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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Raptors36%8976
12Pistons64%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.2
40.5
38.6
16
45%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-4
50%
4-11
4-10
36%
45%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.8
37.0
37.1
19
52%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
1-3
33%
9-16
7-14
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.6
36.2
37.2
10
42%
2
8
1
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.6
36.1
36.1
9
90%
7
1
1
2
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
1-1
100%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
22.3
23.6
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.0
20.6
16.7
7
58%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
19.9
11.1
11
52%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
5-8
63%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
13.1
19.2
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
11.4
10.6
4
50%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.3
3.1
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
8.9
0
1-2
52%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
6.9
0
1-1
45%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
38.6
35.5
11
51%
4
6
3
1
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
35.8
36.4
17
51%
1
7
0
2
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
7-14
6-12
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.9
33.1
35.4
25
76%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
9-14
5-11
64%
48%
2-2
100%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
23.9
31.1
3
22%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
21.5
11.3
2
100%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
24.8
15.1
16
74%
11
0
0
0
2
0
5
6
2-2
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
22.6
23.5
10
71%
8
2
2
1
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
21.3
34.3
7
35%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
6-11
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
8.1
3.9
2
50%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
7.1
9.6
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
3.1
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
6.2
0
1-1
53%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.