Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	18	Hawks	58%	94	97
	29	Clippers	42%	92	80

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
ATL	111.5	87	88.7
LAC	94.1	85	83.4

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

-9

LAC

+14

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.13 56.4%

LAC

0.95 47.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAC
Q4 - 0:00.0	ATL		97 100%	80 0%
Q4 - 0:11.0	ATL	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	97 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0	LAC	MISS Gordon 29' 3PT Jump Shot	97 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0	ATL	O. Hunter Layup (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)	97 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0	LAC	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	95 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0	LAC	MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2	95 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:00	ATL	Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)	95 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:22	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	92 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:23	ATL	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	92 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:37	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	92 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:42	LAC	MISS Camby Alley Oop Dunk	92 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:48	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	92 99.8%	79 0.2%
Q4 - 1:50	ATL	Camby BLOCK (4 BLK)	92 99.8%	79 0.2%
Q4 - 2:15	LAC	Collins Layup (15 PTS)	92 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:33	ATL	Johnson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)	92 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 2:50	LAC	Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)	90 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 2:50	LAC	MISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2	90 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 2:57	ATL	Smith Driving Dunk (26 PTS)	90 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 3:00	LAC	Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)	88 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 3:17	ATL	Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)	88 99.6%	76 0.4%
Q4 - 3:45	LAC	Camby Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)	85 98.1%	76 1.9%
Q4 - 4:06	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	85 98.8%	74 1.2%
Q4 - 4:06	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	84 98.6%	74 1.4%
Q4 - 4:10	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	83 98.2%	74 1.8%
Q4 - 4:11	ATL	MISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot	83 97.7%	74 2.3%
Q4 - 4:20	ATL	Murray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	83 98.3%	74 1.7%
Q4 - 4:22	ATL	MISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot	83 97.7%	74 2.3%
Q4 - 4:42	LAC	CLIPPERS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#17)	83 98.3%	74 1.7%
Q4 - 4:50	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	83 97.5%	74 2.5%
Q4 - 4:51	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1	83 97.6%	74 2.4%
Q4 - 5:06	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)	81 94.5%	74 5.5%
Q4 - 5:09	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)	81 97.1%	71 2.9%
Q4 - 5:11	ATL	Camby BLOCK (3 BLK)	81 97.4%	71 2.6%
Q4 - 5:33	LAC	Thornton Layup (24 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)	81 98.0%	71 2.0%
Q4 - 6:00	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	81 98.5%	69 1.5%
Q4 - 6:00	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	80 98.4%	69 1.6%
Q4 - 6:11	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	79 97.2%	69 2.8%
Q4 - 6:12	LAC	MISS Gordon Layup	79 96.9%	69 3.1%
Q4 - 6:34	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	79 96.2%	69 3.8%
Q4 - 6:35	ATL	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1	79 96.4%	69 3.6%
Q4 - 6:50	LAC	Thornton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)	77 95.0%	69 5.0%
Q4 - 7:07	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	77 95.3%	67 4.7%
