Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Lakers	42%	96	111	126.1	88	88.8
	4	Spurs	58%	99	112	125.8	89	88.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 30	41.6	29	69%	7	10	0	1	4	1	1	6	5-6	83%	9-16	56%	2-3	67%
Derek Fisher G · 6'1" 210 · 34	36.1	16	73%	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	4-4	100%
Andrew Bynum C · 7'0" 285 · 21	35.5	18	60%	3	0	1	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 29	31.9	21	70%	5	1	1	0	5	3	2	3	1-2	50%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 28	27.7	2	20%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%

Lamar Odom F · 6'10" 230 · 29	28.6	9	64%	5	3	2	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24	23.5	10	63%	6	2	2	0	1	2	2	4	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 26	13.7	6	60%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Sun Sun G · 6'9" 205 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 25	\| NWT-Back spasms
Chris Mihm C · 7'0" 265 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Walton #4 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jordan Farmar #5 · G · 6'2" 180 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	62%	32	20	9	2	11	0	8	24	8-11	73%	38-67	57%	9-16	56%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 30	41.6	29	69%	7	10	0	1	4	1	1	6	5-6	83%	9-16	56%	2-3	67%
Derek Fisher G · 6'1" 210 · 34	36.1	16	73%	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	4-4	100%
Andrew Bynum C · 7'0" 285 · 21	35.5	18	60%	3	0	1	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 29	31.9	21	70%	5	1	1	0	5	3	2	3	1-2	50%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 28	27.7	2	20%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%

Lamar Odom F · 6'10" 230 · 29	28.6	9	64%	5	3	2	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24	23.5	10	63%	6	2	2	0	1	2	2	4	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 26	13.7	6	60%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Sun Sun G · 6'9" 205 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 25	\| NWT-Back spasms
Chris Mihm C · 7'0" 265 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Walton #4 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jordan Farmar #5 · G · 6'2" 180 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	62%	32	20	9	2	11	0	8	24	8-11	73%	38-67	57%	9-16	56%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	38.2	20	48%	10	8	1	2	2	1	3	7	2-4	50%	9-19	47%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	36.3	18	82%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	3-4	75%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	33.6	10	71%	5	4	0	0	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	33.5	20	63%	2	3	2	1	4	2	0	2	2-4	50%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	23.4	3	38%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	30.3	27	79%	3	2	3	0	2	2	1	2	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	4-8	50%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	24.2	4	100%	3	3	2	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	14.5	10	83%	4	1	1	0	2	0	1	3	3-5	60%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Malik Hairston #1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	64%	31	22	9	3	11	0	7	24	14-21	67%	34-57	60%	10-20	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.25 62.4%

SAS

1.27 63.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

16

24

67%

SAS

13

22

59%

Midrange

LAL

22

43

51%

SAS

21

35

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

9

13.5

16

56%

84%

SAS

10

15.0

20

50%

75%

Free Throws

LAL

8

11

73%

SAS

14

21

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Bryant	29	69%	14.5 / 21
P. Gasol	21	70%	10.5 / 15
A. Bynum	18	60%	9.0 / 15
D. Fisher	16	73%	8.0 / 11
T. Ariza	10	63%	5.0 / 8
L. Odom	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Powell	6	60%	3.0 / 5
V. Radmanovic	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili	27	79%	13.5 / 17
T. Duncan	20	48%	10.0 / 21
T. Parker	20	63%	10.0 / 16
R. Mason Jr.	18	82%	9.0 / 11
M. Bonner	10	71%	5.0 / 7
G. Hill	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Thomas	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Finley	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Bowen	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 112.4 14 108.3	LAL 126.1 +0.3 SAS 125.8
Pace	5 94.7 26 88.7	LAL 88.8 +0.6 SAS 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time	24 15.1 5 16.5	LAL 16.2 −0.1 SAS 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.3% 5 51.3%	LAL 62.0% SAS 63.6% +1.6%
TO %	10 13.8% 1 12.4%	LAL 11.1% −1.1% SAS 12.2%
ORB %	3 29.3% 30 22.1%	LAL 25.0% +2.4% SAS 22.6%
FTrt	18 29.9 30 25.1	LAL 13.3 SAS 27.3 +14.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 57.7% 9 57.1%	LAL 42.6% SAS 50.0% +7.4%
STL %	2 9.2% 30 6.5%	LAL 10.2% +0.1% SAS 10.1%
BLK %	9 8.2% 29 6.1%	LAL 3.5% SAS 4.5% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 54.2% 11 53.4%	LAL 62.4% SAS 63.6% +1.2%
Rim FG%	3 61.0% 11 58.8%	LAL 66.7% +7.6% SAS 59.1%
Mid FG%	7 41.8% 3 42.7%	LAL 51.2% SAS 60.0% +8.8%
3P %	19 36.1% 3 38.6%	LAL 56.3% +6.3% SAS 50.0%
FT %	14 77.1% 19 76.2%	LAL 72.7% +6.0% SAS 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 35.5% 26 30.3%	LAL 28.9% +0.3% SAS 28.6%
Mid Att. %	17 42.8% 21 44.9%	LAL 51.8% SAS 45.5% −6.4%
3P Att. %	17 21.7% 7 24.8%	LAL 19.3% SAS 26.0% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAL	SAS
Possessions	88	89
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	111	112
Rebounds	32	31
Assists	20	22
Steals	9	9
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (3)	24 (3)
Field Goals	47-83	44-77
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	13-22
Midrange FG	22-43	21-35
2-Point FG	38-67	34-57
3-Point FG	9-16	10-20
Free Throws	8-11	14-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg