	53 47.9%	56 52.1%
Q3 - 11:21	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot	53 46.7%	56 53.3%
Q3 - 11:40	NOH	Paul Layup (15 PTS)	53 44.2%	56 55.8%
Q3 - 11:44	DAL	Nowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	51 41.0%	56 59.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DAL		51 37.5%	56 62.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DAL	MAVERICKS Rebound	51 37.5%	56 62.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DAL	MISS Bass 68' 3PT Jump Shot	51 39.9%	56 60.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	51 38.8%	56 61.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0	NOH	MISS West 5' Jump Hook Shot	51 39.5%	56 60.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	51 41.2%	56 58.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	51 40.4%	56 59.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0	DAL	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	51 38.7%	56 61.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0	NOH	MISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 2	51 39.0%	56 61.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	51 41.5%	56 58.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0	DAL	Kidd Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	50 38.0%	56 62.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0	DAL	Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	50 35.5%	56 64.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0	NOH	MISS Paul 21' Jump Shot	50 36.3%	56 63.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0	DAL	Wright 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)	50 38.0%	56 62.0%
Q2 - 1:22	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)	50 45.7%	53 54.3%
Q2 - 1:30	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	48 41.6%	53 58.4%
Q2 - 1:32	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot	48 40.9%	53 59.1%
Q2 - 1:48	DAL	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	48 39.3%	53 60.7%
Q2 - 1:50	NOH	MISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 2	48 39.6%	53 60.4%
Q2 - 1:50	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	48 42.0%	53 58.0%
Q2 - 1:58	DAL	Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	47 38.4%	53 61.6%
Q2 - 1:58	DAL	Terry Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	47 38.8%	52 61.2%
Q2 - 2:12	DAL	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	47 42.4%	51 57.6%
Q2 - 2:14	NOH	MISS West 16' Jump Shot	47 43.4%	51 56.6%
Q2 - 2:25	DAL	Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	47 45.7%	51 54.3%
Q2 - 2:25	DAL	Terry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	47 46.1%	50 53.9%
Q2 - 2:32	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	47 48.8%	49 51.2%
Q2 - 2:35	NOH	Nowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)	47 49.8%	49 50.2%
Q2 - 2:54	DAL	Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)	47 52.0%	49 48.0%
Q2 - 3:19	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)	47 55.1%	47 44.9%
Q2 - 3:29	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	45 52.5%	47 47.5%
Q2 - 3:32	DAL	MISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot	45 51.4%	47 48.6%
Q2 - 3:50	NOH	Brown Driving Layup (8 PTS)	45 48.9%	47 51.1%
Q2 - 3:53	DAL	Bass Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	43 46.2%	47 53.8%
Q2 - 4:14	NOH	Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	43 43.2%	47 56.8%
Q2 - 4:33	DAL	Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)	40 37.5%	47 62.5%
Q2 - 4:39	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	40 40.2%	45 59.8%
Q2 - 4:42	NOH	MISS Chandler 6' Jump Hook Shot	40 41.2%	45 58.8%
Q2 - 5:01	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	40 43.9%	45 56.1%
Q2 - 5:04	DAL	MISS Barea 17' Jump Shot	40 43.0%	45 57.0%
Q2 - 5:22	DAL	MAVERICKS Rebound	40 41.1%	45 58.9%
Q2 - 5:23	NOH	MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot	40 41.9%	45 58.1%
