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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pistons71%9679
30Thunder29%8989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
36.1
31.1
18
47%
5
5
2
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
9-18
5-10
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
34.1
36.3
14
42%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-6
33%
6-14
6-13
43%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.9
33.2
38.8
18
64%
5
1
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
9-13
6-12
69%
48%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
32.5
37.0
3
15%
3
3
1
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-7
6-13
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
32.1
26.8
12
61%
8
0
0
1
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
25.6
15.0
2
100%
6
0
0
0
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
19.6
24.3
6
60%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
16.5
14.3
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
6.5
4.6
2
25%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
1.9
9.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
1.9
3.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
11.6
0
1-3
54%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.3
45.6
37.6
32
73%
6
2
2
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
12-18
6-13
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
42.5
38.0
9
25%
14
5
1
1
2
4
4
10
4-4
100%
1-13
5-10
8%
47%
1-3
33%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.3
35.4
23.7
11
58%
11
2
0
0
1
3
1
10
1-1
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
27.1
32.4
5
23%
2
6
0
1
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
2-9
5-11
22%
44%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
25.7
22.9
8
41%
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
2-4
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
26.2
6.0
17
60%
11
1
0
0
0
1
4
7
5-7
71%
6-11
1-2
55%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.6
20.9
24.3
2
50%
2
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.9
16.5
14.0
5
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.1
9.1
0
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.0
5.7
0
1-1
42%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.4
1.1
0
0-0
42%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.