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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks58%9497
29Clippers42%9280
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
40.1
37.2
21
53%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
7-12
6-13
58%
48%
1-5
20%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.6
39.0
35.0
11
56%
6
3
0
1
2
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.1
38.9
33.2
26
70%
8
0
3
1
1
4
2
6
6-8
75%
10-15
5-11
67%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.7
31.7
34.8
10
43%
5
5
1
1
2
0
1
4
3-4
75%
2-6
3-8
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.9
21.4
27.5
3
39%
7
1
3
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
31.6
21.9
17
86%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
3-3
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
20.1
11.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.0
8.4
9.1
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
7.3
16.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.6
0.9
2.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
0.9
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.0
4.4
0
1-1
47%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.7
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.9
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.1
42.4
36.4
25
63%
9
1
0
1
2
0
0
9
7-9
78%
9-15
6-13
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.1
41.4
38.1
18
51%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
5-6
83%
5-11
4-9
45%
50%
1-4
25%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
40.1
36.6
12
41%
18
0
2
1
4
6
6
12
2-4
50%
5-13
5-10
38%
48%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
35.5
34.6
15
58%
3
8
3
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
6-11
3-8
55%
43%
1-2
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.7
24.3
27.3
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.8
25.7
26.0
8
68%
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.3
15.8
6.3
2
25%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.5
10.0
7.2
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
3.8
16.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.2
0.9
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.7
6.4
0
1-2
39%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.0
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.