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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Jazz67%98101
28Grizzlies33%9291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
43.7
33.4
27
73%
0
12
1
1
1
8
0
0
7-8
88%
4-7
5-10
57%
51%
4-8
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.8
43.2
27.4
21
76%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
8-11
4-8
73%
55%
1-2
50%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
31.4
36.2
13
67%
6
4
3
2
1
1
2
4
3-6
50%
5-7
5-10
71%
52%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
30.7
32.5
13
55%
8
0
1
1
0
1
1
7
4-4
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
51%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
18.8
23.6
2
20%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
29.2
22.7
9
44%
4
1
2
1
1
1
0
4
2-5
40%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.1
16.2
3.0
2
100%
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.6
15.6
14.4
12
68%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
9.1
13.4
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
2.1
20.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-7
0%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
18.9
1
2-4
46%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
4.4
0
1-1
48%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.9
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.1
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.2
35.0
32.9
23
51%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
8-16
4-9
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.0
34.0
34.9
12
68%
10
3
0
1
1
1
2
8
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
52%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
30.2
35.7
5
37%
2
0
1
1
1
4
1
1
3-4
75%
1-5
6-12
20%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.8
18.8
29.1
4
25%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
5.4
15.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.5
33.6
27.8
15
61%
5
2
1
1
3
1
4
1
1-3
33%
7-11
5-10
64%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.3
29.3
17.7
15
66%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
10-12
83%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.3
22.7
14.8
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.1
17.1
7.2
7
60%
1
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
14.0
12.3
10
63%
7
0
1
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.7
7.6
0
1-1
43%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.7
3.2
0
0-1
51%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.