FinalWin Prob.pScore
1635%90
86
1165%95
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.68987.0
HOU logo HOU
105.78890.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU86
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0HOUYao 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wafer 3 AST)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIABeasley Tip Shot (9 PTS)83
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Quinn Layup81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Wafer 21' Jump Shot81
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 1:22MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)81
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 1:32HOUAlston Driving Layup (22 PTS)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot78
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:05HOULandry 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)78
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 2:28HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 2:47HOUYao Layup (24 PTS)78
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 3:09MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)78
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 3:13MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 3:14HOUMISS Wafer 3PT Jump Shot75
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 3:28HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 3:44HOULandry Putback Dunk (7 PTS)75
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 3:44HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 3:45HOUMISS Wafer Jump Shot75
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q4 - 4:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot75
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 4:27HOUMISS Landry Free Throw 2 of 275
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q4 - 4:27HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 4:28HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q4 - 4:29HOUMISS Alston 9' Running Jump Shot75
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)75
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q4 - 4:59HOUBattier Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)72
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMarion 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)72
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 5:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 5:35HOUMISS Brooks 21' Fadeaway Jumper70
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 5:51HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot70
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 6:08HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup70
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 6:26HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot70
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 6:41HOULandry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)70
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 6:58HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Beasley Layup70
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 7:11HOUBrooks Foul Turnover (P1.T17)70
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q4 - 7:20MIABarry STEAL (1 STL)70
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 7:38HOUBarry 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)70
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q4 - 7:59HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot70
9.0%
77
91.0%
Q4 - 8:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q4 - 8:14HOUMISS Landry 17' Jump Shot70
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 8:23HOUROCKETS Rebound70
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot70
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q4 - 8:40HOUHayes Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)70
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q4 - 8:48HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
15.0%
75
85.0%
Q4 - 8:49HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
17.4%
75
82.6%
Q4 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)70
16.3%
75
83.7%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 269
15.7%
75
84.3%
Q4 - 9:17HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)69
16.2%
75
83.8%
Q4 - 9:17HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)69
16.9%
74
83.1%
Q4 - 9:33MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)69
19.8%
73
80.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q4 - 9:43HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup66
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q4 - 9:46HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q4 - 9:48MIAHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)66
11.4%
73
88.6%
Q4 - 10:03MIAHeat Rebound66
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q4 - 10:04HOUMISS Brooks 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q4 - 10:22HOUROCKETS Rebound66
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot66
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q4 - 10:41HOULandry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)66
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q4 - 11:03MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)66
17.9%
71
82.1%
Q4 - 11:21HOUBrooks 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)64
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q4 - 11:33HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
17.8%
69
82.2%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Marion Layup64
18.7%
69
81.3%
Q4 - 11:38HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)64
21.0%
69
79.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
17.8%
69
82.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUAlston 11' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
20.9%
69
79.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
25.5%
67
74.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0HOUYao Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)61
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMagloire Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)61
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 1:18HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)59
25.2%
63
74.8%
Q3 - 1:34MIAWade 13' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)59
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 1:50HOUYao 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)57
18.5%
63
81.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)57
22.2%
61
77.8%
Q3 - 2:22HOUScola Foul Turnover (P2.T14)55
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMagloire Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)55
16.4%
61
83.6%
Q3 - 2:52HOUWafer Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
13.9%
61
86.1%
Q3 - 2:52HOUWafer Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 3:09HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Anthony Layup53
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q3 - 3:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade Layup53
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q3 - 3:35HOUAlston 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)53
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 3:39HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
22.3%
57
77.7%
Q3 - 3:42HOUMISS Wafer Driving Layup53
24.7%
57
75.3%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)53
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 4:25HOUYao 9' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Wafer 2 AST)51
19.9%
57
80.1%
Q3 - 4:49MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)51
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q3 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot49
18.1%
55
81.9%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 5:21HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T7)49
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 5:57HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battier 6 AST)49
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 6:20MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)49
25.8%
52
74.2%
Q3 - 6:38HOUAlston 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMarion 16' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
32.5%
50
67.5%
Q3 - 7:19HOUYao Foul Turnover (P4.T13)47
29.1%
50
70.9%
Q3 - 7:23HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
25.9%
50
74.1%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 7:32HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)47
29.1%
50
70.9%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)47
25.9%
50
74.1%
Q3 - 7:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Marion 10' Running Jump Shot44
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q3 - 8:18HOUYao Layup (17 PTS)44
20.7%
50
79.3%
Q3 - 8:19HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q3 - 8:20HOUMISS Wafer 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
25.1%
48
74.9%
Q3 - 8:31HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot44
24.0%
48
76.0%
Q3 - 8:49HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
26.1%
48
73.9%
Q3 - 8:49HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 244
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q3 - 9:03MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)44
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q3 - 9:04MIAHeat Rebound42
23.3%
47
76.7%
Q3 - 9:04MIAAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)42
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q3 - 9:07HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)42
23.3%
47
76.7%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)42
20.7%
47
79.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIAHeat Rebound40
18.5%
47
81.5%
Q3 - 9:33HOUMISS Wafer 10' Pullup Jump Shot40
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q3 - 9:51HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
16.3%
47
83.7%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot40
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q3 - 10:10HOUAlston 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q3 - 10:29HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot40
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q3 - 10:47MIAHeat Rebound40
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot40
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q3 - 10:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q3 - 10:59HOUMISS Wafer 3PT Jump Shot40
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMarion 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
21.1%
45
78.9%
Q3 - 11:28HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)38
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q3 - 11:43MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)38
16.9%
45
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound36
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot36
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0HOUAlston Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T9)36
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)36
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0HOUYao 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)34
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMarion 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
14.0%
41
86.0%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 231
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)31
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 1:19HOUMISS Alston Layup31
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 1:26HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 1:51HOUYao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)31
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 2:05HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot31
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 2:18HOUAlston Foul Turnover (P3.T8)31
17.8%
39
82.2%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMarion 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 3:00HOUBattier Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)29
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 3:22HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 229
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 229
17.4%
37
82.6%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 3:27HOUMISS Scola 8' Hook Shot29
17.4%
37
82.6%
Q2 - 3:46HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot29
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHeat Rebound29
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIABattier BLOCK (1 BLK)29
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 3:54HOUWafer Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)29
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 4:07HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Marion 10' Turnaround Jump Shot29
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 4:28HOUWafer Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)29
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 4:37HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 4:48HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
22.0%
35
78.0%
Q2 - 4:48HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 229
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 129
22.5%
34
77.5%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMarion Layup (8 PTS)29
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 5:21HOUWafer 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Battier 5 AST)27
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 5:35HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot27
22.9%
32
77.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
24.3%
32
75.7%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 5:58HOUBattier Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
24.3%
32
75.7%
Q2 - 6:18MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)27
22.3%
32
77.7%
Q2 - 6:29MIAHeat Rebound27
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 6:31MIALandry BLOCK (1 BLK)27
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 6:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 6:48HOUMISS Landry Layup27
23.9%
32
76.1%
Q2 - 7:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
22.3%
32
77.7%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMISS Cook Layup27
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 7:06HOUWafer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)27
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 7:17HOULandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
22.4%
32
77.6%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Diawara 20' Jump Shot27
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 7:33MIAHeat Rebound27
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Beasley 23' Jump Shot27
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 7:55HOUWafer 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)27
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 8:09MIADiawara Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)27
26.8%
30
73.2%
Q2 - 8:23MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
28.9%
30
71.1%
Q2 - 8:25HOUMISS Brooks 3PT Fadeaway Jumper27
28.3%
30
71.7%
Q2 - 8:49MIACook 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)27
26.8%
30
73.2%
Q2 - 9:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q2 - 9:03HOUMISS Wafer 17' Jump Shot25
24.0%
30
76.0%
Q2 - 9:26MIACook 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)25
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q2 - 9:45HOUWafer Dunk (9 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)23
20.8%
30
79.2%
Q2 - 9:49HOUBarry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)23
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 10:04MIAHaslem 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)23
24.8%
27
75.2%
Q2 - 10:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 10:16HOUMISS Brooks 14' Fadeaway Jumper21
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 10:38HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot21
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 10:53HOUWafer Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)21
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 11:01HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
25.0%
25
75.0%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Cook 8' Jump Shot21
25.6%
25
74.4%
Q2 - 11:17HOUWafer Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)21
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q2 - 11:46HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
25.0%
25
75.0%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot21
25.6%
25
74.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound21
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn 10' Running Jump Shot21
25.6%
25
74.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk21
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0HOUMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
25.2%
25
74.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q1 - 1:05HOUAlston 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q1 - 1:18HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot19
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 1:32HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 1:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q1 - 1:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
25.2%
23
74.8%
Q1 - 1:59HOUAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 2:04HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot17
26.1%
21
73.9%
Q1 - 2:28HOUYao Slam Dunk (10 PTS)17
27.1%
21
72.9%
Q1 - 2:29HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 2:31HOUMISS Alston 8' Running Jump Shot17
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 2:43MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 216
28.8%
19
71.2%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 2:55HOUMISS Alston Layup16
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 3:12MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 3:32HOUScola Layup (6 PTS) (Wafer 1 AST)14
25.4%
19
74.6%
Q1 - 3:37MIAWafer STEAL (1 STL)14
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 3:53HOUYao 6' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)14
29.1%
17
70.9%
Q1 - 4:06HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot14
31.3%
15
68.7%
Q1 - 4:26HOUYao 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)14
32.7%
15
67.3%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
34.6%
13
65.4%
Q1 - 5:13HOUYao Layup (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)12
32.8%
13
67.2%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 5:34HOUMISS Wafer Layup10
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 5:46HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot10
31.3%
11
68.7%
Q1 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 6:05HOUMISS Scola 9' Jump Shot10
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 6:46HOUROCKETS Rebound10
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 6:46HOUWafer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
32.5%
11
67.5%
Q1 - 6:46HOUMISS Wafer Free Throw 1 of 210
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 6:48HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.4%
10
67.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot10
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 7:08HOUYao 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)10
34.2%
10
65.8%
Q1 - 7:29HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot10
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 7:43HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 7:51HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot10
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 8:07HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 110
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 8:26MIAWade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 8:35HOUScola Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMarion Putback Dunk (6 PTS)8
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot6
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 9:11HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot6
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 9:51HOUWafer 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 9:55HOUWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 9:57HOUMISS Wafer 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 10:19MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 10:26HOUAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 10:30MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 10:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 10:32HOUMISS Wafer 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMarion 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 11:16HOUScola 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)2
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 11:33MIAMarion Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:54HOUWafer Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Anthony: Tip to Wafer0
31.7%
0
68.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
HOU
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
21
48%
HOU
16
24
67%
Midrange
MIA
19
51
37%
HOU
20
30
67%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
HOU
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
MIA
7
13
54%
HOU
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2952%14.5 / 28
S. Marion2063%10.0 / 16
M. Beasley1235%6.0 / 17
U. Haslem941%4.5 / 11
D. Cook729%3.5 / 12
J. Magloire6100%3.0 / 3
C. Quinn338%1.5 / 4
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao26100%13.0 / 13
R. Alston2261%11.0 / 18
V. Wafer1743%8.5 / 20
L. Scola964%4.5 / 7
C. Landry964%4.5 / 7
B. Barry4100%2.0 / 2
S. Battier2100%1.0 / 1
A. Brooks214%1.0 / 7
C. Hayes2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+18
-8
99
HOU
70
+7
-18
77
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
HOU
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
107.9
MIA 96.6 +9.1
HOU 105.7
Pace
90.2
90.7
MIA 87.0
HOU 90.1 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.2
MIA 16.6
HOU 16.0 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.1%
MIA 43.9%
HOU 58.7% +14.8%
TO %
13.1%
14.6%
MIA 7.7% +11.4%
HOU 19.1%
ORB %
24.6%
26.6%
MIA 23.4% +0.1%
HOU 23.3%
FTrt
28.2
29.2
MIA 14.4
HOU 24.6 +10.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.2%
MIA 55.6%
HOU 61.5% +5.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.4%
MIA 11.2% +6.7%
HOU 4.5%
BLK %
9.2%
6.5%
MIA 3.7%
HOU 5.6% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.0%
MIA 43.0%
HOU 60.4% +17.4%
Rim FG%
59.5%
55.5%
MIA 47.6%
HOU 66.7% +19.1%
Mid FG%
41.8%
41.5%
MIA 37.3%
HOU 66.7% +29.4%
3P %
35.7%
37.5%
MIA 38.9% +18.9%
HOU 20.0%
FT %
75.4%
80.7%
MIA 53.8%
HOU 70.6% +16.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
34.8%
MIA 23.3%
HOU 34.8% +11.4%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
39.8%
MIA 56.7%
HOU 43.5% +13.2%
3P Att. %
24.5%
25.4%
MIA 20.0%
HOU 21.7% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points8693
Rebounds3443
Assists2024
Steals104
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)36 (3)
Field Goals36-9039-69
At-the-Rim FG10-2116-24
Midrange FG19-5120-30
2-Point FG29-7236-54
3-Point FG7-183-15
Free Throws7-1312-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
39.0
29
52%
4
9
5
0
3
3
2
2
3-6
50%
7-18
39%
4-7
57%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
35.3
20
63%
10
1
1
0
0
1
3
7
0-1
0%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
34.0
9
41%
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
4
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
33.7
0
0%
2
5
2
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
17.3
0
0%
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
28.8
7
29%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-7
14%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
19.6
12
35%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
4-15
27%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
14.6
6
100%
4
0
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
10.8
3
38%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
43%
34
20
10
2
8
0
11
23
7-13
54%
29-72
40%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.