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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers42%96111
4Spurs58%99112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
41.6
39.1
29
67%
7
10
0
1
1
4
1
6
5-6
83%
9-16
8-17
56%
49%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
36.1
38.5
16
74%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
42%
4-4
100%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
35.5
30.4
18
60%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
9-15
5-9
60%
56%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
31.9
38.5
21
71%
5
1
1
0
0
5
2
3
1-2
50%
10-14
6-12
71%
53%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
27.7
21.4
2
20%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
28.6
20.5
9
64%
5
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
23.5
23.8
10
59%
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.0
13.7
13.5
6
60%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
1.4
2.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.9
14.9
1
1-2
43%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
2.0
0
0-1
46%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.7
38.2
34.6
20
48%
10
8
1
1
2
2
3
7
2-4
50%
9-19
7-15
47%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.3
36.3
30.1
18
79%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
3-4
75%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
33.6
25.4
10
71%
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
33.5
34.4
20
63%
2
3
2
1
1
4
0
2
2-4
50%
9-14
8-16
64%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.9
23.4
27.8
3
34%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.5
30.3
28.7
27
77%
3
2
3
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
5-7
3-7
71%
50%
4-8
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
24.2
12.8
4
100%
3
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.7
14.5
13.2
10
81%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.6
6.1
19.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
5.9
0
0-1
48%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
2.9
0
0-0
57%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
2.5
0
0-1
42%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.2
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.