FinalWin Prob.pScore
2154%95
104
2946%94
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.69480.3
OKC logo OKC
101.193112.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0OKCMason Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)104
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot104
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)104
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0OKCCollison Putback Dunk (6 PTS)104
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0OKCMISS Westbrook Layup104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHeat Rebound104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0OKCWestbrook 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (12 PTS)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55OKCCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMagloire Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)101
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot101
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 3:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot101
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 3:52MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)101
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 4:14OKCGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)98
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)98
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 4:53MIAHeat Rebound95
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 4:54OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
96.9%
87
3.1%
Q4 - 5:03OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
93.9%
87
6.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot95
94.5%
87
5.5%
Q4 - 5:29OKCCollison Layup (4 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)95
95.7%
87
4.3%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMagloire 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)95
96.9%
85
3.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIAHeat Rebound93
95.8%
85
4.2%
Q4 - 5:55MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)93
94.6%
85
5.4%
Q4 - 6:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)93
94.4%
85
5.6%
Q4 - 6:06OKCMISS Durant 8' Fadeaway Jumper93
93.8%
85
6.2%
Q4 - 6:23OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)93
92.5%
85
7.5%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup93
93.1%
85
6.9%
Q4 - 6:42OKCWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)93
94.4%
85
5.6%
Q4 - 6:57MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)93
92.5%
85
7.5%
Q4 - 7:25OKCGreen Driving Layup (22 PTS)90
85.8%
85
14.2%
Q4 - 7:30MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)90
88.7%
83
11.3%
Q4 - 7:46OKCWestbrook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)90
91.4%
83
8.6%
Q4 - 7:56OKCWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
88.7%
83
11.3%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot90
89.6%
83
10.4%
Q4 - 8:22OKCWeaver Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)90
90.1%
83
9.9%
Q4 - 8:42MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (32 PTS)90
92.3%
81
7.7%
Q4 - 9:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
88.7%
81
11.3%
Q4 - 9:04OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot88
88.0%
81
12.0%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS)88
86.3%
81
13.7%
Q4 - 9:45OKCDurant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Weaver 3 AST)86
83.1%
81
16.9%
Q4 - 10:03OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
87.7%
78
12.3%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot86
88.5%
78
11.5%
Q4 - 10:28OKCDurant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)86
90.0%
78
10.0%
Q4 - 10:46MIABeasley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)86
93.5%
75
6.5%
Q4 - 10:51MIAHeat Rebound86
94.7%
75
5.3%
Q4 - 10:53MIADurant BLOCK (1 BLK)86
93.9%
75
6.1%
Q4 - 11:10OKCKrstic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)86
93.8%
75
6.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
95.0%
73
5.0%
Q4 - 11:22MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)85
94.8%
73
5.2%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q4 - 11:37OKCMISS Weaver Free Throw 2 of 284
93.7%
73
6.3%
Q4 - 11:37OKCMISS Weaver Free Throw 1 of 284
92.8%
73
7.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
92.6%
73
7.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)84
94.0%
72
6.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound84
95.1%
71
4.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0OKCMISS Westbrook Layup84
95.0%
71
5.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
94.4%
71
5.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 283
94.0%
71
6.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0OKCDurant 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Weaver 2 AST)83
94.3%
71
5.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIABeasley Driving Layup (2 PTS)83
95.4%
69
4.6%
Q3 - 1:00OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
94.3%
69
5.7%
Q3 - 1:00OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
94.5%
68
5.5%
Q3 - 1:17MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (28 PTS)81
94.8%
67
5.2%
Q3 - 1:29OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)79
93.7%
67
6.3%
Q3 - 1:29OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
92.5%
67
7.5%
Q3 - 1:30OKCMISS Krstic Dunk79
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q3 - 1:53OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
92.6%
67
7.4%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Quinn Reverse Layup79
92.9%
67
7.1%
Q3 - 2:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
93.0%
67
7.0%
Q3 - 2:17OKCMISS Krstic 3' Jump Hook Shot79
92.6%
67
7.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)79
91.7%
67
8.3%
Q3 - 2:49OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
93.0%
67
7.0%
Q3 - 2:49OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
93.2%
66
6.8%
Q3 - 3:07MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)79
93.6%
65
6.4%
Q3 - 3:23OKCGreen Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)77
92.5%
65
7.5%
Q3 - 3:26OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
91.6%
65
8.4%
Q3 - 3:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
92.5%
65
7.5%
Q3 - 3:38OKCMISS Krstic 21' Jump Shot77
92.1%
65
7.9%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
90.6%
65
9.4%
Q3 - 4:04OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
89.1%
65
10.9%
Q3 - 4:04OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
89.4%
64
10.6%
Q3 - 4:08MIAWestbrook STEAL (1 STL)75
90.4%
63
9.6%
Q3 - 4:13OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
92.1%
63
7.9%
Q3 - 4:13OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 4:26MIAChalmers 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
93.1%
61
6.9%
Q3 - 4:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot73
91.0%
61
9.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 4:55OKCMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot73
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q3 - 5:13MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)73
89.6%
61
10.4%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
88.2%
61
11.8%
Q3 - 5:24OKCMISS Durant 17' Jump Shot71
87.6%
61
12.4%
Q3 - 5:35OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
86.1%
61
13.9%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot71
86.8%
61
13.2%
Q3 - 5:58OKCKrstic 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Durant 5 AST)71
88.2%
61
11.8%
Q3 - 6:13MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)71
89.1%
59
10.9%
Q3 - 6:25OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
85.7%
59
14.3%
Q3 - 6:25OKCMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 268
86.1%
58
13.9%
Q3 - 6:30OKCMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
85.5%
58
14.5%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot68
86.2%
58
13.8%
Q3 - 6:44MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
87.6%
58
12.4%
Q3 - 6:45OKCMISS Durant 17' Jump Shot68
87.0%
58
13.0%
Q3 - 7:08MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)68
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 7:36OKCDurant 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
80.2%
58
19.8%
Q3 - 7:48MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)65
82.5%
56
17.5%
Q3 - 8:05OKCMason Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)65
84.2%
56
15.8%
Q3 - 8:09OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
81.9%
56
18.1%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
82.6%
56
17.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
84.2%
56
15.8%
Q3 - 8:24OKCMISS Westbrook Layup65
83.5%
56
16.5%
Q3 - 8:26OKCTHUNDER Rebound65
81.9%
56
18.1%
Q3 - 8:26OKCMISS Westbrook Driving Layup65
83.5%
56
16.5%
Q3 - 8:37OKCTHUNDER Rebound65
81.9%
56
18.1%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
82.6%
56
17.4%
Q3 - 8:55OKCCollison Dunk (2 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)65
84.2%
56
15.8%
Q3 - 9:10MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)65
85.6%
54
14.4%
Q3 - 9:31OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)62
81.7%
54
18.3%
Q3 - 9:31OKCMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 262
82.1%
53
17.9%
Q3 - 9:35MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)62
81.6%
53
18.4%
Q3 - 9:55OKCMason Dunk (7 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)62
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q3 - 10:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)62
85.0%
51
15.0%
Q3 - 10:29MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
81.1%
51
18.9%
Q3 - 10:31OKCMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot59
80.4%
51
19.6%
Q3 - 10:41OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
78.8%
51
21.2%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot59
79.5%
51
20.5%
Q3 - 10:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
81.1%
51
18.9%
Q3 - 11:00OKCMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 259
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q3 - 11:00OKCMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
79.5%
51
20.5%
Q3 - 11:18MIAHaslem 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
80.6%
50
19.4%
Q3 - 11:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
78.5%
50
21.5%
Q3 - 11:29OKCMISS Westbrook Driving Layup57
77.7%
50
22.3%
Q3 - 11:34OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
75.9%
50
24.1%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot57
76.7%
50
23.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
78.5%
50
21.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound57
78.5%
50
21.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0OKCMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
77.2%
50
22.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
76.0%
50
24.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
70.0%
50
30.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
70.6%
49
29.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)54
73.4%
48
26.6%
Q2 - 1:01OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)51
67.0%
48
33.0%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMason STEAL (2 STL)51
73.2%
45
26.8%
Q2 - 1:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
75.0%
45
25.0%
Q2 - 1:10OKCMISS Westbrook Layup51
74.5%
45
25.5%
Q2 - 1:28MIAHaslem 5' Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
73.2%
45
26.8%
Q2 - 1:38MIAHeat Rebound49
69.8%
45
30.2%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q2 - 2:05OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)49
69.9%
45
30.1%
Q2 - 2:09OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q2 - 2:09OKCMISS Green 11' Jump Shot49
76.6%
42
23.4%
Q2 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q2 - 2:23MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)49
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot47
70.7%
42
29.3%
Q2 - 2:49OKCWestbrook Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS)47
72.5%
42
27.5%
Q2 - 2:52OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
75.0%
40
25.0%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot47
75.7%
40
24.3%
Q2 - 3:17OKCGreen Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)47
77.2%
40
22.8%
Q2 - 3:22OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
79.0%
38
21.0%
Q2 - 3:25MIACollison BLOCK (2 BLK)47
79.7%
38
20.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
81.3%
38
18.7%
Q2 - 3:35OKCMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot47
80.6%
38
19.4%
Q2 - 3:51MIAChalmers Reverse Layup (2 PTS)47
79.0%
38
21.0%
Q2 - 4:08OKCMason Foul Turnover (P2.T10)45
76.7%
38
23.3%
Q2 - 4:26OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
74.3%
38
25.7%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot45
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
76.7%
38
23.3%
Q2 - 4:39OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
76.0%
38
24.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMagloire 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)45
74.3%
38
25.7%
Q2 - 5:11OKCGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T9)43
71.8%
38
28.2%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMagloire 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
69.4%
38
30.6%
Q2 - 5:53OKCWilcox 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)41
66.8%
38
33.2%
Q2 - 6:14OKCWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
68.7%
36
31.3%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Diawara Reverse Layup41
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
71.6%
36
28.4%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot41
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q2 - 6:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
71.6%
36
28.4%
Q2 - 6:39OKCMISS Krstic Layup41
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q2 - 6:49OKCWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
68.8%
36
31.2%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Diawara Layup41
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q2 - 6:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
71.6%
36
28.4%
Q2 - 6:57OKCMISS Watson 3PT Running Jump Shot41
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q2 - 7:01OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
68.9%
36
31.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWilcox BLOCK (1 BLK)41
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q2 - 7:15OKCWeaver Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)41
71.3%
36
28.7%
Q2 - 7:15OKCWeaver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
68.8%
36
31.2%
Q2 - 7:17OKCMISS Watson 5' Jump Shot41
70.5%
36
29.5%
Q2 - 7:37MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)41
68.8%
36
31.2%
Q2 - 7:46MIAHeat Rebound38
63.9%
36
36.1%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
61.9%
36
38.1%
Q2 - 8:13OKCGreen 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Weaver 1 AST)38
63.5%
36
36.5%
Q2 - 8:29MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)38
68.5%
33
31.5%
Q2 - 8:48OKCWatson Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
63.6%
33
36.4%
Q2 - 8:54OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
66.2%
31
33.8%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Quinn Layup35
66.9%
31
33.1%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
68.5%
31
31.5%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Diawara 19' Jump Shot35
66.9%
31
33.1%
Q2 - 9:14OKCWilcox Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 9:35MIACook 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)35
65.7%
31
34.3%
Q2 - 9:50OKCWilcox 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)33
63.3%
31
36.7%
Q2 - 10:01OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
65.4%
29
34.6%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Diawara 15' Jump Shot33
66.2%
29
33.8%
Q2 - 10:23OKCDurant 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)33
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q2 - 10:31OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
70.0%
27
30.0%
Q2 - 10:32MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
70.7%
27
29.3%
Q2 - 10:55MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
72.3%
27
27.7%
Q2 - 10:58OKCMISS Krstic 14' Jump Shot33
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q2 - 11:13MIAQuinn 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
69.6%
27
30.4%
Q2 - 11:27OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)31
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q2 - 11:40OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
65.1%
27
34.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot31
65.9%
27
34.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound31
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
66.8%
27
33.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
65.0%
27
35.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 231
65.2%
27
34.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
66.9%
27
33.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0OKCMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
64.4%
27
35.6%
Q1 - 0:10.0OKCMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
62.7%
27
37.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot30
63.2%
27
36.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0OKCDurant Driving Layup (9 PTS)30
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
67.2%
25
32.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0OKCDurant 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)28
64.5%
25
35.5%
Q1 - 1:01OKCTHUNDER Rebound28
67.0%
23
33.0%
Q1 - 1:01OKCMISS Green Layup28
68.0%
23
32.0%
Q1 - 1:06OKCWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
67.0%
23
33.0%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot28
67.5%
23
32.5%
Q1 - 1:24OKCKrstic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)28
68.5%
23
31.5%
Q1 - 1:36OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Beasley 6' Running Jump Shot28
71.5%
21
28.5%
Q1 - 1:47OKCDurant Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)28
72.4%
21
27.6%
Q1 - 2:00MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)28
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 2:12OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
68.3%
21
31.7%
Q1 - 2:12OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
68.7%
20
31.3%
Q1 - 2:28MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)26
70.6%
19
29.4%
Q1 - 2:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 2:47OKCMISS Mason 4' Jump Hook Shot24
67.8%
19
32.2%
Q1 - 3:07OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Layup24
67.2%
19
32.8%
Q1 - 3:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.6%
19
31.4%
Q1 - 3:14OKCMISS Krstic 4' Hook Shot24
68.0%
19
32.0%
Q1 - 3:31MIAWade Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)24
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 3:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q1 - 3:37OKCMISS Durant Driving Slam Dunk22
63.9%
19
36.1%
Q1 - 3:39OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWestbrook BLOCK (1 BLK)22
63.1%
19
36.9%
Q1 - 3:50OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P3.T3)22
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q1 - 3:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 3:55MIAHaslem Putback Dunk (2 PTS)22
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Chalmers Layup20
58.7%
19
41.3%
Q1 - 4:01OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)20
60.1%
19
39.9%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)20
57.8%
19
42.2%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
57.4%
19
42.6%
Q1 - 4:32OKCDurant Layup (5 PTS)18
55.8%
19
44.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
57.9%
17
42.1%
Q1 - 5:14OKCGreen Driving Layup (8 PTS)15
53.5%
17
46.5%
Q1 - 5:20OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
55.3%
15
44.7%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 5:42OKCMason Driving Dunk (4 PTS)15
57.8%
15
42.2%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)15
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 5:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 5:59OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
61.2%
13
38.8%
Q1 - 6:17MIADiawara Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)15
59.7%
13
40.3%
Q1 - 6:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
57.7%
13
42.3%
Q1 - 6:25OKCMISS Durant 14' Jump Shot13
57.1%
13
42.9%
Q1 - 6:43MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)13
55.5%
13
44.5%
Q1 - 6:52MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
53.5%
13
46.5%
Q1 - 6:53OKCMISS Westbrook 11' Jump Shot11
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 7:10MIADiawara Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)11
51.3%
13
48.7%
Q1 - 7:41OKCDurant Driving Layup (3 PTS)11
53.6%
13
46.4%
Q1 - 7:45MIADurant STEAL (1 STL)11
55.5%
11
44.5%
Q1 - 8:01OKCWestbrook 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
57.8%
11
42.2%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
59.9%
9
40.1%
Q1 - 8:29OKCGreen Putback Layup (6 PTS)9
57.8%
9
42.2%
Q1 - 8:31OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
59.8%
7
40.2%
Q1 - 8:33OKCMISS Mason Layup9
61.2%
7
38.8%
Q1 - 8:43MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
59.8%
7
40.2%
Q1 - 8:48OKCWestbrook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
57.8%
7
42.2%
Q1 - 8:54OKCDurant Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 9:09MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
58.3%
6
41.7%
Q1 - 9:19OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
54.1%
6
45.9%
Q1 - 9:19OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
54.5%
5
45.5%
Q1 - 9:25MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 9:49OKCMason Layup (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)2
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 9:59OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 10:00OKCMISS Durant 14' Jump Shot2
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 10:02OKCTHUNDER Rebound2
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 10:02OKCMISS Durant Layup2
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 10:21MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)2
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 10:23MIAHeat Rebound0
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 10:24MIACollison BLOCK (1 BLK)0
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 10:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 10:36OKCMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 20
54.2%
2
45.8%
Q1 - 10:36OKCMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 20
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 10:54OKCMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot0
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 11:11OKCGreen Layup (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)0
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 11:22MIAAnthony Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)0
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 11:42OKCMISS Green 15' Jump Shot0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Green vs. Anthony: Tip to Collison0
56.2%
0
43.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.2%
OKC
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
25
56%
OKC
20
36
56%
Midrange
MIA
16
39
41%
OKC
10
23
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
OKC
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
11
14
79%
OKC
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3255%16.0 / 29
Y. Diawara1464%7.0 / 11
M. Chalmers1365%6.5 / 10
J. Magloire1365%6.5 / 10
U. Haslem1155%5.5 / 10
D. Cook1155%5.5 / 10
C. Quinn650%3.0 / 6
M. Beasley440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3165%15.5 / 24
J. Green2258%11.0 / 19
R. Westbrook1447%7.0 / 15
D. Mason739%3.5 / 9
N. Collison6100%3.0 / 3
N. Krstic633%3.0 / 9
C. Wilcox4100%2.0 / 2
E. Watson233%1.0 / 3
K. Weaver250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+12
-12
94
OKC
76
+11
-17
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.2%
OKC
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
102.4
MIA 110.6 +9.6
OKC 101.1
Pace
90.2
94.1
MIA 80.3
OKC 112.2 +31.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 17.9
OKC 12.8 +5.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
47.1%
MIA 54.7% +4.7%
OKC 50.0%
TO %
13.1%
16.4%
MIA 11.6% +5.8%
OKC 17.4%
ORB %
24.6%
28.7%
MIA 15.8%
OKC 20.6% +4.8%
FTrt
28.2
30.8
MIA 16.5
OKC 41.7 +25.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.5%
MIA 53.7% +0.8%
OKC 52.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.8%
MIA 6.4%
OKC 6.5% +0.1%
BLK %
9.2%
6.9%
MIA 15.3% +5.9%
OKC 9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
50.8%
MIA 54.2% +0.2%
OKC 54.0%
Rim FG%
59.5%
57.9%
MIA 56.0% +0.4%
OKC 55.6%
Mid FG%
41.8%
37.1%
MIA 41.0%
OKC 43.5% +2.5%
3P %
35.7%
34.6%
MIA 52.4% +21.6%
OKC 30.8%
FT %
75.4%
78.6%
MIA 78.6% +5.3%
OKC 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
38.0%
MIA 29.4%
OKC 50.0% +20.6%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
47.9%
MIA 45.9%
OKC 31.9% +13.9%
3P Att. %
24.5%
14.1%
MIA 24.7% +6.7%
OKC 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes28.119.9
Points10494
Rebounds3339
Assists2218
Steals66
Blocks96
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (6)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)32 (1)
Field Goals41-8534-72
At-the-Rim FG14-2520-36
Midrange FG16-3910-23
2-Point FG30-6430-59
3-Point FG11-214-13
Free Throws11-1422-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
39.6
11
55%
15
3
0
0
2
4
4
11
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.7
32
55%
1
10
0
3
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
12-24
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
29.9
13
65%
1
4
3
1
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
28.1
14
64%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
4-6
67%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
16.1
0
0%
3
0
0
2
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
29.8
13
65%
6
1
1
2
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
29.3
11
55%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
18.5
6
50%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
10.1
4
40%
4
0
0
1
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 205 · 27
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
54%
33
22
6
9
12
0
6
27
11-14
79%
30-64
47%
11-21
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.