Q4 - 7:08	ATL	MISS Johnson Layup	77 95.7%	67 4.3%
Q4 - 7:34	LAC	Collins 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	77 96.5%	67 3.5%
Q4 - 7:55	ATL	Murray Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	77 97.3%	65 2.7%
Q4 - 7:55	ATL	Murray Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	76 97.1%	65 2.9%
Q4 - 8:12	LAC	Thornton Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)	75 95.7%	65 4.3%
Q4 - 8:37	ATL	Jones Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	75 97.5%	62 2.5%
Q4 - 8:40	LAC	Camby Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T16)	73 96.7%	62 3.3%
Q4 - 8:44	ATL	Camby STEAL (2 STL)	73 95.8%	62 4.2%
Q4 - 9:01	LAC	Camby 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collins 8 AST)	73 95.9%	62 4.1%
Q4 - 9:17	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	73 96.8%	60 3.2%
Q4 - 9:17	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	72 96.7%	60 3.3%
Q4 - 9:39	LAC	Jones 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	71 96.0%	60 4.0%
Q4 - 9:56	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	71 96.9%	58 3.1%
Q4 - 9:57	LAC	MISS Thornton 16' Jump Bank Shot	71 97.3%	58 2.7%
Q4 - 10:25	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)	71 96.2%	58 3.8%
Q4 - 10:37	ATL	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	68 94.2%	58 5.8%
Q4 - 10:38	LAC	MISS Gordon 12' Jump Shot	68 93.8%	58 6.2%
Q4 - 11:08	ATL	Smith 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)	68 92.0%	58 8.0%
Q4 - 11:12	ATL	Hawks Rebound	66 90.2%	58 9.8%
Q4 - 11:12	ATL	Thornton BLOCK (2 BLK)	66 88.9%	58 11.1%
Q4 - 11:28	LAC	Gordon Foul Turnover (P3.T15)	66 90.2%	58 9.8%
Q4 - 11:37	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	66 88.3%	58 11.7%
Q4 - 11:40	ATL	MISS Williams Hook Shot	66 88.9%	58 11.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	LAC		66 90.3%	58 9.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	66 88.3%	58 11.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0	LAC	MISS Skinner 70' 3PT Jump Shot	66 88.7%	58 11.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0	ATL	Johnson Layup (12 PTS)	66 87.4%	58 12.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0	LAC	Thornton Layup (17 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)	64 84.7%	58 15.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	64 87.5%	56 12.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0	LAC	MISS Thornton 21' Jump Shot	64 88.8%	56 11.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0	ATL	Murray 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)	64 87.5%	56 12.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0	LAC	Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	61 81.9%	56 18.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0	LAC	Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	61 82.6%	55 17.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)	61 85.1%	54 14.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)	61 85.1%	54 14.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0	LAC	MISS Camby Tip Shot	61 86.6%	54 13.4%
Q3 - 1:00	LAC	MISS Thornton 6' Jump Shot	61 86.6%	54 13.4%
Q3 - 1:13	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	61 84.2%	54 15.8%
Q3 - 1:13	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	60 83.8%	54 16.2%
Q3 - 1:30	LAC	Camby 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collins 7 AST)	59 81.2%	54 18.8%
Q3 - 2:01	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)	59 83.3%	52 16.7%
Q3 - 2:02	ATL	MISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2	59 83.6%	52 16.4%
Q3 - 2:02	ATL	Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	59 85.4%	52 14.6%
Q3 - 2:17	LAC	Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Collins 6 AST)	58 83.3%	52 16.7%
Q3 - 2:38	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)	58 88.0%	49 12.0%
Q3 - 2:39	ATL	MISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot	58 88.5%	49 11.5%
Q3 - 2:59	LAC	Gordon 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	58 89.8%	49 10.2%
Q3 - 3:31	ATL	Smith Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	58 90.9%	47 9.1%
Q3 - 3:52	LAC	Collins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)	56 89.4%	47 10.6%
Q3 - 4:11	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	56 86.7%	47 13.3%
Q3 - 4:12	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1	56 87.1%	47 12.9%
Q3 - 4:17	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	54 85.0%	47 15.0%
Q3 - 4:19	LAC	MISS Collins 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 84.2%	47 15.8%
Q3 - 4:33	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)	54 82.2%	47 17.8%
Q3 - 4:34	ATL	MISS Murray 16' Jump Shot	54 83.1%	47 16.9%
Q3 - 4:52	LAC	Thornton Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)	54 85.0%	47 15.0%
Q3 - 4:56	LAC	Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 86.8%	45 13.2%
Q3 - 4:58	ATL	Camby BLOCK (2 BLK)	54 87.5%	45 12.5%
Q3 - 5:18	LAC	Collins Layup (11 PTS)	54 88.1%	45 11.9%
Q3 - 5:25	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	54 89.6%	43 10.4%
Q3 - 5:27	LAC	MISS Collins Layup	54 90.7%	43 9.3%
Q3 - 5:38	ATL	Pachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)	54 89.6%	43 10.4%
Q3 - 5:56	LAC	Collins Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)	54 91.2%	43 8.8%
Q3 - 6:00	LAC	Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	54 92.3%	41 7.7%
Q3 - 6:01	ATL	MISS Johnson Layup	54 92.2%	41 7.8%
Q3 - 6:23	LAC	Thornton Layup (11 PTS) (Collins 5 AST)	54 93.1%	41 6.9%
Q3 - 6:29	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	54 94.0%	39 6.0%
Q3 - 6:31	ATL	Camby BLOCK (1 BLK)	54 94.3%	39 5.7%
Q3 - 6:51	ATL	Hawks Rebound	54 94.9%	39 5.1%
Q3 - 6:52	LAC	MISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot	54 94.6%	39 5.4%
Q3 - 7:09	ATL	Williams 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)	54 93.3%	39 6.7%
Q3 - 7:24	LAC	Thornton Dunk (9 PTS) (Collins 4 AST)	52 92.4%	39 7.6%
Q3 - 7:42	ATL	Bibby 10' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)	52 93.4%	37 6.6%
Q3 - 8:00	LAC	Collins 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)	50 92.4%	37 7.6%
Q3 - 8:07	ATL	Collins STEAL (3 STL)	50 93.0%	35 7.0%
Q3 - 8:10	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	50 94.0%	35 6.0%
Q3 - 8:11	LAC	MISS Camby Layup	50 93.7%	35 6.3%
Q3 - 8:32	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	50 93.0%	35 7.0%
Q3 - 8:33	ATL	MISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2	50 93.1%	35 6.9%
Q3 - 8:33	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	50 93.7%	35 6.3%
Q3 - 8:46	LAC	Camby Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)	49 93.1%	35 6.9%
Q3 - 8:57	ATL	Pachulia 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)	49 91.9%	35 8.1%
Q3 - 9:07	LAC	Camby Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)	47 90.5%	35 9.5%
Q3 - 9:26	ATL	Bibby 3' Layup (7 PTS)	47 89.2%	35 10.8%
Q3 - 9:32	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	45 87.7%	35 12.3%
Q3 - 9:35	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	45 86.0%	35 14.0%
Q3 - 9:35	LAC	MISS Skinner Tip Shot	45 87.2%	35 12.8%
Q3 - 9:37	LAC	MISS Camby 16' Jump Shot	45 87.2%	35 12.8%
Q3 - 9:51	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	45 86.0%	35 14.0%
Q3 - 9:55	ATL	MISS Bibby 21' Running Jump Shot	45 86.5%	35 13.5%
Q3 - 10:23	LAC	Thornton Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Collins 3 AST)	45 87.2%	35 12.8%
Q3 - 10:45	ATL	Smith 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	45 88.7%	33 11.3%
Q3 - 11:11	LAC	Gordon Layup (10 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)	43 86.9%	33 13.1%
Q3 - 11:16	ATL	Collins STEAL (2 STL)	43 88.3%	31 11.7%
Q3 - 11:33	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	43 89.7%	31 10.3%
Q3 - 11:34	LAC	MISS Camby 16' Jump Shot	43 89.3%	31 10.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL		43 88.3%	31 11.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC	Camby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)	43 89.7%	31 10.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	43 88.1%	31 11.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	42 87.7%	31 12.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0	LAC	Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)	41 86.3%	31 13.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0	LAC	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 89.5%	28 10.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0	ATL	MISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot	41 89.8%	28 10.2%
Q2 - 1:02	LAC	Gordon Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)	41 90.1%	28 9.9%
Q2 - 1:25	ATL	Williams 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS)	41 89.2%	28 10.8%
Q2 - 1:42	LAC	Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	39 87.5%	28 12.5%
Q2 - 1:42	LAC	Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	39 87.8%	27 12.2%
Q2 - 1:54	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	39 89.2%	26 10.8%
Q2 - 1:54	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	38 89.0%	26 11.0%
Q2 - 2:14	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	37 87.3%	26 12.7%
Q2 - 2:15	LAC	MISS Davis 11' Jump Shot	37 86.8%	26 13.2%
Q2 - 2:33	ATL	Smith Driving Layup (8 PTS)	37 85.7%	26 14.3%
Q2 - 2:37	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	35 84.1%	26 15.9%
Q2 - 2:39	LAC	MISS Gordon Layup	35 83.6%	26 16.4%
Q2 - 2:53	ATL	Murray Layup (6 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	35 82.3%	26 17.7%
Q2 - 2:58	LAC	Collins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)	33 80.4%	26 19.6%
Q2 - 3:00	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	33 78.3%	26 21.7%
Q2 - 3:01	LAC	MISS Gordon Layup	33 79.7%	26 20.3%
Q2 - 3:24	ATL	Smith Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	33 78.0%	26 22.0%
Q2 - 3:37	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	31 76.2%	26 23.8%
Q2 - 3:38	LAC	MISS Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2	31 75.8%	26 24.2%
Q2 - 3:38	LAC	Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	31 74.3%	26 25.7%
Q2 - 3:51	ATL	Williams 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	31 75.8%	25 24.2%
Q2 - 4:14	LAC	Collins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)	29 73.5%	25 26.5%
Q2 - 4:21	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	29 77.9%	22 22.1%
Q2 - 4:23	LAC	MISS Collins Layup	29 79.4%	22 20.6%
Q2 - 4:38	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	29 77.9%	22 22.1%
Q2 - 4:39	ATL	MISS Smith 11' Jump Shot	29 78.5%	22 21.5%
Q2 - 4:55	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	29 80.1%	22 19.9%
Q2 - 5:02	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	29 83.4%	19 16.6%
Q2 - 5:03	ATL	MISS Jones 14' Jump Shot	29 83.9%	19 16.1%
Q2 - 5:17	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	29 84.9%	19 15.1%
Q2 - 5:18	LAC	MISS Novak 26' 3PT Jump Shot	29 84.5%	19 15.5%
Q2 - 5:35	ATL	Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	29 83.4%	19 16.6%
Q2 - 5:42	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 79.8%	19 20.2%
Q2 - 5:44	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	26 77.8%	19 22.2%
Q2 - 5:44	LAC	MISS Camby Tip Shot	26 79.2%	19 20.8%
Q2 - 5:46	LAC	MISS Thornton 27' 3PT Jump Shot	26 79.2%	19 20.8%
Q2 - 5:55	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	26 77.8%	19 22.2%
Q2 - 5:56	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	26 78.4%	19 21.6%
Q2 - 6:06	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 79.4%	19 20.6%
Q2 - 6:07	LAC	MISS Camby Free Throw 2 of 2	26 79.1%	19 20.9%
Q2 - 6:07	LAC	Camby Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	26 77.9%	19 22.1%
Q2 - 6:22	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	26 79.1%	18 20.9%
Q2 - 6:28	ATL	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1	26 79.4%	18 20.6%
Q2 - 6:35	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	24 77.5%	18 22.5%
Q2 - 6:36	LAC	MISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot	24 76.8%	18 23.2%
Q2 - 6:50	ATL	Johnson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	24 75.1%	18 24.9%
Q2 - 6:54	LAC	Novak Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)	22 73.2%	18 26.8%
Q2 - 6:54	LAC	Novak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 70.5%	18 29.5%
Q2 - 6:55	ATL	Novak BLOCK (1 BLK)	22 71.3%	18 28.7%
Q2 - 7:00	LAC	Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)	22 73.2%	18 26.8%
Q2 - 7:29	LAC	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 70.7%	18 29.3%
Q2 - 7:30	ATL	MISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot	22 71.4%	18 28.6%
Q2 - 7:50	LAC	Jordan Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	22 73.1%	18 26.9%
Q2 - 8:02	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 70.5%	18 29.5%
Q2 - 8:03	ATL	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	22 71.1%	18 28.9%
Q2 - 8:27	LAC	Thornton Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)	22 72.7%	18 27.3%
Q2 - 8:45	ATL	Law Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	22 74.9%	16 25.1%
Q2 - 8:50	ATL	Law REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 76.8%	16 23.2%
Q2 - 8:51	LAC	MISS Collins 5' Jump Shot	22 76.3%	16 23.7%
Q2 - 9:20	ATL	Murray Driving Layup (4 PTS)	22 74.4%	16 25.6%
Q2 - 9:53	LAC	Davis Layup (2 PTS)	20 72.4%	16 27.6%
Q2 - 10:08	LAC	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 74.1%	14 25.9%
Q2 - 10:10	ATL	Jordan BLOCK (1 BLK)	20 74.8%	14 25.2%
Q2 - 10:35	LAC	Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	20 76.2%	14 23.8%
Q2 - 10:44	ATL	Law 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)	20 74.2%	14 25.8%
Q2 - 10:51	ATL	Murray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 70.0%	14 30.0%
Q2 - 10:52	LAC	MISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot	17 69.3%	14 30.7%
Q2 - 11:19	ATL	Johnson Layup (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)	17 67.4%	14 32.6%
Q2 - 11:40	LAC	Collins Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	15 65.2%	14 34.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	ATL		15 67.4%	12 32.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0	LAC	Camby Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T4)	15 69.0%	12 31.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	15 67.4%	12 32.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0	ATL	MISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot	15 67.9%	12 32.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0	ATL	Hawks Rebound	15 69.0%	12 31.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0	LAC	MISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot	15 68.5%	12 31.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	15 67.4%	12 32.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0	ATL	Thornton BLOCK (1 BLK)	15 67.9%	12 32.1%
Q1 - 1:04	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	15 68.9%	12 31.1%
Q1 - 1:08	LAC	MISS Jones Driving Layup	15 68.4%	12 31.6%
Q1 - 1:23	ATL	Murray 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	15 67.4%	12 32.6%
Q1 - 1:44	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	13 64.6%	12 35.4%
Q1 - 1:44	LAC	MISS Camby Free Throw 2 of 2	13 64.4%	12 35.6%
Q1 - 1:44	LAC	Camby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	13 63.0%	12 37.0%
Q1 - 1:44	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	13 65.3%	11 34.7%
Q1 - 1:45	LAC	MISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot	13 66.3%	11 33.7%
Q1 - 1:59	ATL	Law Driving Layup (2 PTS)	13 65.3%	11 34.7%
Q1 - 2:11	LAC	Gordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	11 62.6%	11 37.4%
Q1 - 2:20	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	11 60.9%	11 39.1%
Q1 - 2:21	ATL	MISS Murray 14' Jump Shot	11 61.4%	11 38.6%
Q1 - 2:42	LAC	Jones Driving Layup (2 PTS)	11 62.6%	11 37.4%
Q1 - 2:46	LAC	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 65.2%	9 34.8%
Q1 - 2:49	ATL	Gordon BLOCK (1 BLK)	11 65.7%	9 34.3%
Q1 - 3:11	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	11 67.3%	9 32.7%
Q1 - 3:11	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	11 67.5%	8 32.5%
Q1 - 3:19	ATL	Davis STEAL (1 STL)	11 69.2%	7 30.8%
Q1 - 3:40	LAC	Jones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	11 71.1%	7 28.9%
Q1 - 3:55	ATL	Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	11 69.2%	7 30.8%
Q1 - 4:00	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	8 65.2%	7 34.8%
Q1 - 4:02	LAC	MISS Camby 13' Jump Shot	8 64.4%	7 35.6%
Q1 - 4:12	ATL	Camby STEAL (1 STL)	8 62.9%	7 37.1%
Q1 - 4:20	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	8 65.1%	7 34.9%
Q1 - 4:21	ATL	MISS Murray 16' Jump Shot	8 63.6%	7 36.4%
Q1 - 4:28	LAC	Camby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	8 65.1%	7 34.9%
Q1 - 4:40	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	8 63.0%	7 37.0%
Q1 - 4:41	ATL	MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot	8 63.6%	7 36.4%
Q1 - 4:52	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	8 65.1%	7 34.9%
Q1 - 4:52	LAC	MISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2	8 65.4%	6 34.6%
Q1 - 4:57	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	8 65.0%	6 35.0%
Q1 - 4:58	ATL	MISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot	8 65.7%	6 34.3%
Q1 - 5:05	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	8 66.7%	6 33.3%
Q1 - 5:07	LAC	MISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot	8 66.1%	6 33.9%
Q1 - 5:21	ATL	Johnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	8 64.5%	6 35.5%
Q1 - 5:37	LAC	Camby Layup (4 PTS)	6 62.8%	6 37.2%
Q1 - 5:38	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	6 64.5%	4 35.5%
Q1 - 5:39	LAC	MISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot	6 66.1%	4 33.9%
Q1 - 5:59	ATL	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	6 64.6%	4 35.4%
Q1 - 5:59	ATL	Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	5 64.2%	4 35.8%
Q1 - 6:10	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	4 62.9%	4 37.1%
Q1 - 6:10	LAC	MISS Skinner 9' Jump Shot	4 62.2%	4 37.8%
Q1 - 6:14	LAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	4 60.8%	4 39.2%
Q1 - 6:16	LAC	MISS Skinner 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	4 62.2%	4 37.8%
Q1 - 6:35	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	4 60.8%	4 39.2%
Q1 - 6:37	ATL	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	4 61.4%	4 38.6%
Q1 - 7:06	LAC	Camby Layup (2 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)	4 63.0%	4 37.0%
Q1 - 7:12	ATL	Collins STEAL (1 STL)	4 64.8%	2 35.2%
Q1 - 7:25	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 66.9%	2 33.1%
Q1 - 7:26	LAC	MISS Collins 19' Jump Shot	4 66.2%	2 33.8%
Q1 - 7:43	ATL	Williams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	4 64.8%	2 35.2%
Q1 - 7:47	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	4 66.9%	2 33.1%
Q1 - 7:49	LAC	MISS Thornton 13' Jump Shot	4 66.2%	2 33.8%
Q1 - 8:14	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 65.0%	2 35.0%
Q1 - 8:15	ATL	MISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot	4 65.6%	2 34.4%
Q1 - 8:36	LAC	Gordon Driving Layup (2 PTS)	4 66.9%	2 33.1%
Q1 - 8:55	ATL	Smith Layup (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)	4 68.7%	0 31.3%
Q1 - 8:58	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	2 66.9%	0 33.1%
Q1 - 9:01	LAC	MISS Collins Driving Layup	2 66.5%	0 33.5%
Q1 - 9:11	LAC	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 65.4%	0 34.6%
Q1 - 9:12	ATL	MISS Pachulia 10' Jump Shot	2 65.9%	0 34.1%
Q1 - 9:28	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 67.0%	0 33.0%
Q1 - 9:29	ATL	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	2 65.9%	0 34.1%
Q1 - 9:37	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	2 67.0%	0 33.0%
Q1 - 9:38	LAC	MISS Camby 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	2 66.5%	0 33.5%
Q1 - 9:41	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 65.4%	0 34.6%
Q1 - 9:42	LAC	MISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot	2 66.5%	0 33.5%
Q1 - 9:57	LAC	Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 65.4%	0 34.6%
Q1 - 9:59	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	2 65.9%	0 34.1%
Q1 - 10:15	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 66.8%	0 33.2%
Q1 - 10:16	LAC	MISS Thornton 14' Jump Shot	2 66.3%	0 33.7%
Q1 - 10:39	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	2 65.1%	0 34.9%
Q1 - 10:39	ATL	MISS Smith 8' Hook Shot	2 65.6%	0 34.4%
Q1 - 10:48	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 66.8%	0 33.2%
Q1 - 10:49	LAC	MISS Skinner 16' Jump Shot	2 66.3%	0 33.7%
Q1 - 11:05	ATL	Smith Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	2 64.9%	0 35.1%
Q1 - 11:19	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 63.4%	0 36.6%
Q1 - 11:20	LAC	MISS Thornton 11' Jump Shot	0 62.9%	0 37.1%
Q1 - 11:36	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	0 61.8%	0 38.2%
Q1 - 11:37	ATL	MISS Smith 12' Jump Shot	0 62.3%	0 37.7%
Q1 - 11:41	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 63.4%	0 36.6%
Q1 - 11:42	ATL	MISS Johnson 5' Floating Jump Shot	0 62.3%	0 37.7%
Q1 - 12:00	LAC	Jump Ball Camby vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson	0 63.4%	0 36.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.13 56.4%

LAC

0.95 47.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

60%

LAC

62%

Midrange

ATL

42%

LAC

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

10.5

41%

62%

LAC

4.5

21%

32%

Free Throws

ATL

75%

LAC

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	26	72%	13.0 / 18
J. Johnson	21	55%	10.5 / 19
R. Murray	17	85%	8.5 / 10
M. Williams	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Bibby	10	42%	5.0 / 12
A. Law	5	63%	2.5 / 4
Z. Pachulia	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
O. Hunter	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Evans	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Thornton	25	63%	12.5 / 20
E. Gordon	18	53%	9.0 / 17
M. Collins	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Camby	12	40%	6.0 / 15
F. Jones	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Davis	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Skinner	0	-	0.0 / 5
S. Novak	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

-9

LAC

+14

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.13 56.4%

LAC

0.95 47.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	109.2 102.2	ATL 111.5 LAC 94.1 +17.4
Pace	89.8 92.2	ATL 88.7 +5.3 LAC 83.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15.9 15.8	ATL 16.2 +1.0 LAC 17.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.4% 48.1%	ATL 54.1% +9.6% LAC 44.5%
TO %	13.6% 15.3%	ATL 9.7% +8.3% LAC 18.0%
ORB %	26.0% 25.1%	ATL 15.0% LAC 29.3% +14.3%
FTrt	32.3 27.5	ATL 32.9 +4.1 LAC 28.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.1% 58.3%	ATL 55.6% LAC 58.1% +2.5%
STL %	8.2% 7.5%	ATL 10.3% +3.2% LAC 7.1%
BLK %	7.4% 9.0%	ATL 11.9% LAC 16.1% +4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.2% 50.6%	ATL 56.4% +8.8% LAC 47.6%
Rim FG%	60.5% 56.5%	ATL 60.0% LAC 61.8% +1.8%
Mid FG%	40.2% 37.7%	ATL 42.3% +14.3% LAC 28.0%
3P %	36.6% 35.4%	ATL 41.2% +19.8% LAC 21.4%
FT %	73.8% 73.7%	ATL 75.0% +3.6% LAC 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.2% 37.0%	ATL 41.1% LAC 46.6% +5.5%
Mid Att. %	42.4% 40.4%	ATL 35.6% LAC 34.2% +1.4%
3P Att. %	25.3% 22.6%	ATL 23.3% +4.1% LAC 19.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	LAC
Possessions	87	85
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	97	80
Rebounds	35	46
Assists	20	18
Steals	9	6
Blocks	7	9
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (1)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	36-73	31-73
At-the-Rim FG	18-30	21-34
Midrange FG	11-26	7-25
2-Point FG	29-56	28-59
3-Point FG	7-17	3-14
Free Throws	18-24	15-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	40.1	21	55%	4	7	1	0	1	3	1	3	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	39.0	11	55%	6	3	0	2	2	5	0	6	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	38.9	26	72%	8	0	3	1	4	1	2	6	6-8	75%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	31.7	10	42%	5	5	1	2	0	2	1	4	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	21.4	3	38%	7	1	3	1	1	4	1	6	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 29	31.6	17	85%	2	2	1	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-3	100%
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 24	20.1	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	8.4	5	63%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	7.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Othello Hunter · 6'8" 225 · 23	0.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	56%	35	20	9	7	9	0	6	29	18-24	75%	29-56	52%	7-17	41%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	40.1	21	55%	4	7	1	0	1	3	1	3	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	39.0	11	55%	6	3	0	2	2	5	0	6	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	38.9	26	72%	8	0	3	1	4	1	2	6	6-8	75%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	31.7	10	42%	5	5	1	2	0	2	1	4	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	21.4	3	38%	7	1	3	1	1	4	1	6	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 29	31.6	17	85%	2	2	1	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-3	100%
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 24	20.1	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	8.4	5	63%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	7.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Othello Hunter · 6'8" 225 · 23	0.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	56%	35	20	9	7	9	0	6	29	18-24	75%	29-56	52%	7-17	41%

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29 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Thornton F · 6'8" 235 · 25	42.4	25	63%	9	1	0	2	0	3	0	9	7-9	78%	9-15	60%	0-1	0%
Eric Gordon G · 6'3" 215 · 20	41.4	18	53%	2	3	0	1	3	3	0	2	5-6	83%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Marcus Camby F · 6'11" 240 · 35	40.1	12	40%	18	0	2	4	6	1	6	12	2-4	50%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Mardy Collins G · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.5	15	58%	3	8	3	0	2	4	2	1	0-0	-	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Brian Skinner C · 6'9" 255 · 33	24.3	0	0%	5	1	0	0	0	4	3	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Fred Jones G · 6'2" 225 · 30	25.7	8	67%	2	2	0	0	4	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Ricky Davis G · 6'7" 195 · 29	15.8	2	25%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan C · 6'11" 265 · 20	10.0	0	0%	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 26	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Cheikh Samb C · 7'1" 245 · 24	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 31
Mike Taylor G · 6'2" 165 · 23
Chris Kaman #35 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zach Randolph #50 · F · 6'9" 250 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Baron Davis #1 · G · 6'3" 212 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	48%	46	18	6	9	17	0	12	34	15-21	71%	28-59	47%	3-14	21%

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indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE