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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs58%9487
1776ers42%92109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.7
29.3
35.9
20
65%
12
1
0
1
2
2
4
8
10-12
83%
5-10
8-15
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
28.4
33.6
12
55%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
5-10
8-15
50%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
23.8
32.5
8
50%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.9
22.1
25.1
2
11%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-4
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
20.4
29.2
13
81%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
3-3
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.5
23.8
29.2
8
34%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
0-3
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.6
23.1
12.3
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-1
100%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.7
19.6
13.7
4
20%
3
3
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-8
1-3
13%
45%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
16.2
18.4
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
13.8
3.9
7
50%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
12.4
2.3
2
35%
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
56%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.7
7.3
3.1
2
25%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.2
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
33.1
38.5
21
77%
5
8
1
2
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
5-7
5-10
71%
51%
2-4
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
31.6
34.0
11
48%
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
30.6
29.4
27
81%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
10-14
4-8
71%
53%
1-1
100%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
20.7
21.4
6
38%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
19.1
25.6
8
57%
12
0
1
0
1
0
5
7
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
27.3
26.2
14
48%
3
6
2
1
0
4
0
3
4-6
67%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
2-3
67%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
21.1
21.9
13
60%
9
0
1
1
2
0
2
7
1-2
50%
6-10
4-9
60%
52%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
20.8
14.3
6
33%
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-6
1-2
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
14.8
6.1
0
0%
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.7
12.4
16.8
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
4.7
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.7
3.8
1.6
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.9
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.