Q2 - 5:39	NOH	Hornets Rebound	40 43.8%	45 56.2%
Q2 - 5:41	DAL	MISS Terry 15' Jump Shot	40 43.0%	45 57.0%
Q2 - 6:06	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	40 41.0%	45 59.0%
Q2 - 6:06	NOH	Chandler Tip Shot (2 PTS)	40 41.0%	45 59.0%
Q2 - 6:08	NOH	MISS Brown Driving Layup	38 36.5%	45 63.5%
Q2 - 6:43	DAL	George Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)	38 38.7%	45 61.3%
Q2 - 6:57	NOH	Daniels Layup (6 PTS)	38 41.1%	43 58.9%
Q2 - 7:01	DAL	Terry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	36 39.0%	43 61.0%
Q2 - 7:22	NOH	Daniels Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	36 36.3%	43 63.7%
Q2 - 7:44	DAL	Bass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	34 33.8%	43 66.2%
Q2 - 7:44	DAL	Bass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	34 34.1%	42 65.9%
Q2 - 7:56	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	34 36.2%	41 63.8%
Q2 - 7:57	NOH	George BLOCK (1 BLK)	34 37.1%	41 62.9%
Q2 - 8:18	DAL	Terry 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)	34 39.5%	41 60.5%
Q2 - 8:50	NOH	Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)	34 44.9%	38 55.1%
Q2 - 9:08	DAL	Barea Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)	31 39.7%	38 60.3%
Q2 - 9:17	NOH	Terry STEAL (1 STL)	31 42.3%	36 57.7%
Q2 - 9:30	NOH	Hornets Rebound	31 45.0%	36 55.0%
Q2 - 9:30	NOH	MISS Brown 17' Jump Shot	31 43.1%	36 56.9%
Q2 - 9:37	DAL	Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)	31 45.0%	36 55.0%
Q2 - 9:54	NOH	Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)	31 47.6%	34 52.4%
Q2 - 10:20	DAL	George Driving Layup (2 PTS)	28 42.7%	34 57.3%
Q2 - 10:38	DAL	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 45.2%	32 54.8%
Q2 - 10:40	NOH	MISS Brown Driving Layup	28 46.0%	32 54.0%
Q2 - 11:02	DAL	Terry Driving Layup (11 PTS)	28 48.0%	32 52.0%
Q2 - 11:17	NOH	Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	28 50.5%	30 49.5%
Q2 - 11:17	NOH	Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	27 50.0%	30 50.0%
Q2 - 11:39	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 48.0%	30 52.0%
Q2 - 11:41	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot	26 47.2%	30 52.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	NOH		26 45.4%	30 54.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0	DAL	Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)	26 47.8%	30 52.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	26 53.3%	27 46.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0	NOH	MISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 1	26 53.6%	27 46.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0	NOH	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 50.3%	27 49.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0	DAL	MISS Wright 18' Jump Shot	24 49.7%	27 50.3%
Q1 - 1:08	NOH	Paul Layup (9 PTS)	24 49.0%	27 51.0%
Q1 - 1:12	DAL	Terry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	22 45.9%	27 54.1%
Q1 - 1:32	NOH	Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	22 44.2%	27 55.8%
Q1 - 1:55	DAL	Terry 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	20 41.2%	27 58.8%
Q1 - 2:10	NOH	Paul 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	20 44.5%	25 55.5%
Q1 - 2:18	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	18 41.8%	25 58.2%
Q1 - 2:20	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot	18 40.5%	25 59.5%
Q1 - 2:55	DAL	Bass 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)	18 41.8%	25 58.2%
Q1 - 3:07	DAL	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 44.6%	23 55.4%
Q1 - 3:09	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot	18 45.3%	23 54.7%
Q1 - 3:23	DAL	Bass 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)	18 46.9%	23 53.1%
Q1 - 3:39	NOH	West 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	18 49.1%	21 50.9%
Q1 - 3:59	DAL	Terry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	16 46.8%	21 53.2%
Q1 - 4:10	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 49.2%	19 50.8%
Q1 - 4:11	NOH	MISS Paul 12' Jump Shot	16 49.9%	19 50.1%
Q1 - 4:21	DAL	Terry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 51.5%	19 48.5%
Q1 - 4:21	DAL	Terry Tip Shot (2 PTS)	16 51.5%	19 48.5%
Q1 - 4:22	DAL	MISS Wright Driving Layup	16 55.2%	17 44.8%
Q1 - 4:25	DAL	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 53.6%	17 46.4%
Q1 - 4:27	NOH	MISS Paul 18' Jump Shot	16 54.3%	17 45.7%
Q1 - 4:55	DAL	Wright Putback Layup (4 PTS)	16 56.0%	17 44.0%
Q1 - 4:57	DAL	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 58.0%	15 42.0%
Q1 - 4:58	DAL	MISS Kidd 15' Jump Shot	16 59.6%	15 40.4%
Q1 - 5:15	NOH	Paul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	16 57.6%	15 42.4%
Q1 - 5:30	DAL	Green 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)	16 60.0%	15 40.0%
Q1 - 5:45	NOH	Paul 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	16 63.8%	12 36.2%
Q1 - 5:56	DAL	Dampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)	14 62.1%	12 37.9%
Q1 - 6:06	NOH	Chandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)	14 63.9%	10 36.1%
Q1 - 6:24	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 65.9%	10 34.1%
Q1 - 6:24	DAL	MISS Nowitzki Driving Layup	14 65.3%	10 34.7%
Q1 - 6:32	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	14 63.9%	10 36.1%
Q1 - 6:34	NOH	MISS West 17' Jump Shot	14 64.5%	10 35.5%
Q1 - 6:49	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 65.9%	10 34.1%
Q1 - 6:52	DAL	MISS Green 18' Jump Shot	14 65.3%	10 34.7%
Q1 - 7:14	NOH	West 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)	14 63.8%	10 36.2%
Q1 - 7:33	DAL	Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)	12 62.1%	10 37.9%
Q1 - 7:46	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	12 63.8%	8 36.2%
Q1 - 7:47	NOH	MISS Chandler 6' Jump Hook Shot	12 64.5%	8 35.5%
Q1 - 7:57	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 66.0%	8 34.0%
Q1 - 7:59	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 65.3%	8 34.7%
Q1 - 8:06	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 64.0%	8 36.0%
Q1 - 8:08	NOH	MISS West 15' Jump Shot	12 64.6%	8 35.4%
Q1 - 8:24	DAL	Dampier Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	12 65.9%	8 34.1%
Q1 - 8:31	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 67.8%	6 32.2%
Q1 - 8:34	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 68.3%	6 31.7%
Q1 - 8:40	DAL	Dampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	12 69.6%	6 30.4%
Q1 - 8:44	DAL	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 67.7%	6 32.3%
Q1 - 8:46	NOH	MISS Paul 5' Floating Jump Shot	12 68.3%	6 31.7%
Q1 - 8:57	DAL	Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)	12 69.6%	6 30.4%
Q1 - 9:16	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	12 71.0%	4 29.0%
Q1 - 9:29	DAL	Green 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	9 67.5%	4 32.5%
Q1 - 9:40	NOH	Butler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)	9 69.4%	2 30.6%
Q1 - 9:54	DAL	Wright Driving Layup (2 PTS)	6 65.7%	2 34.3%
Q1 - 10:17	NOH	West 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)	6 66.8%	0 33.2%
Q1 - 10:38	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 65.2%	0 34.8%
Q1 - 10:40	DAL	MISS Wright 18' Jump Shot	4 64.7%	0 35.3%
Q1 - 10:50	DAL	Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	4 63.5%	0 36.5%
Q1 - 10:53	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot	4 64.7%	0 35.3%
Q1 - 11:07	NOH	Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)	4 62.8%	0 37.2%
Q1 - 11:28	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 61.3%	0 38.7%
Q1 - 11:30	DAL	MISS Dampier Layup	2 60.8%	0 39.2%
Q1 - 11:43	NOH	Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)	2 59.7%	0 40.3%
Q1 - 12:00	DAL	Jump Ball Dampier vs. Chandler: Tip to Stojakovic	0 58.1%	0 41.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.09 54.7%

