Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Pacers	27%	94	81	87.1	93	111.3
	6	Spurs	73%	102	99	103.1	96	82.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 26	33.2	17	47%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	7-8	88%	5-15	33%	0-0	-
Troy Murphy F · 6'11" 245 · 29	32.9	6	38%	10	0	2	1	2	3	1	9	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Jeff Foster C · 6'11" 250 · 32	26.6	2	33%	4	3	2	0	3	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G · 6'9" 230 · 28	22.1	15	58%	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-3	67%
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 25	12.8	4	67%	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

T.J. Ford G · 6'0" 165 · 26	27.5	10	36%	2	3	2	0	2	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-11	27%	1-3	33%
Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24	26.4	5	42%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Stephen Graham G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27	15.8	4	40%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 33	15.0	6	43%	3	4	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 22	12.0	7	70%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Travis Diener G · 6'1" 175 · 27	9.2	5	83%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 28	6.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jamaal Tinsley #11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Maceo Baston #9 · F · 6'10" 230 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #32 · · 6'10" 240 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	46%	36	16	7	3	14	0	4	32	14-16	88%	23-65	35%	7-16	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 26	33.2	17	47%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	7-8	88%	5-15	33%	0-0	-
Troy Murphy F · 6'11" 245 · 29	32.9	6	38%	10	0	2	1	2	3	1	9	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Jeff Foster C · 6'11" 250 · 32	26.6	2	33%	4	3	2	0	3	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G · 6'9" 230 · 28	22.1	15	58%	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-3	67%
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 25	12.8	4	67%	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

T.J. Ford G · 6'0" 165 · 26	27.5	10	36%	2	3	2	0	2	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-11	27%	1-3	33%
Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24	26.4	5	42%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Stephen Graham G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27	15.8	4	40%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 33	15.0	6	43%	3	4	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 22	12.0	7	70%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Travis Diener G · 6'1" 175 · 27	9.2	5	83%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 28	6.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jamaal Tinsley #11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Maceo Baston #9 · F · 6'10" 230 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #32 · · 6'10" 240 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	46%	36	16	7	3	14	0	4	32	14-16	88%	23-65	35%	7-16	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	26.5	27	71%	10	0	2	1	3	0	3	7	7-8	88%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	25.8	13	41%	0	7	2	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	22.5	6	33%	6	1	0	1	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	18.5	3	50%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	17.8	2	25%	7	0	1	1	0	3	4	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	25.9	4	67%	5	0	0	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	22.2	7	50%	1	3	0	2	3	3	0	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	20.6	26	93%	8	3	2	1	2	0	0	8	6-7	86%	4-6	67%	4-4	100%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	18.5	7	39%	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	16.7	4	29%	3	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	14.2	0	0%	5	1	0	0	1	3	5	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Austin Croshere F · 6'10" 240 · 34	10.8	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Malik Hairston #1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	49%	57	21	9	6	13	0	16	41	19-25	76%	31-70	44%	6-15	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	IND	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.91 45.5%

SAS

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

9

18

50%

SAS

15

28

54%

Midrange

IND

14

47

30%

SAS

16

42

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

7

10.5

16

44%

66%

SAS

6

9.0

15

40%

60%

Free Throws

IND

14

16

88%

SAS

19

25

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Granger	17	47%	8.5 / 18
M. Dunleavy	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. Ford	10	36%	5.0 / 14
R. Hibbert	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Murphy	6	38%	3.0 / 8
R. Nesterovic	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Rush	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Diener	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Jack	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Graham	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Foster	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Daniels	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	27	71%	13.5 / 19
M. Ginobili	26	93%	13.0 / 14
T. Parker	13	41%	6.5 / 16
G. Hill	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Udoka	7	39%	3.5 / 9
R. Mason Jr.	6	33%	3.0 / 9
B. Bowen	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Thomas	4	29%	2.0 / 7
M. Finley	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Bonner	2	25%	1.0 / 4
F. Oberto	0	-	0.0 / 4
A. Croshere	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 108.1 14 108.3	IND 87.1 SAS 103.1 +16.0
Pace	3 96.5 26 88.7	IND 111.3 +28.9 SAS 82.4
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.5 5 16.5	IND 12.9 −4.5 SAS 17.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 50.1% 5 51.3%	IND 41.4% SAS 47.1% +5.7%
TO %	14 14.4% 1 12.4%	IND 13.7% SAS 12.7% −1.0%
ORB %	21 25.5% 30 22.1%	IND 8.9% SAS 33.3% +24.4%
FTrt	29 26.7 30 25.1	IND 19.8 SAS 29.4 +9.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 55.1% 9 57.1%	IND 53.3% SAS 56.8% +3.5%
STL %	26 7.2% 30 6.5%	IND 7.5% SAS 9.4% +1.9%
BLK %	10 8.1% 29 6.1%	IND 4.3% SAS 9.2% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 53.2% 11 53.4%	IND 45.5% SAS 49.0% +3.5%
Rim FG%	23 56.5% 11 58.8%	IND 50.0% SAS 53.6% +3.6%
Mid FG%	16 40.6% 3 42.7%	IND 29.8% SAS 38.1% +8.3%
3P %	8 37.8% 3 38.6%	IND 43.8% +3.8% SAS 40.0%
FT %	3 80.7% 19 76.2%	IND 87.5% +11.5% SAS 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.1% 26 30.3%	IND 22.2% SAS 32.9% +10.7%
Mid Att. %	10 40.6% 21 44.9%	IND 58.0% SAS 49.4% −8.6%
3P Att. %	9 24.4% 7 24.8%	IND 19.8% +2.1% SAS 17.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	SAS
Possessions	93	96
Possession Minutes	20.1	27.9
Points	81	99
Rebounds	36	57
Assists	16	21
Steals	7	9
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (3)	16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	41 (3)
Field Goals	30-81	37-85
At-the-Rim FG	9-18	15-28
Midrange FG	14-47	16-42
2-Point FG	23-65	31-70
3-Point FG	7-16	6-15
Free Throws	14-16	19-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg