Final Win Prob. pScore
443%97
106
657%100
88
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
116.59182.9
DEN logo Nuggets
96.791100.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN106
88
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound106
88
Q4 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith 30' 3PT Jump Shot106
88
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLLewis 23' Jump Shot (23 PTS)106
88
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)104
88
Q4 - 0:39.0DENMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot104
88
Q4 - 0:45.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
88
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLPetro BLOCK (1 BLK)104
88
Q4 - 0:52.0DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)104
88
Q4 - 1:02ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)104
88
Q4 - 1:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)101
88
Q4 - 1:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
88
Q4 - 1:43DENWeems 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)101
88
Q4 - 1:50DENWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
86
Q4 - 1:52ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
86
Q4 - 2:16DENWeems 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)101
86
Q4 - 2:32ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)101
84
Q4 - 2:32ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)100
84
Q4 - 2:32ORLSUB: Johnson FOR Nelson99
84
Q4 - 2:32ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)99
84
Q4 - 2:32DENPetro S.FOUL (P1.PN)99
84
Q4 - 2:51DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)99
84
Q4 - 2:51DENPetro Tip Shot (2 PTS)99
84
Q4 - 2:54DENMISS Petro 6' Hook Shot99
82
Q4 - 3:04DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
82
Q4 - 3:06ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot99
82
Q4 - 3:24DENKleiza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)99
82
Q4 - 3:31DENSUB: Balkman FOR Billups99
82
Q4 - 3:31DENSUB: Weems FOR Carter99
82
Q4 - 3:31DENSUB: Petro FOR Martin99
82
Q4 - 3:31DENNUGGETS Rebound99
82
Q4 - 3:31DENMISS Smith Driving Layup99
82
Q4 - 3:42ORLTurkoglu Layup (26 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)99
82
Q4 - 3:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)97
82
Q4 - 3:54DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
82
Q4 - 3:54DENMISS Carter 3' Jump Shot97
82
Q4 - 3:55DENMISS Billups 7' Jump Shot97
82
Q4 - 4:12ORLLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)97
82
Q4 - 4:12DENSUB: Carter FOR Andersen96
82
Q4 - 4:12ORLMagic Rebound96
82
Q4 - 4:12ORLMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 296
82
Q4 - 4:12DENKleiza S.FOUL (P3.T4)96
82
Q4 - 4:29DENKleiza 7' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)96
82
Q4 - 4:39ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)96
80
Q4 - 4:39ORLMagic Rebound95
80
Q4 - 4:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 295
80
Q4 - 4:39DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene95
80
Q4 - 4:39DENNene S.FOUL (P6.T3)95
80
Q4 - 4:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)95
80
Q4 - 4:49DENMISS Nene Layup95
80
Q4 - 4:59ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P4.T4)95
80
Q4 - 4:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)95
80
Q4 - 5:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)95
80
Q4 - 5:00ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot95
80
Q4 - 5:02ORLNene BLOCK (1 BLK)95
80
Q4 - 5:18DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)95
80
Q4 - 5:24DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
78
Q4 - 5:25DENMISS Nene 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
78
Q4 - 5:29DENNUGGETS Rebound95
78
Q4 - 5:29DENMISS Nene Layup95
78
Q4 - 5:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)95
78
Q4 - 5:29DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
78
Q4 - 5:43ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Johnson95
78
Q4 - 5:43ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Bogans95
78
Q4 - 5:4395
78
Q4 - 5:43ORLBogans P.FOUL (P5.T3)95
78
Q4 - 5:56ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (13 PTS)95
78
Q4 - 6:13ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
78
Q4 - 6:15DENMISS Kleiza Driving Layup93
78
Q4 - 6:31ORLLee Driving Layup (12 PTS)93
78
Q4 - 6:55DENKleiza 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)91
78
Q4 - 7:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
75
Q4 - 7:02ORLMISS Howard Layup91
75
Q4 - 7:14DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)91
75
Q4 - 7:27ORLHoward 5' Hook Bank Shot (11 PTS)91
75
Q4 - 7:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)89
75
Q4 - 7:32ORLMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot89
75
Q4 - 7:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)89
75
Q4 - 7:44DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot89
75
Q4 - 7:59ORLJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)89
75
Q4 - 8:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)87
75
Q4 - 8:09DENMISS Nene Layup87
75
Q4 - 8:23ORLSUB: Howard FOR Battie87
75
Q4 - 8:23ORLBattie L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)87
75
Q4 - 8:23DENNUGGETS Rebound87
75
Q4 - 8:23ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
75
Q4 - 8:49DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)87
75
Q4 - 9:02ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
73
Q4 - 9:02ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
73
Q4 - 9:02DENSUB: Billups FOR Carter85
73
Q4 - 9:02DENSUB: Martin FOR Andersen85
73
Q4 - 9:02DENSUB: Nene FOR Jones85
73
Q4 - 9:02DENSmith S.FOUL (P3.T2)85
73
Q4 - 9:14ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
73
Q4 - 9:16DENMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot85
73
Q4 - 9:22DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
73
Q4 - 9:23ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot85
73
Q4 - 9:47DENSmith 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)85
73
Q4 - 10:01DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)85
71
Q4 - 10:01ORLLee 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battie 2 AST)85
71
Q4 - 10:10ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
71
Q4 - 10:11DENMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot82
71
Q4 - 10:28ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)82
71
Q4 - 10:48DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)79
71
Q4 - 10:48DENNUGGETS Rebound79
70
Q4 - 10:48DENMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 279
70
Q4 - 10:48ORLBogans S.FOUL (P4.T1)79
70
Q4 - 11:00DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
70
Q4 - 11:01ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
70
Q4 - 11:18ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
70
Q4 - 11:20DENMISS Smith Layup79
70
Q4 - 11:31ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)79
70
Q4 - 11:42DENJones P.FOUL (P4.T1)79
70
Q4 - 12:0079
70
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN79
70
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL79
70
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu 29' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)79
70
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLMagic Rebound76
70
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 276
70
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
70
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Howard75
70
Q3 - 0:06.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Billups75
70
Q3 - 0:06.0DENAndersen P.FOUL (P3.PN)75
70
Q3 - 0:25.0DENKleiza 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)75
70
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (20 PTS)75
67
Q3 - 0:50.0DENKleiza Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)73
67
Q3 - 1:00ORLLee 8' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)73
65
Q3 - 1:22DENKleiza 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)71
65
Q3 - 1:34DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
63
Q3 - 1:37ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 171
63
Q3 - 1:37ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)71
63
Q3 - 1:37DENNene T.FOUL (P5.PN)70
63
Q3 - 1:37DENSUB: Jones FOR Nene70
63
Q3 - 1:37DENNene S.FOUL (P5.PN)70
63
Q3 - 1:37ORLTurkoglu 7' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
63
Q3 - 1:54DENSUB: Nene FOR Martin68
63
Q3 - 1:54DENKleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)68
63
Q3 - 1:55DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
63
Q3 - 1:58ORLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot68
63
Q3 - 2:12DENAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)68
63
Q3 - 2:25DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
63
Q3 - 2:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
63
Q3 - 2:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)68
63
Q3 - 2:34DENMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot68
63
Q3 - 2:48ORLSUB: Johnson FOR Nelson68
63
Q3 - 2:48ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)68
63
Q3 - 2:48ORLNelson P.FOUL (P3.T4)68
63
Q3 - 2:51ORLCarter STEAL (2 STL)68
63
Q3 - 2:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
63
Q3 - 3:00DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Shot68
63
Q3 - 3:12ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)68
63
Q3 - 3:12ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)67
63
Q3 - 3:12DENCarter P.FOUL (P1.PN)66
63
Q3 - 3:12DENBillups P.FOUL (P2.T4)66
63
Q3 - 3:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)66
63
Q3 - 3:15ORLMISS Howard Layup66
63
Q3 - 3:24ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
63
Q3 - 3:25DENMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot66
63
Q3 - 3:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
63
Q3 - 3:42ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot66
63
Q3 - 4:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
63
Q3 - 4:05DENMISS Martin 9' Running Jump Shot66
63
Q3 - 4:28ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
63
Q3 - 4:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
63
Q3 - 4:28DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith64
63
Q3 - 4:28ORLSUB: Battie FOR Lewis64
63
Q3 - 4:28DENKleiza S.FOUL (P2.T3)64
63
Q3 - 4:42DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST)64
63
Q3 - 4:59ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)64
61
Q3 - 5:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
61
Q3 - 5:10DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
61
Q3 - 5:28ORLLewis Putback Layup (16 PTS)61
61
Q3 - 5:29ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
61
Q3 - 5:30ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot59
61
Q3 - 5:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
61
Q3 - 5:51DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Shot59
61
Q3 - 6:07DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
61
Q3 - 6:07ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)59
61
Q3 - 6:27DENAndersen Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)59
61
Q3 - 6:38DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Jones59
59
Q3 - 6:38ORLLee P.FOUL (P1.T3)59
59
Q3 - 6:52ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)59
59
Q3 - 7:19DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)56
59
Q3 - 7:36ORLHoward Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)56
56
Q3 - 7:47DENJones P.FOUL (P3.T2)54
56
Q3 - 7:57DENAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)54
56
Q3 - 8:07DENNUGGETS Rebound54
56
Q3 - 8:08DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot54
56
Q3 - 8:18ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)54
56
Q3 - 8:32ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
56
Q3 - 8:33DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
56
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS Smith Tip Shot52
56
Q3 - 8:35DENMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot52
56
Q3 - 8:51DENNUGGETS Rebound52
56
Q3 - 8:52ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup52
56
Q3 - 9:02DENBillups 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
56
Q3 - 9:16ORLLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)52
54
Q3 - 9:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
54
Q3 - 9:36DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 249
54
Q3 - 9:36DENNUGGETS Rebound49
54
Q3 - 9:36DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 249
54
Q3 - 9:36ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.T2)49
54
Q3 - 9:49DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
54
Q3 - 9:51ORLMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot49
54
Q3 - 10:13DENBillups 11' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)49
54
Q3 - 10:25DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
52
Q3 - 10:27ORLMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot49
52
Q3 - 10:39DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene49
52
Q3 - 10:39DENNene P.FOUL (P4.T1)49
52
Q3 - 10:45DENNene Layup (4 PTS)49
52
Q3 - 10:46DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
50
Q3 - 10:47DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot49
50
Q3 - 11:05ORLLee Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)49
50
Q3 - 11:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
50
Q3 - 11:14DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
50
Q3 - 11:24DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
50
Q3 - 11:27ORLMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)47
50
Q3 - 11:47DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
50
Q3 - 11:47DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
49
Q3 - 11:47ORLNelson S.FOUL (P1.T1)47
48
Q3 - 12:0047
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN47
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound47
48
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
48
Q2 - 0:08.0DENMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)47
48
Q2 - 0:08.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
48
Q2 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
48
Q2 - 0:31.0DENKleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)47
48
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (21 PTS)47
45
Q2 - 0:58.0DENBillups 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
45
Q2 - 1:10DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
43
Q2 - 1:11ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
43
Q2 - 1:26DENAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T10)45
43
Q2 - 1:26DENAndersen OFF.Foul (P2)45
43
Q2 - 1:31DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
43
Q2 - 1:32ORLMISS Nelson 7' Jump Shot45
43
Q2 - 1:45DENMartin 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
43
Q2 - 2:01ORLNelson Driving Layup (19 PTS)45
41
Q2 - 2:09ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
41
Q2 - 2:11DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot43
41
Q2 - 2:15DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith43
41
Q2 - 2:15DENNUGGETS Rebound43
41
Q2 - 2:15DENMISS Kleiza 18' Jump Shot43
41
Q2 - 2:32ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)43
41
Q2 - 2:54ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)43
41
Q2 - 2:54DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T9)43
41
Q2 - 2:54DENSmith OFF.Foul (P2)43
41
Q2 - 3:07ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)43
41
Q2 - 3:25DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
41
Q2 - 3:25ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard40
40
Q2 - 3:25DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)40
40
Q2 - 3:25ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.PN)40
39
Q2 - 3:39DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
39
Q2 - 3:40ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
39
Q2 - 4:03DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene40
39
Q2 - 4:03DENNene Foul Turnover (P3.T8)40
39
Q2 - 4:03DENNene OFF.Foul (P3)40
39
Q2 - 4:11ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
39
Q2 - 4:29DENNene Layup (2 PTS)38
39
Q2 - 4:34DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
37
Q2 - 4:36DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
37
Q2 - 4:36DENMISS Nene Tip Shot38
37
Q2 - 4:38DENMISS Billups Layup38
37
Q2 - 4:43DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
37
Q2 - 4:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
37
Q2 - 4:44ORLMISS Howard Putback Dunk38
37
Q2 - 4:46ORLMISS Lee Layup38
37
Q2 - 4:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
37
Q2 - 4:59DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Shot38
37
Q2 - 5:01DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
37
Q2 - 5:03DENMISS Martin 6' Turnaround Jump Shot38
37
Q2 - 5:21ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)38
37
Q2 - 5:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
37
Q2 - 5:34DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot38
37
Q2 - 5:48DENSUB: Martin FOR Balkman38
37
Q2 - 5:48ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)38
37
Q2 - 6:04DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
37
Q2 - 6:04DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
36
Q2 - 6:04ORLSUB: Lee FOR Bogans38
35
Q2 - 6:04DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
35
Q2 - 6:04ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T4)38
35
Q2 - 6:08ORLLewis 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
35
Q2 - 6:26ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
35
Q2 - 6:28DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 236
35
Q2 - 6:28DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
35
Q2 - 6:28ORLBogans S.FOUL (P3.T3)36
34
Q2 - 6:32DENBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)36
34
Q2 - 6:32ORLMagic T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Lewis )36
33
Q2 - 6:43ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)36
33
Q2 - 6:55DENKleiza Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)33
33
Q2 - 7:06DENSUB: Billups FOR Carter33
31
Q2 - 7:06ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)33
31
Q2 - 7:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
31
Q2 - 7:12DENMISS Nene 7' Hook Shot33
31
Q2 - 7:32ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)33
31
Q2 - 7:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
31
Q2 - 7:42DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
31
Q2 - 7:48DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
31
Q2 - 7:50DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
31
Q2 - 7:54DENNUGGETS Rebound31
31
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Smith Driving Layup31
31
Q2 - 8:05DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
31
Q2 - 8:06DENMISS Balkman 17' Jump Shot31
31
Q2 - 8:24ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)31
31
Q2 - 8:38DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
31
Q2 - 8:38DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
30
Q2 - 8:38ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Turkoglu31
29
Q2 - 8:38ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P3.T2)31
29
Q2 - 8:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
29
Q2 - 8:42ORLMISS Howard 7' Running Hook Shot31
29
Q2 - 8:57ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Battie31
29
Q2 - 8:57ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Johnson31
29
Q2 - 8:5731
29
Q2 - 8:57DENKleiza L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)31
29
Q2 - 8:57ORLMagic Rebound31
29
Q2 - 8:57ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Fadeaway Jumper31
29
Q2 - 9:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
29
Q2 - 9:14DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot31
29
Q2 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)31
29
Q2 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
29
Q2 - 9:29DENBalkman S.FOUL (P2.T2)29
29
Q2 - 9:42DENNene Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)29
29
Q2 - 9:54DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
29
Q2 - 9:56ORLMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot29
29
Q2 - 10:06ORLMagic Rebound29
29
Q2 - 10:06ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot29
29
Q2 - 10:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
29
Q2 - 10:17DENMISS Balkman 19' Jump Shot29
29
Q2 - 10:30ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
29
Q2 - 10:30ORLMagic Rebound28
29
Q2 - 10:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 228
29
Q2 - 10:30DENBalkman S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
29
Q2 - 10:47DENBalkman Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
29
Q2 - 10:47ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)28
28
Q2 - 10:47DENSUB: Nene FOR Andersen28
28
Q2 - 10:47ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.T1)28
28
Q2 - 10:47DENBalkman Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)28
28
Q2 - 10:49DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
26
Q2 - 10:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
26
Q2 - 11:11DENSUB: Balkman FOR Martin28
26
Q2 - 11:11DENSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)28
26
Q2 - 11:30ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)28
26
Q2 - 11:47DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)26
26
Q2 - 12:0026
23
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL26
23
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound26
23
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Bogans 57' 3PT Jump Shot26
23
Q1 - 0:01.0DENKleiza Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)26
23
Q1 - 0:06.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
21
Q1 - 0:08.0ORLCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)26
21
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLGortat Violation:Defensive Goaltending26
21
Q1 - 0:33.0DENCarter Layup (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)26
21
Q1 - 0:35.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
19
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Jump Shot26
19
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
19
Q1 - 0:49.0DENMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
19
Q1 - 1:03ORLCarter STEAL (1 STL)26
19
Q1 - 1:18ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
19
Q1 - 1:21DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 226
19
Q1 - 1:21DENNUGGETS Rebound26
19
Q1 - 1:21DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 226
19
Q1 - 1:21ORLBattie S.FOUL (P1.PN)26
19
Q1 - 1:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
19
Q1 - 1:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
19
Q1 - 1:39DENBillups S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
19
Q1 - 1:43ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
19
Q1 - 1:46ORLMISS Battie 22' Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 2:01DENKleiza Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)24
19
Q1 - 2:16ORLTurkoglu 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
17
Q1 - 2:34DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
17
Q1 - 2:34ORLSUB: Battie FOR Lewis22
16
Q1 - 2:34DENNUGGETS Rebound22
16
Q1 - 2:34DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 222
16
Q1 - 2:34ORLGortat L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)22
16
Q1 - 2:34DENNUGGETS Rebound22
16
Q1 - 2:35DENMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot22
16
Q1 - 2:52ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
16
Q1 - 2:52ORLMagic Rebound21
16
Q1 - 2:52ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 221
16
Q1 - 2:52ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
16
Q1 - 2:52DENAndersen S.FOUL (P1.PN)21
16
Q1 - 3:08DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
16
Q1 - 3:08DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
15
Q1 - 3:08ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Lee21
14
Q1 - 3:08ORLSUB: Johnson FOR Nelson21
14
Q1 - 3:08ORLBogans S.FOUL (P2.T4)21
14
Q1 - 3:14ORLNelson Driving Layup (10 PTS)21
14
Q1 - 3:23DENCarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)19
14
Q1 - 3:37DENAndersen Violation:Defensive Goaltending19
12
Q1 - 3:37ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)19
12
Q1 - 3:49DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
12
Q1 - 3:49DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
11
Q1 - 3:49ORLBogans S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
10
Q1 - 3:54ORLMartin STEAL (2 STL)17
10
Q1 - 4:10DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
10
Q1 - 4:27DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
10
Q1 - 4:28ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 217
10
Q1 - 4:28ORLMagic Rebound17
10
Q1 - 4:28ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 217
10
Q1 - 4:28DENMartin S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
10
Q1 - 4:46DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)17
10
Q1 - 4:57DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
10
Q1 - 4:59ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 3 of 317
10
Q1 - 4:59DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith17
10
Q1 - 4:59ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)17
10
Q1 - 4:59ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)16
10
Q1 - 4:59DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T4)15
10
Q1 - 5:13ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
10
Q1 - 5:15DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
10
Q1 - 5:19DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
10
Q1 - 5:21DENMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot15
10
Q1 - 5:28DENBillups Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)15
10
Q1 - 5:28ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Turkoglu15
9
Q1 - 5:28DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
9
Q1 - 5:28ORLMagic T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Gortat )15
9
Q1 - 5:38ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)15
9
Q1 - 5:56DENMartin 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)12
9
Q1 - 6:03DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
7
Q1 - 6:05ORLMISS Lewis 23' Jump Shot12
7
Q1 - 6:18DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Jones12
7
Q1 - 6:18DENJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)12
7
Q1 - 6:22DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
7
Q1 - 6:26ORLMartin STEAL (1 STL)12
7
Q1 - 6:29ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7
Q1 - 6:32DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot12
7
Q1 - 6:55ORL12
7
Q1 - 6:55ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
7
Q1 - 7:04ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
7
Q1 - 7:05DENMISS Billups 17' Fadeaway Jumper10
7
Q1 - 7:15DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
7
Q1 - 7:16ORLMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot10
7
Q1 - 7:38ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7
Q1 - 7:40DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 210
7
Q1 - 7:40DENNUGGETS Rebound10
7
Q1 - 7:40DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 210
7
Q1 - 7:40ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard10
7
Q1 - 7:40DENBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
7
Q1 - 7:40ORLHoward T.FOUL (P2.T2)10
6
Q1 - 7:40ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T2)10
6
Q1 - 7:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
6
Q1 - 7:40DENMISS Andersen Layup10
6
Q1 - 7:47DENNUGGETS Rebound10
6
Q1 - 7:47ORLMISS Lee 8' Running Jump Shot10
6
Q1 - 8:04DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene10
6
Q1 - 8:04DENNene L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)10
6
Q1 - 8:04ORLMagic Rebound10
6
Q1 - 8:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
6
Q1 - 8:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
6
Q1 - 8:16DENMartin Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 8:18DENMISS Nene Layup10
4
Q1 - 8:34ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)10
4
Q1 - 8:46DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
4
Q1 - 9:01DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
4
Q1 - 9:02DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 9:16DEN7
4
Q1 - 9:16DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 9:16ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 9:22ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 9:23DENMISS Billups Driving Layup7
4
Q1 - 9:35ORLLewis Layup (5 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 9:55DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
4
Q1 - 9:55DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
3
Q1 - 9:55ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
2
Q1 - 10:04DENNUGGETS Rebound5
2
Q1 - 10:05DENMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
2
Q1 - 10:22ORLMISS Lee 6' Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:27DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
2
Q1 - 10:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
2
Q1 - 10:36ORLMISS Howard 7' Running Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:58DENMartin Putback Layup (2 PTS)5
2
Q1 - 11:00DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
0
Q1 - 11:02DENMISS Martin Layup5
0
Q1 - 11:16ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
0
Q1 - 11:16DENJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 11:16ORLLewis Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:20DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:43ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.13 56.4%
DEN
0.87 43.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
23
65%
DEN
15
30
50%
Midrange
ORL
11
31
35%
DEN
11
39
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
DEN
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
ORL
21
30
70%
DEN
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu3178%15.5 / 20
R. Lewis2382%11.5 / 14
J. Nelson2368%11.5 / 17
D. Howard1439%7.0 / 18
C. Lee1354%6.5 / 12
A. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 3
T. Battie0-0.0 / 3
J. Redick0-0.0 / 2
M. Gortat0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Kleiza2681%13.0 / 16
C. Billups1850%9.0 / 18
K. Martin1029%5.0 / 17
J. Smith930%4.5 / 15
C. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
Nene420%2.0 / 10
A. Carter440%2.0 / 5
S. Weems467%2.0 / 3
D. Jones338%1.5 / 4
R. Balkman350%1.5 / 3
J. Petro250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+12
-11
92
DEN
74
+24
-17
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.13 56.4%
DEN
0.87 43.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
110.2
ORL 116.5 +19.8
DEN 96.7
Pace
92.5
94.5
ORL 82.9
DEN 100.9 +18.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.7
ORL 17.4
DEN 14.3 −3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
51.2%
ORL 53.1% +13.7%
DEN 39.4%
TO %
14.6%
15.8%
ORL 10.6% −4.2%
DEN 14.8%
ORB %
24.1%
27.5%
ORL 18.4%
DEN 32.0% +13.6%
FTrt
35.1
38.2
ORL 37.5 +2.2
DEN 35.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
59.5%
ORL 43.2%
DEN 61.3% +18.1%
STL %
7.5%
9.1%
ORL 7.7% +2.2%
DEN 5.5%
BLK %
8.0%
9.7%
ORL 8.7% +1.3%
DEN 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
54.8%
ORL 56.4% +12.8%
DEN 43.6%
Rim FG%
60.9%
60.5%
ORL 65.2% +15.2%
DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.7%
ORL 35.5% +7.3%
DEN 28.2%
3P %
38.1%
37.1%
ORL 42.3% +11.0%
DEN 31.3%
FT %
71.5%
76.0%
ORL 70.0%
DEN 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
39.7%
ORL 28.7%
DEN 35.3% +6.5%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
37.6%
ORL 38.8% −7.1%
DEN 45.9%
3P Att. %
33.5%
22.7%
ORL 32.5% +13.7%
DEN 18.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLDEN
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points10688
Rebounds4147
Assists1619
Steals75
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)16 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)31 (4)
Field Goals37-8031-85
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-30
Midrange FG11-3111-39
2-Point FG26-5426-69
3-Point FG11-265-16
Free Throws21-3021-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
38.9
13
54%
6
2
3
0
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
38.0
23
82%
4
2
1
1
4
0
1
3
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
33.2
14
39%
20
0
1
3
3
3
5
15
4-6
67%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
30.8
31
78%
4
5
0
1
2
4
0
4
8-10
80%
4-7
57%
5-9
56%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
30.2
23
68%
0
5
0
1
2
3
0
0
4-5
80%
8-11
73%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
17.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29
14.3
0
0%
0
0
2
0
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
13.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
12.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
11.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28
C · 6'10" 270 · 34
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
56%
41
16
7
6
11
0
7
34
21-30
70%
26-54
48%
11-26
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.