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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers27%9481
6Spurs73%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.8
33.2
38.4
17
46%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
7-8
88%
5-15
6-13
33%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.7
32.9
34.6
6
38%
10
0
2
1
1
2
1
9
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
26.6
23.6
2
33%
4
3
2
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.3
22.1
27.0
15
56%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
12.8
37.1
4
67%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.8
27.5
21.5
10
35%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
46%
1-3
33%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
26.4
6.6
5
42%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
15.8
23.0
4
41%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.6
15.0
13.6
6
43%
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.1
12.0
3.7
7
74%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.9
9.2
10.1
5
83%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.0
6.4
14.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.9
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.6
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.7
26.5
34.5
27
73%
10
0
2
1
1
3
3
7
7-8
88%
10-15
8-15
67%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
25.8
33.7
13
41%
0
7
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
6-15
8-15
40%
53%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
22.5
27.6
6
33%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.9
18.5
26.2
3
50%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
17.8
22.5
2
25%
7
0
1
1
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.6
25.9
17.6
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.7
22.2
15.6
7
52%
1
3
0
1
2
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.5
20.6
28.2
26
99%
8
3
2
1
1
2
0
8
6-7
86%
4-6
3-7
67%
51%
4-4
100%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
18.5
8.5
7
39%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
2-5
1-1
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
16.7
18.3
4
29%
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
14.2
5.0
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
1
5
0
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.7
10.8
2.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.2
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.