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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks55%102129
26Kings45%101122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
39.5
39.8
44
77%
1
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
6-6
100%
10-17
6-12
59%
50%
6-9
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
37.0
34.6
17
64%
2
10
3
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
33.5
20.6
25
55%
12
2
1
0
0
3
4
8
4-6
67%
9-16
4-8
56%
50%
1-4
25%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
32.5
33.3
16
46%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
6-8
75%
5-14
5-10
36%
50%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
11.5
11.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
30.5
28.9
16
82%
6
2
1
1
3
2
2
4
4-4
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
17.4
5.1
7
122%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
16.1
12.7
2
26%
6
4
2
0
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
12.2
19.6
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
9.8
10.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
5.1
0
1-1
46%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
40.0
36.6
24
61%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
5-11
5-11
45%
48%
3-6
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
38.4
28.6
14
62%
1
2
0
1
0
5
1
0
2-3
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
35.3
21.6
22
95%
11
2
0
1
1
2
1
10
14-15
93%
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
31.6
35.9
24
90%
2
6
2
1
1
3
1
1
7-10
70%
4-4
5-9
100%
49%
3-5
60%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
31.5
31.6
20
84%
9
3
0
1
0
2
3
6
10-11
91%
5-7
4-9
71%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
30.2
26.9
12
47%
3
2
1
1
4
4
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
2-7
29%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.8
18.4
17.0
4
41%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.7
7.7
18.5
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
3.9
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
3.1
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
4.5
0
1-1
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.