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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat36%9086
11Rockets64%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
39.0
38.9
29
52%
4
9
5
2
0
3
2
2
3-6
50%
7-18
9-18
39%
49%
4-7
57%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
35.3
34.7
20
65%
10
1
1
1
0
0
3
7
0-1
0%
10-15
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
34.0
33.3
9
41%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
33.7
20.4
0
0%
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.4
17.3
12.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
28.8
21.7
7
29%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
39%
1-7
14%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
19.6
24.6
12
36%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
4-15
5-11
27%
47%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
14.6
12.1
6
104%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
10.8
22.9
3
38%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
7.0
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
4.4
0
0-0
40%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.1
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
39.9
31.8
17
43%
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
7-13
4-7
54%
49%
0-5
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
37.3
31.7
22
62%
4
2
1
1
1
5
0
4
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
42%
2-6
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
34.6
30.5
26
98%
10
2
0
0
0
5
2
8
2-3
67%
12-12
6-12
100%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.4
29.4
26.3
2
100%
6
6
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
26.9
25.4
9
63%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
21.1
25.9
9
65%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
57%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
19.1
15.8
4
82%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
56%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
18.3
23.2
2
14%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
13.4
13.5
2
100%
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.6
2.4
0
0-0
53%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.