DAL

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOH

63%

DAL

61%

Midrange

NOH

45%

DAL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOH

9.0

38%

56%

DAL

13.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

NOH

82%

DAL

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Paul	33	57%	16.5 / 29
D. West	16	44%	8.0 / 18
P. Stojakovic	16	57%	8.0 / 14
D. Brown	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Chandler	10	71%	5.0 / 7
R. Butler	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Daniels	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Posey	5	36%	2.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Terry	28	78%	14.0 / 18
D. Nowitzki	20	53%	10.0 / 19
A. Wright	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. Kidd	7	35%	3.5 / 10
E. Dampier	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Bass	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Green	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. George	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Singleton	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Barea	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH

+12

-6

DAL

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.09 54.7%

DAL

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	108.6 110.3	NOH 116.9 +6.6 DAL 110.2
Pace	88.0 91.7	NOH 90.4 +3.8 DAL 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time	16.8 16.0	NOH 15.9 +0.7 DAL 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.1% 50.4%	NOH 52.9% DAL 56.1% +3.2%
TO %	13.3% 13.2%	NOH 7.0% +7.9% DAL 14.9%
ORB %	24.6% 26.6%	NOH 22.0% +3.2% DAL 18.8%
FTrt	28.8 27.4	NOH 20.0 +1.1 DAL 18.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	55.3% 56.9%	NOH 50.0% DAL 56.8% +6.8%
STL %	8.2% 7.8%	NOH 11.2% +10.1% DAL 1.1%
BLK %	7.2% 8.0%	NOH 3.9% DAL 5.8% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.1% 53.6%	NOH 54.7% DAL 58.4% +3.7%
Rim FG%	58.6% 57.7%	NOH 63.0% +2.1% DAL 60.9%
Mid FG%	42.5% 44.9%	NOH 45.2% DAL 50.0% +4.8%
3P %	36.4% 35.0%	NOH 37.5% DAL 39.1% +1.6%
FT %	80.7% 81.9%	NOH 82.4% DAL 100.0% +17.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29.0% 28.9%	NOH 31.8% +0.7% DAL 31.1%
Mid Att. %	47.0% 47.0%	NOH 49.4% DAL 37.8% +11.6%
3P Att. %	24.0% 24.1%	NOH 18.8% DAL 31.1% +12.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Game Totals	NOH	DAL
Possessions	89	88
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	104	97
Rebounds	35	38
Assists	21	21
Steals	10	1
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	6 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	42-85	37-74
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	14-23
Midrange FG	19-42	14-28
2-Point FG	36-69	28-51
3-Point FG	6-16	9-23
Free Throws	14-17	14-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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5 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 24	41.6	33	57%	10	11	7	0	2	1	1	9	9-12	75%	12-22	55%	0-2	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 28	40.0	16	44%	4	3	0	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	8-18	44%	0-0	-
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 26	38.6	10	71%	14	1	0	1	1	3	5	9	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 32	35.3	16	57%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Rasual Butler G · 6'7" 215 · 30	21.2	6	75%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 32	25.3	5	36%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 30	16.6	12	60%	1	4	2	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 34	6.3	6	100%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 31	6.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hilton Armstrong F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 31
Julian Wright #32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ryan Bowen #40 · F · 6'9" 218 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	35	21	10	2	6	0	9	26	14-17	82%	36-69	52%	6-16	38%

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5 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 24	41.6	33	57%	10	11	7	0	2	1	1	9	9-12	75%	12-22	55%	0-2	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 28	40.0	16	44%	4	3	0	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	8-18	44%	0-0	-
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 26	38.6	10	71%	14	1	0	1	1	3	5	9	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 32	35.3	16	57%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Rasual Butler G · 6'7" 215 · 30	21.2	6	75%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 32	25.3	5	36%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 30	16.6	12	60%	1	4	2	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 34	6.3	6	100%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 31	6.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hilton Armstrong F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 31
Julian Wright #32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ryan Bowen #40 · F · 6'9" 218 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	35	21	10	2	6	0	9	26	14-17	82%	36-69	52%	6-16	38%

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12 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 31	38.1	20	53%	13	2	0	1	4	1	0	13	4-4	100%	8-15	53%	0-2	0%
Jason Kidd G · 6'4" 210 · 36	38.1	7	35%	7	7	0	1	3	0	1	6	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Antoine Wright G · 6'7" 215 · 25	37.8	15	75%	3	3	0	1	1	6	1	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-3	100%
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 34	19.6	6	75%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Gerald Green F · 6'7" 205 · 23	11.3	5	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 31	35.1	28	78%	2	4	1	0	2	2	2	0	6-6	100%	5-7	71%	4-8	50%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 24	33.2	6	60%	6	0	0	0	2	2	0	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 25	12.8	2	33%	0	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Devean George F · 6'8" 235 · 31	8.8	4	67%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
James Singleton F · 6'8" 230 · 27	5.0	4	50%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 27
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 23
Josh Howard #5 · F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jerry Stackhouse #42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	58%	38	21	1	4	14	0	6	32	14-14	100%	28-51	55%	9-23	39%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE