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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Heat54%95104
29Thunder46%9494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
39.6
33.5
11
56%
15
3
0
1
0
2
4
11
1-2
50%
5-9
5-9
56%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
38.7
38.6
32
55%
1
10
0
2
3
2
0
1
2-2
100%
12-24
9-19
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
29.9
26.3
13
69%
1
4
3
1
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
2-4
50%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
28.1
8.9
14
64%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
48%
4-6
67%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.4
16.1
14.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
29.8
13.2
13
67%
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
4
3-4
75%
5-8
1-2
63%
45%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
29.3
24.7
11
55%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
3-6
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
18.5
17.6
6
47%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
10.1
22.3
4
41%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
5-11
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
4.3
0
0-1
48%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
3.2
0
0-0
39%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.1
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.3
45.6
39.9
31
65%
6
5
1
1
1
2
1
5
8-9
89%
7-15
7-14
47%
49%
3-5
60%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
36.9
29.9
14
48%
8
3
1
1
1
4
2
6
6-6
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
35.9
39.0
22
58%
6
0
1
1
1
3
1
5
7-9
78%
6-9
5-11
67%
47%
1-6
17%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.3
28.6
28.1
7
40%
3
1
2
1
0
4
0
3
1-4
25%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
23.8
31.4
6
100%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
24.2
23.5
6
33%
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.6
23.7
22.8
2
33%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.9
13.5
14.9
2
53%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
7.8
14.5
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.1
6.9
0
1-1
51%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.0
5.3
0
1-1
43%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.4
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.